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     Tue. Mar. 29, 2011

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Mon. Jan. 25, 2021)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)

XLP latest price $29.8200 (0.47%) ($29.6400 - $29.8300) on Tue. Mar. 29, 2011.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  N/A
Trend Narrative  Rebound
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.28 (0.95% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.53% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.2% (StdDev 0.53%)
Daily Moving Force  0.1%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.04%
Trend Strength  -0.3%
Latest Price  $29.8200(0.47%)
Forecasted Low Price  29.79(-0.1%)
Forecasted High Price  29.94(0.4%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(0.3%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  -100% (0)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.7%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLP advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (81% probability)
  SPY(81%)    XLU(73%)    XLY(73%)    XLK(70%)    QQQ(69%)  
Factors Impacting XLP price  XLP will advance at least -0% in a week (21% probabilities).
  TLT(-32%)    TIP(-14%)    VIXM(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    ROBT(-5%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the rebound
 
Valuation to SPY -0
 
Relative Volatility   1.2 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.2% (StdDev 0.53%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.5%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $29.82(0%)
Support Level  $29.5
5 Day Moving Average  $29.66(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average  $29.41(1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average  $29.5(1.08%)
To recent high  -0.3%
To recent low  3.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 0.53%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLP price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20110429

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
Trend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Mar_29_201129.5 (0%)29.41 (0%)29.66 (0.3%)  (0%)29.82(0.47%)29.64-29.83-105.9,0.9(1.1)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.04%-0.3% N/A  Higher(0.3%)0451.800Rebound 29.69(-0.42%)29.86-29.623.79   -0.3%-3.4% 
2Mar_28_201129.5 (0%)29.35 (-0%)29.57 (0.2%)  (0%)29.68(-0.03%)29.68-29.87-109.5,0.6(0.7)0 %0.1%0%-0.02%-0.4% N/A  Range(0.1%)0461.700Range Bound 29.65(-0.11%)29.63-29.676.12   -0.8%-2.9% 
3Mar_25_201129.48 (-0%)29.35 (-0%)29.52 (0.4%)  (0%)29.69(0%)29.67-29.77-109.3,0.8(0.8)0 0.1%0%0%-0.04%-0.5% N/A  Range(0.1%)0531.700N/A 29.62(-0.22%)29.57-29.674.58   -0.7%-2.9% 
4Mar_24_201129.47 (-0%)29.33 (-0%)29.39 (0.5%)  (0%)29.69(0.92%)29.51-29.74-108.9,0.8(0.8)0 0.1%0%0%-0.08%-0.5% N/A  Range(0.1%)0511.700Downtrend Consolidation 29.65(-0.14%)29.61-29.665.22   -0.7%-2.9% 
5Mar_23_201129.47 (-0%)29.32 (-0.2%)29.25 (0.4%)  (0%)29.42(0.17%)29.24-29.47-112.5,-0(-0.2)0 0.1%-0.1%0%-0.12%-0.5% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0%)0431.700Downtrend 29.36(-0.21%)29.33-29.435.39   -1.6%-2% 
 
6Mar_22_201129.46 (-0%)29.36 (-0.2%)29.13 (0.1%)  (0%)29.37(-0.14%)29.32-29.45-112,-0.2(-0.3)0 %-0.1%0%-0.14%-0.3% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0%)0501.700Downtrend 29.28(-0.3%)29.24-29.385.48   -1.8%-1.8% 
7Mar_21_201129.47 (-0%)29.4 (-0.2%)29.11 (-0.1%)  (0%)29.41(1.24%)29.2-29.46-107.8,-0.2(-0.2)0 %-0%0%-0.14%-0.3% Growing Downtrend  Range(0%)0491.700After Bottom 29.33(-0.27%)29.21-29.435.92   -1.7%-2% 
8Mar_18_201129.49 (-0%)29.41 (-0.2%)29.13 (-0.5%)  (0%)29.05(0.24%)28.9-29.15-104,-1.4(-1.6)0 -0.1%-0.2%0%-0.14%-0.3% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.3%)0381.900Growing Downtrend 28.96(-0.32%)28.87-29.127.22   -2.9%-0.7% 
9Mar_17_201129.53 (-0%)29.46 (-0.2%)29.27 (-0.5%)  (0%)28.98(0.49%)28.89-29.17-112.6,-1.9(-2.1)0 -0.1%-0.2%0%-0.1%-0.2% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.3%)0411.800Growing Downtrend 28.93(-0.18%)28.87-29.077.94   -3.1%-0.5% 
10Mar_16_201129.56 (-0%)29.54 (-0%)29.41 (-0.7%)  (0%)28.84(-1.44%)28.72-29.16-127.9,-2.9(-3.1)0 -0.1%-0.2%0.75%-0.04%-0.1% Oversold  Higher(1.2%)0421.500Growing Downtrend 28.83(-0.05%)28.77-28.9613.05   -3.6%-0
 
11Mar_15_201129.59 (0%)29.61 (0%)29.63 (-0.3%)  (0%)29.26(-0.88%)29.01-29.36-185.2,-1.9(-2.1)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%0.02%0.1% Oversold  Range(0.2%)0461.100Downtrend Reversal 29.21(-0.17%)29.2-29.2712.94   -2.2%-1.3% 
12Mar_14_201129.6 (0%)29.64 (0%)29.73 (0%)  (0%)29.52(-0.71%)29.4-29.66-212.4,-0.4(-0.6)0 %-0.1%0%0.06%0.1% N/A  Higher(0.3%)049100Uptrend 29.55(0.09%)29.53-29.555.82   -1.3%-2.2% 
13Mar_11_201129.61 (0%)29.66 (0%)29.72 (0.1%)  (0%)29.73(0.07%)29.56-29.81-212.3,0.6(0.9)0 %0.1%0%0.06%0.2% N/A  Range(0.1%)047100Growing Uptrend 29.75(0.08%)29.71-29.777.37   -0.6%-2.9% 
14Mar_10_201129.59 (0%)29.64 (0%)29.72 (0%)  (0%)29.71(-0.67%)29.67-29.9-212.1,0.6(0.9)0 %0.1%0%0.04%0.2% N/A  Higher(0.4%)049100Uptrend 29.72(0.05%)29.69-29.748.33   -0.7%-2.9% 
15Mar_9_201129.58 (0%)29.61 (0%)29.69 (0.3%)  (0%)29.91(0.5%)29.69-29.96-212.1,2.1(2.4)0 0.1%0.1%-0.1%0.04%0.1% Overbought  Range(0.1%)058100Breakout 29.92(0.03%)29.85-29.9514.81   0%-3.6% 
 
16Mar_8_201129.56 (0%)29.57 (-0%)29.59 (0.2%)  (0%)29.76(0.88%)29.51-29.8-246.6,1.4(1.7)0 %0.1%0%0.02%0% N/A  Range(0.1%)0580.900Growing Uptrend 29.77(0.03%)29.73-29.785.82   -0.1%-3% 
17Mar_7_201129.54 (0%)29.55 (-0%)29.54 (-0.1%)  (0%)29.5(-0.27%)29.42-29.69-246.2,-0.1(-0.3)0 %-0.1%0%0%0% N/A  Range(0%)0520.900Correction 29.46(-0.13%)29.45-29.5114.75   -1%-2.1% 
18Mar_4_201129.53 (0%)29.58 (0%)29.54 (0%)  (0%)29.58(-0.44%)29.42-29.78-227.5,0.4(0.4)0 %-0%0%0.04%0.2% N/A  Range(0.2%)050100Uptrend 29.59(0.05%)29.57-29.6114.09   -0.7%-2.9% 
19Mar_3_201129.51 (0%)29.59 (0%)29.58 (0.2%)  (0%)29.71(1.02%)29.52-29.78-184.9,1.1(1.3)0 %0.1%0%0.04%0.3% N/A  Range(0.1%)0581.200Growing Uptrend 29.74(0.09%)29.68-29.759.05   -0.3%-3.4% 
20Mar_2_201129.48 (0%)29.59 (0%)29.51 (-0.1%)  (0%)29.41(-0.27%)29.35-29.54-155.3,-0.4(-0.4)0 %-0%0%0.02%0.3% N/A  Range(0.1%)0481.500N/A 29.45(0.12%)29.44-29.454.99   -1.3%-2.3% 
 
21Mar_1_201129.46 (0%)29.59 (0%)29.54 (-0.1%)  (0%)29.49(-0.77%)29.47-29.89-147.7,0.1(0.1)0 %0%0%0.02%0.4% N/A  Higher(0.4%)0511.600N/A 29.5(0.03%)29.47-29.526.72   -1%-2.6% 
22Feb_28_201129.43 (0%)29.57 (0%)29.56 (-0%)  (0%)29.72(0.58%)29.55-29.77-123.2,1.1(1.2)0 %0.1%0%0.02%0.5% N/A  Range(0.1%)0621.800Range Bound 29.68(-0.12%)29.61-29.745.39   -0.3%-4.9% 
23Feb_25_201129.4 (0%)29.56 (0%)29.57 (-0.1%)  (0%)29.55(0.51%)29.4-29.55-118.3,0.6(0.6)0 %0%0%0.04%0.5% N/A  Range(0%)0591.800Uptrend 29.57(0.06%)29.52-29.594.06   -0.8%-4.3% 
24Feb_24_201129.38 (0%)29.55 (0%)29.61 (-0.1%)  (0%)29.4(-0.41%)29.27-29.6-123.4,0.1(0.1)0 %-0%0%0.06%0.6% N/A  Range(0.2%)0611.800Uptrend Consolidation 29.4(0%)29.39-29.447.42   -1.3%-3.8% 
25Feb_23_201129.39 (0%)29.56 (0.2%)29.63 (0.1%)  (0%)29.52(-0.24%)29.49-29.67-118.5,0.5(0.5)0 %0%0%0.1%0.6% N/A  Range(0.1%)0701.800Uptrend 29.58(0.21%)29.49-29.627.4   -0.9%-4.2% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
Trend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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