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     Thu. Mar. 26, 2020



Trading Signals: XLRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 8, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 4, 2020)

(Real Estate sector ETF)

XLRE latest price $31.1300 (7.68%) ($28.9600 - $31.2600) on Thu. Mar. 26, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Rebound
Complacency  2
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLRE advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLRE declines -11.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLRE decline at-2.6% a week (92% probability)
  IVE(91%)    IWD(91%)    VYM(90%)    DIA(89%)    SDY(89%)  
Factors Impacting XLRE price  XLRE will decline at least -0.9% in a week (53% probabilities).
  VXX(-63%)    VIXM(-61%)    TLT(-45%)    FEX(-12%)    TIP(-5%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the rebound
 
Valuation to SPY   0.4
 
Relative Volatility   1.4 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   1.7
Hourly Trend   5.11% [$29.42(1.54), $27.99(0.5)]
Last Hour Trend   0.68% [$30.73, $30.52]


XLRE Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  70%
Bullish Price Move  3.8%
Bearish Probability  30%
Bearish Price Move  -3.8%
Recommended Position Size  11%
Latest Price  $31.1300
Next Day Open Price  $31.55(1.36%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $30.98(-0.48%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $21.35(-31.42%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $26.61 - $32.85
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $33.17
5 Day Moving Average  $28.07(10.9%)
10 Day Moving Average  $29.4(5.88%)
20 Day Moving Average  $33.17(-6.15%)
To recent high  -25.8%
To recent low  22.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
One Year Target Price   $41.16 (32.22%)
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLRE price fluctuates within 13.84% (three month std-dev: 3.84%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLRE price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200426

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDCVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Mar_26_2020-25.8%-22.3% -8.5%,-0.6(0.1)-11.5%,-0.8(0.2)1.7%,0.10.90.68%-11.4%-0.41.70.43.6NAN%-0.1217.23   31.13(7.68%)28.96-31.26Rebound 30.98(-0.48%)26.61-32.8540
2Mar_25_2020-31.1%-13.6% -9.3%,-0.7(0)-14%,-1(0.1)-0.3%,-00.3-0.85%-12%-10.603.8NAN%-0.4118.86   28.91(4.44%)27.48-30.43Rebound 29.54(2.19%)23.39-32.1835
3Mar_24_2020-34%-8.7% -9.3%,-0.7(-0)-14.9%,-1.1(-0.1)-2.6%,-0.2-0.60.63%-11.6%-1.3-0.3-0.53.8NAN%-0.8015.35   27.68(8.72%)26.22-27.77Bottom 27.72(0.14%)24.87-29.6231
4Mar_23_2020-39.3%-0-8.9%,-0.7(-0)-14%,-1(-0)-2.9%,-0.2-0.6-0.83%-10.5%-2-2.2-0.43.9NAN%-0.6028.17   25.46(-6.26%)24.88-26.92Bottom 26.02(2.18%)22.95-28.0629
5Mar_20_2020-35.2%-0-8.3%,-0.7(-0.1)-13.4%,-1.1(-0.2)-5.3%,-0.4-0.6-1.83%-9.6%-1.9-20.23.6NAN%-1.2016.55   27.16(-5.66%)26.97-29.6Growing Downtrend 24.38(-10.24%)22.13-28.3331
 
6Mar_19_2020-31.3%-0-7.1%,-0.6(-0.1)-10.9%,-1(-0.1)-2.3%,-0.2-0.60.24%-8.4%-1.8-1.30.43.4NAN%-1.6013.49   28.79(-1.57%)28-29.54Bottom 29.37(2.02%)26.86-31.0535
7Mar_18_2020-30.2%-0-6.5%,-0.6(-0.1)-9.6%,-0.9(-0.2)-3.8%,-0.4-0.9-0.9%-7.2%-2-1.70.73NAN%-2.3112.25   29.25(-7.02%)28.37-30.87Bottom 29.93(2.34%)27.61-31.4836
8Mar_17_2020-25%-6.1% -5.6%,-0.6(-0.1)-7.8%,-0.9(-0.1)-3.6%,-0.4-0.90.06%-5.8%-1.8-1.31.12.8NAN%-2.227.27   31.46(6.07%)29.44-32.29Growing Downtrend 30.02(-4.59%)28.75-32.3935
9Mar_16_2020-29.3%-0-4.7%,-0.6(-0.1)-6.5%,-0.8(-0.1)-3.5%,-0.4-0.6-0.97%-5.2%-2.7-2.312.6NAN%-2.835.84   29.66(-16%)29.43-32.66Growing Downtrend 28.65(-3.4%)27.57-30.8930
10Mar_13_2020-15.8%-8.8% -3.6%,-0.5(-0.1)-5.5%,-0.8(0)-1.8%,-0.3-1.81.06%-4.3%-1.3-0.32.12.8NAN%-1.939.69   35.31(8.78%)32.53-35.36Downtrend 34.1(-3.44%)33.33-35.8936
 
11Mar_12_2020-22.6%-0-3%,-0.5(-0.2)-5.6%,-0.9(-0.1)-3.6%,-0.6-1.5-1.11%-4.4%-2.6-2.22.13NAN%-2.839.61   32.46(-8.59%)28-34.58Growing Downtrend 31.36(-3.4%)30.29-33.4424
12Mar_11_2020-15.3%-0-2%,-0.4(-0.1)-4.7%,-0.9(-0.2)-2.4%,-0.5-0.60%-4.1%-2-11.92.8NAN%-2.2316.09   35.51(-5.36%)35.15-36.67Growing Downtrend 34.63(-2.48%)33.82-36.1830
13Mar_10_2020-10.5%-4.9% -1.2%,-0.3(-0.1)-3.8%,-0.9(0)-0.6%,-0.1-1.81.2%-3.6%-1.3022.6NAN%-1.9318.9   37.52(4.86%)35.4-37.58Downtrend 36.83(-1.84%)36.36-37.9437
14Mar_9_2020-14.7%-0-1%,-0.2(-0.1)-3.9%,-0.9(-0.1)-1.4%,-0.3-2.1-0.14%-3.3%-2.5-2.122.7NAN%-2.6312.79   35.78(-7.06%)35.75-36.96Growing Downtrend 35.2(-1.62%)34.58-36.4926
15Mar_6_2020-8.2%-2.7% -0.5%,-0.1(0)-3.2%,-1(0)0.4%,0.1-0.6-0.13%-2.5%-1.20.71.92.6NAN%-2.2416.94   38.5(-1.71%)37.24-38.66Downtrend 38(-1.3%)37.65-38.8332
 
16Mar_5_2020-6.6%-4.5% -0.6%,-0.2(0.1)-3.4%,-1(0.1)0.8%,0.21.20.05%-1.9%-0.80.51.92.6NAN%-2413.35   39.17(-2.29%)38.73-39.75Rebound 39.53(0.92%)38.27-40.0738
17Mar_4_2020-4.4%-7% -0.8%,-0.2(0)-3.7%,-1.1(0)0.1%,02.10.25%-1.4%-0.21.11.72.6NAN%-1.6313.71   40.09(3.89%)39.04-40.14Rebound 39.94(-0.37%)38.99-40.3544
18Mar_3_2020-8%-3% -0.8%,-0.3(-0.1)-3.7%,-1.1(-0.2)-0.9%,-0.30.60.05%-1.1%-1.30.11.72.9NAN%-2.4337.98   38.59(-0.08%)38.22-39.56Growing Downtrend 37.9(-1.78%)37.34-38.936
19Mar_2_2020-7.9%-3.1% -0.7%,-0.2(-0.1)-3%,-1(-0.4)-1.4%,-0.4-2.40.1%-0.4%-1.4-0.21.22.7NAN%-2.1319.69   38.62(2.39%)36.88-38.63Growing Downtrend 38.06(-1.44%)37.59-38.9241
20Feb_28_2020-10%-0.7-0.4%,-0.1(-0.2)-1.9%,-0.6(-0.5)-2.1%,-0.7-3.60%0.3%-2.2-1.11.52.7NAN%-2.6444.5   37.72(0%)35.69-37.16Downtrend 37.34(-1.02%)36.97-38.1839
 
21Feb_27_2020-10%-0.70.2%,0.1(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.2(-0.5)-1.9%,-0.7-2.4-0.68%0.9%-2.6-2.71.42.4NAN%-3.2515.86   37.72(-5.65%)37.71-39.48Correction 36.86(-2.27%)36.71-37.4739
22Feb_26_2020-4.7%-6.7% 0.7%,0.3(-0.1)0.9%,0.4(-0.3)-0.6%,-0.3-1.8-0.1%1.6%-0.7-2.21.72.6NAN%-2.368.64   39.98(-0.87%)39.89-40.7Uptrend Consolidation 40.19(0.53%)40.2-40.1656
23Feb_25_2020-3.8%-7.6% 0.9%,0.4(-0.1)1.5%,0.7(-0.3)-0.7%,-0.3-0.9-0.22%1.8%-0.3-3.81.82.6NAN%-3.179.48   40.33(-2.51%)40.18-41.62Uptrend Consolidation 40.47(0.35%)40.42-40.6359
24Feb_24_2020-1.3%-10.4% 1.2%,0.5(-0.1)2.3%,1(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.10.30.1%2%0.8-2.91.72.8NAN%-3.284.7   41.37(-1.34%)41.18-41.82Uptrend 41.9(1.29%)41.21-42.276
25Feb_21_20200%-11.9% 1.3%,0.6(-0)2.6%,1.2(0)0.2%,0.1-00%1.8%1.61.81.32.8NAN%-0.682.99   41.93(0.53%)41.66-42Uptrend 42.56(1.51%)41.65-42.9585
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDCVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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