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     Fri. Apr. 1, 2011



Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Nov. 30, 2020)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)

XLP latest price $30.0700 (0.5%) ($29.9600 - $30.1400) on Fri. Apr. 1, 2011.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLP advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLP advance at 0.5% a week (81% probability)
  SPY(81%)    XLU(73%)    XLY(73%)    XLK(71%)    QQQ(69%)  
Factors Impacting XLP price  XLP will advance at least 0.3% in a week (21% probabilities).
  TLT(-32%)    TIP(-14%)    SLV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    XRT(-4%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.1
 
Relative Volatility   1.6 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLP Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  94%
Bullish Price Move  0.5%
Bearish Probability  6%
Bearish Price Move  -0.5%
Recommended Position Size  176%
Latest Price  $30.0700
Next Hour Price  $30.07(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $30.24(0.58%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $29.97 - $30.31
Support Level  $29.57
5 Day Moving Average  $29.89(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average  $29.72(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average  $29.57(1.69%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  4.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.08% (three month std-dev: 0.54%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLP price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20110501

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Apr_1_20110%-4.3% 0.3%,0.3(0.1)1.3%,1.2(0.3)0.2%,0.200%0.5%1.6002NAN%05.22   30.07(0.5%)29.96-30.14Growing Uptrend 30.24(0.58%)29.97-30.3160
2Mar_31_2011-0.2%-3.7% 0.2%,0.2(-0)1%,1(0.3)0.2%,0.200%0.3%1.3001.9NAN%04.6   29.92(-0.2%)29.92-30.02Growing Uptrend 30.04(0.4%)29.84-30.0952
3Mar_30_20110%-4% 0.3%,0.3(0.1)0.7%,0.7(0.5)0.4%,0.400%0%1.6001.8NAN%010.21   29.98(0.54%)29.91-30.04Uptrend 30.05(0.22%)29.89-30.1153
4Mar_29_2011-0.3%-3.4% 0.1%,0.1(0.1)0.2%,0.2(0.3)0.3%,0.300%-0.3%1.1001.8NAN%03.79   29.82(0.47%)29.64-29.83Rebound 29.67(-0.49%)29.86-29.5945
5Mar_28_2011-0.8%-2.9% 0%,0(0.1)-0.2%,-0.2(0.1)0.2%,0.200%-0.4%0.7001.7NAN%06.12   29.68(-0.03%)29.68-29.87Range Bound 29.64(-0.13%)29.61-29.6746
 
6Mar_25_2011-0.7%-2.9% -0%,-0(0.2)-0.3%,-0.3(0.2)0.4%,0.500%-0.5%0.8001.7NAN%04.58   29.69(0%)29.67-29.77N/A 29.62(-0.22%)29.57-29.6753
7Mar_24_2011-0.7%-2.9% -0.2%,-0.2(0.2)-0.5%,-0.5(0.3)0.5%,0.500%-0.5%0.8001.7NAN%05.22   29.69(0.92%)29.51-29.74Downtrend Consolidation 29.65(-0.14%)29.61-29.6651
8Mar_23_2011-1.6%-2% -0.3%,-0.4(0.1)-0.7%,-0.8(0.1)0.4%,0.500%-0.5%-0.2001.7NAN%05.39   29.42(0.17%)29.24-29.47Downtrend 29.36(-0.2%)29.33-29.4343
9Mar_22_2011-1.8%-1.8% -0.4%,-0.5(0)-0.8%,-0.9(-0)0.1%,0.100%-0.3%-0.3001.7NAN%05.48   29.37(-0.14%)29.32-29.45Downtrend 29.28(-0.29%)29.24-29.3950
10Mar_21_2011-1.7%-2% -0.4%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.8%,-0.9(0)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.2%-0.2001.7NAN%05.92   29.41(1.24%)29.2-29.46Downtrend 29.32(-0.31%)29.28-29.4249
 
11Mar_18_2011-2.9%-0.7% -0.4%,-0.4(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.9(-0.3)-0.5%,-0.500%-0.3%-1.6001.9NAN%07.22   29.05(0.24%)28.9-29.15Growing Downtrend 28.96(-0.31%)28.87-29.1338
12Mar_17_2011-3.1%-0.5% -0.2%,-0.3(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.7(-0.4)-0.5%,-0.500%-0.2%-2.1001.8NAN%07.94   28.98(0.49%)28.89-29.17Growing Downtrend 28.93(-0.17%)28.87-29.0841
13Mar_16_2011-3.6%-0-0.1%,-0.1(-0.3)-0.2%,-0.3(-0.5)-0.7%,-0.900%-0.1%-3.1001.5NAN%013.05   28.84(-1.44%)28.72-29.16Growing Downtrend 28.83(-0.05%)28.77-28.9742
14Mar_15_2011-2.2%-1.3% 0.1%,0.2(-0.2)0.1%,0.3(-0.3)-0.3%,-0.600%0.1%-2.1001.1NAN%012.94   29.26(-0.88%)29.01-29.36Uptrend Dip 29.32(0.21%)29.25-29.3446
15Mar_14_2011-1.3%-2.2% 0.2%,0.5(-0.1)0.3%,0.6(0.1)0%,0.100%0.1%-0.6001NAN%05.82   29.52(-0.71%)29.4-29.66Uptrend Dip 29.58(0.21%)29.55-29.5949
 
16Mar_11_2011-0.6%-2.9% 0.3%,0.6(-0)0.3%,0.6(0.2)0.1%,0.200%0.2%0.9001NAN%07.37   29.73(0.07%)29.56-29.81Growing Uptrend 29.75(0.08%)29.71-29.7747
17Mar_10_2011-0.7%-2.9% 0.3%,0.6(-0.2)0.2%,0.4(0.1)0%,000%0.2%0.9001NAN%08.33   29.71(-0.67%)29.67-29.9Uptrend 29.72(0.04%)29.69-29.7449
18Mar_9_20110%-3.6% 0.4%,0.8(0.1)0.1%,0.3(0.4)0.3%,0.700%0.1%2.4001NAN%014.81   29.91(0.5%)29.69-29.96Breakout 29.92(0.02%)29.85-29.9558
19Mar_8_2011-0.1%-3% 0.3%,0.8(-0)-0%,-0.1(0.1)0.2%,0.400%0%1.7000.9NAN%05.82   29.76(0.88%)29.51-29.8Growing Uptrend 29.77(0.02%)29.72-29.7858
20Mar_7_2011-1%-2.1% 0.4%,0.9(-0.2)-0.1%,-0.2(-0.4)-0.1%,-0.300%0%-0.3000.9NAN%014.75   29.5(-0.27%)29.42-29.69Correction 29.46(-0.13%)29.45-29.5152
 
21Mar_4_2011-0.7%-2.9% 0.5%,1(0)0.1%,0.1(-0.2)0%,000%0.2%0.4001NAN%014.09   29.58(-0.44%)29.42-29.78Uptrend 29.59(0.05%)29.57-29.6150
22Mar_3_2011-0.3%-3.4% 0.4%,0.8(0.3)0.1%,0.3(0.2)0.2%,0.400%0.3%1.3001.2NAN%09.05   29.71(1.02%)29.52-29.78Growing Uptrend 29.73(0.08%)29.67-29.7558
23Mar_2_2011-1.3%-2.3% 0.3%,0.5(0.1)0%,0(-0)-0.1%,-0.200%0.3%-0.4001.5NAN%04.99   29.41(-0.27%)29.35-29.54N/A 29.45(0.12%)29.44-29.4548
24Mar_1_2011-1%-2.6% 0.2%,0.3(0.1)0.1%,0.1(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%0.4%0.1001.6NAN%06.72   29.49(-0.77%)29.47-29.89N/A 29.5(0.03%)29.47-29.5251
25Feb_28_2011-0.3%-4.9% 0.2%,0.2(0.1)0.1%,0.2(-0.1)-0%,-000%0.5%1.2001.8NAN%05.39   29.72(0.58%)29.55-29.77Range Bound 29.68(-0.14%)29.6-29.7462
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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