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     Thu. Feb. 2, 2012



Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Dec. 3, 2020)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)

XLP latest price $32.3800 (0.37%) ($32.2700 - $32.4100) on Thu. Feb. 2, 2012.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Weekly Trend  XLP declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLP advance at 0.2% a week (80% probability)
  SPY(80%)    XLU(72%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(69%)    QQQ(68%)  
Factors Impacting XLP price  XLP will decline at least -0.1% in a week (18% probabilities).
  TLT(-28%)    VXX(-10%)    TIP(-9%)    IDRV(-9%)    MJ(-5%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   0.8
 
Relative Volatility   -0.8 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLP Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  67%
Bullish Price Move  0.8%
Bearish Probability  33%
Bearish Price Move  -0.8%
Recommended Position Size  43%
Latest Price  $32.3800
Next Hour Price  $32.38(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $32.36(-0.05%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $32.37 - $32.36
5 Day Moving Average  $32.18(0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average  $32.28(0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average  $32.27(0.34%)
To recent high  -0.8%
To recent low  7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.43% (three month std-dev: 0.83%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLP price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20120302

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Feb_2_2012-0.8%-7% -0.2%,-0.5(0.1)-0.2%,-0.3(-0.2)-0%,-0.100%0%0.8000.5NAN%05.45   32.38(0.37%)32.27-32.41Downtrend 32.36(-0.05%)32.37-32.3656
2Feb_1_2012-1.2%-6.6% -0.3%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.2(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.400%0%-0.1000.5NAN%09.54   32.26(0.72%)32.16-32.41Downtrend 32.25(-0.03%)32.25-32.2653
3Jan_31_2012-1.9%-5.8% -0.2%,-0.5(-0.1)0%,0.1(-0.2)-0.1%,-0.200%0%-1.8000.5NAN%05.87   32.03(0.06%)31.84-32.17N/A 32.11(0.24%)32.02-32.1842
4Jan_30_2012-1.9%-5.8% -0.2%,-0.5(-0.3)0.1%,0.3(-0.3)-0.3%,-0.600%0%-2.2000.5NAN%09.64   32.01(-0.65%)31.89-32.12N/A 32.1(0.27%)32-32.1746
5Jan_27_2012-1.3%-6.5% -0.1%,-0.2(-0.2)0.2%,0.6(-0)-0.1%,-0.200%0%-0.9000.4NAN%05.68   32.22(-0.68%)32.1-32.4N/A 32.26(0.12%)32.23-32.2854
 
6Jan_26_2012-0.6%-7.2% 0%,0(-0.4)0.2%,0.6(0.2)0%,0.100%-0.1%0.6000.5NAN%06.76   32.44(-0.37%)32.35-32.71N/A 32.42(-0.06%)32.39-32.4551
7Jan_25_2012-0.2%-7.6% 0.2%,0.4(-0.3)0.2%,0.4(0.3)0.1%,0.300%-0.2%1.5000.5NAN%07.76   32.56(1.15%)32.07-32.6Uptrend 32.56(-0.01%)32.52-32.5754
8Jan_24_2012-1.4%-6.4% 0.3%,0.6(-0.2)0.1%,0.1(0.1)-0%,-0.100%-0.2%-1.1000.5NAN%05.89   32.19(-0.56%)32.16-32.27Uptrend 32.21(0.05%)32.22-32.238
9Jan_23_2012-0.8%-7% 0.4%,0.8(-0.2)0%,0(0.5)0.2%,0.300%-0.2%0.1000.5NAN%021.8   32.37(-0.09%)32.21-32.4N/A 32.38(0.02%)32.36-32.3942
10Jan_20_2012-0.7%-7.1% 0.5%,1(-0)-0.2%,-0.5(0.2)0.1%,0.300%-0.3%0.3000.5NAN%011.02   32.4(0.03%)32.24-32.45N/A 32.4(-0.01%)32.38-32.4136
 
11Jan_19_2012-0.8%-7% 0.5%,1(0.2)-0.3%,-0.7(0.3)0.1%,0.300%-0.3%0.3000.5NAN%05.96   32.39(0.19%)32.22-32.46N/A 32.38(-0.03%)32.37-32.3946
12Jan_18_2012-0.9%-6.8% 0.4%,0.9(0.1)-0.5%,-1(0.1)0%,0.100%-0.1%0.3000.5NAN%05.15   32.33(0.22%)32.18-32.36N/A 32.31(-0.05%)32.31-32.3237
13Jan_17_2012-1.2%-6.6% 0.3%,0.6(-0)-0.5%,-1(-0)0%,0.100%0%0000.6NAN%06.75   32.26(0.37%)32.26-32.42Correction 32.16(-0.31%)32.14-32.2438
14Jan_13_2012-1.5%-6.2% 0.4%,0.3(0.1)-0.5%,-0.5(-0.1)-0%,-000%0.1%-0.3001.1NAN%05.59   32.14(-0.09%)31.94-32.18Correction 31.95(-0.59%)31.91-32.1145
15Jan_12_2012-1.4%-6.3% 0.3%,0.3(0)-0.4%,-0.4(-0.2)-0.1%,-0.100%0.4%-0.1001.1NAN%04.73   32.17(-0.03%)32.08-32.32Correction 31.97(-0.61%)31.93-32.1445
 
16Jan_11_2012-1.4%-6.3% 0.3%,0.2(-0)-0.2%,-0.2(-0.4)-0.1%,-0.100%0.6%0001.3NAN%05.38   32.18(-0.43%)32.1-32.28Correction 31.99(-0.58%)31.95-32.1658
17Jan_10_2012-1%-6.8% 0.3%,0.2(-0.1)0.2%,0.1(-0.3)-0.1%,-0.100%0.8%0.4001.3NAN%05.05   32.32(0.34%)32.29-32.44Uptrend Consolidation 32.28(-0.12%)32.26-32.3574
18Jan_9_2012-1.3%-6.4% 0.4%,0.3(-0)0.5%,0.4(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.100%0.9%0.1001.3NAN%03.3   32.21(0.16%)32.12-32.25Uptrend Consolidation 32.21(-0.01%)32.19-32.2668
19Jan_6_2012-1.5%-7.6% 0.4%,0.3(-0.1)0.8%,0.6(-0.3)-0.3%,-0.200%1%0.1001.3NAN%06.37   32.16(-0.65%)32.1-32.42Uptrend Consolidation 32.16(0.01%)32.14-32.2358
20Jan_5_2012-0.8%-9.5% 0.5%,0.4(-0.1)1.2%,0.9(-0.1)-0.1%,-000%1.1%0.6001.4NAN%04.56   32.37(-0.06%)32.17-32.4Uptrend 32.47(0.32%)32.32-32.5468
 
21Jan_4_2012-0.8%-9.8% 0.6%,0.5(-0.2)1.4%,1.1(-0)-0.2%,-0.100%1.1%0.7001.4NAN%06.86   32.39(-0.22%)32.29-32.45Uptrend 32.5(0.35%)32.33-32.5864
22Jan_3_2012-0.6%-11.1% 0.8%,0.6(-0.2)1.4%,1.1(0.1)-0.1%,-000%0.9%1001.3NAN%020.76   32.46(-0.09%)32.45-32.78Uptrend 32.58(0.37%)32.38-32.6763
23Dec_30_2011-0.5%-11.2% 1.1%,0.8(-0.2)1.3%,1.1(-0)0.1%,0.100%0.7%1.1001.3NAN%02.94   32.49(-0.46%)32.46-32.61Uptrend 32.6(0.35%)32.4-32.6957
24Dec_29_20110%-11.7% 1.3%,1.1(-0.1)1.4%,1.1(0.2)0.2%,0.200%0.6%1.7001.2NAN%02.93   32.64(0.52%)32.48-32.68Growing Uptrend 32.79(0.45%)32.51-32.8564
25Dec_28_2011-0.5%-11.1% 1.4%,1.3(-0)1.1%,1(0.2)0.3%,0.300%0.4%1.5001.1NAN%03.65   32.47(-0.49%)32.42-32.67Growing Uptrend 32.59(0.37%)32.36-32.6555
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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