Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 8, 2011

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $29.7600 (0.88%) ($29.5100 - $29.8000) on Tue. Mar. 8, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   N/A
Trend Narrative   Growing Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing   $0.12 (0.41% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.46% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.1% (StdDev 0.46%)
Daily Moving Force   %
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Trend   0.02%
Latest Price   $29.7600(0.88%)
Forecasted Low Price   29.73(-0.1%)
Forecasted High Price   29.82(0.2%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(0.1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   -100% (0)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   0.8%
Hourly Trend 0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   0
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (81% probability)
SPY(81%)    XLU(73%)    XLY(73%)    XLK(70%)    QQQ(69%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will advance at least -0% in a week (21% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    TIP(-14%)    ONLN(-6%)    IYT(-6%)    ARKK(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY -0.1

Relative Volatility -2.1 (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   0.1% (StdDev 0.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Next Hour Price   $29.76(0%)
Support Level   $29.56
5 Day Moving Average   $29.59(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.57(0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.56(0.68%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.41% (three month std-dev: 0.46% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLP price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110408

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Mar_8_2011	29.56 (0.8%)	29.57 (-0.1%)	29.59 (0.2%)		(0%)	29.76(0.88%)	29.51-29.8	1.4(1.7)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.02%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	58	0.9	0	0	Growing Uptrend	29.77(0.03%)	29.73-29.78	5.82	-0.1%-3%
2	Mar_7_2011	29.54 (0.9%)	29.55 (-0.2%)	29.54 (-0.1%)		(0%)	29.5(-0.27%)	29.42-29.69	-0.1(-0.3)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	0%	N/A	Range(0%)	0	52	0.9	0	0	Correction	29.46(-0.13%)	29.45-29.51	14.75	-1%-2.1%
3	Mar_4_2011	29.53 (1%)	29.58 (0.1%)	29.54 (0%)		(0%)	29.58(-0.44%)	29.42-29.78	0.4(0.4)	0	%	-0%	0%	0.04%	N/A	Range(0.2%)	0	50	1	0	0	Uptrend	29.59(0.05%)	29.57-29.61	14.09	-0.7%-2.9%
4	Mar_3_2011	29.51 (0.8%)	29.59 (0.3%)	29.58 (0.2%)		(0%)	29.71(1.02%)	29.52-29.78	1.1(1.3)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.04%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	58	1.2	0	0	Growing Uptrend	29.74(0.09%)	29.68-29.75	9.05	-0.3%-3.4%
5	Mar_2_2011	29.48 (0.5%)	29.59 (0%)	29.51 (-0.1%)		(0%)	29.41(-0.27%)	29.35-29.54	-0.4(-0.4)	0	%	-0%	0%	0.02%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	48	1.5	0	0	N/A	29.45(0.12%)	29.44-29.45	4.99	-1.3%-2.3%

6	Mar_1_2011	29.46 (0.3%)	29.59 (0.1%)	29.54 (-0.1%)		(0%)	29.49(-0.77%)	29.47-29.89	0.1(0.1)	0	%	0%	0%	0.02%	N/A	Higher(0.4%)	0	51	1.6	0	0	N/A	29.5(0.03%)	29.47-29.52	6.72	-1%-2.6%
7	Feb_28_2011	29.43 (0.2%)	29.57 (0.2%)	29.56 (-0%)		(0%)	29.72(0.58%)	29.55-29.77	1.1(1.2)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.02%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	62	1.8	0	0	Range Bound	29.68(-0.12%)	29.61-29.74	5.39	-0.3%-4.9%
8	Feb_25_2011	29.4 (0.1%)	29.56 (0.3%)	29.57 (-0.1%)		(0%)	29.55(0.51%)	29.4-29.55	0.6(0.6)	0	%	0%	0%	0.04%	N/A	Range(0%)	0	59	1.8	0	0	Uptrend	29.57(0.06%)	29.52-29.59	4.06	-0.8%-4.3%
9	Feb_24_2011	29.38 (0.1%)	29.55 (0.5%)	29.61 (-0.1%)		(0%)	29.4(-0.41%)	29.27-29.6	0.1(0.1)	0	%	-0%	0%	0.06%	N/A	Range(0.2%)	0	61	1.8	0	0	Uptrend Consolidation	29.4(0%)	29.39-29.44	7.42	-1.3%-3.8%
10	Feb_23_2011	29.38 (0.2%)	29.55 (0.7%)	29.63 (0.1%)		(0%)	29.52(-0.24%)	29.49-29.67	0.5(0.5)	0	%	0%	0%	0.1%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	70	1.8	0	0	Uptrend	29.58(0.21%)	29.49-29.62	7.4	-0.9%-4.2%

11	Feb_22_2011	29.38 (0.2%)	29.56 (0.9%)	29.61 (0.1%)		(0%)	29.59(-0.7%)	29.5-29.77	0.7(0.8)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.12%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.5%)	0	67	1.7	0	0	After Top	29.64(0.17%)	29.5-29.76	16.82	-0.7%-4.5%
12	Feb_18_2011	29.39 (0.2%)	29.53 (1%)	29.59 (0.2%)		(0%)	29.8(0.27%)	29.63-29.82	1.5(1.6)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.14%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.1%)	0	78	1.8	0	0	The Top	29.81(0.04%)	29.57-30.01	5.52	0%-5.2%
13	Feb_17_2011	29.37 (0.2%)	29.48 (1.1%)	29.54 (0.2%)		(0%)	29.72(0.68%)	29.43-29.72	1.3(1.5)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0.14%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	0	72	1.6	0	0	Growing Uptrend	29.81(0.31%)	29.66-29.85	6.71	0%-4.9%
14	Feb_16_2011	29.35 (0.2%)	29.42 (1%)	29.54 (0%)		(0%)	29.52(0.27%)	29.42-29.54	0.6(0.8)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.12%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.1%)	0	56	1.5	0	0	Growing Uptrend	29.58(0.22%)	29.49-29.61	4.12	-0.4%-4.2%
15	Feb_15_2011	29.35 (0.3%)	29.37 (0.8%)	29.48 (-0%)		(0%)	29.44(-0.03%)	29.32-29.47	0.3(0.5)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.1%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.1%)	0	45	1.4	0	0	Growing Uptrend	29.5(0.19%)	29.43-29.51	5.23	-0.7%-4%

16	Feb_14_2011	29.34 (0.3%)	29.34 (0.6%)	29.49 (0.1%)		(0%)	29.45(-0.44%)	29.39-29.57	0.4(0.5)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.08%	N/A	Higher(0.3%)	0	44	1.4	0	0	Uptrend	29.49(0.14%)	29.43-29.52	5.83	-0.6%-4%
17	Feb_11_2011	29.33 (0.4%)	29.29 (0.3%)	29.47 (0.2%)		(0%)	29.58(0.54%)	29.22-29.6	0.9(1.2)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0.04%	N/A	Range(0.2%)	0	49	1.4	0	0	Uptrend	29.6(0.06%)	29.54-29.62	6.77	-0.2%-4.4%
18	Feb_10_2011	29.32 (0.4%)	29.23 (-0.1%)	29.41 (0.2%)		(0%)	29.42(-0.37%)	29.29-29.54	0.3(0.5)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0%	N/A	Higher(0.3%)	0	47	1.4	0	0	N/A	29.42(0.01%)	29.39-29.45	5.8	-0.7%-3.9%
19	Feb_9_2011	29.31 (0.3%)	29.21 (-0.3%)	29.36 (0.4%)		(0%)	29.53(0.17%)	29.43-29.56	1(1)	0	0.1%	0%	0%	-0.02%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	51	1.4	0	0	N/A	29.48(-0.17%)	29.42-29.53	2.59	-0.4%-4.3%
20	Feb_8_2011	29.28 (0.1%)	29.2 (-0.5%)	29.25 (0.3%)		(0%)	29.48(0.48%)	29.3-29.5	1(1)	0	0.1%	0%	0%	-0.04%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	54	1.4	0	0	Downtrend	29.45(-0.09%)	29.46-29.44	3.62	-0.5%-4.1%

21	Feb_7_2011	29.26 (-0.1%)	29.21 (-0.6%)	29.17 (0.3%)		(0%)	29.34(0.14%)	29.27-29.41	0.4(0.4)	0	0.1%	-0%	0%	-0.06%	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	49	1.4	0	0	Downtrend	29.31(-0.09%)	29.31-29.32	5.26	-1%-3.6%
22	Feb_4_2011	29.25 (-0.3%)	29.23 (-0.8%)	29.08 (0.2%)		(0%)	29.3(0.58%)	29.08-29.32	0.2(0.2)	0	%	-0%	0%	-0.08%	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0%)	0	49	1.4	0	0	Downtrend	29.26(-0.13%)	29.25-29.29	4.64	-1.1%-3.5%
23	Feb_3_2011	29.24 (-0.4%)	29.24 (-0.9%)	29.01 (-0.1%)		(0%)	29.13(0.52%)	28.91-29.16	-0.4(-0.5)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	-0.1%	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.1%)	0	45	1.3	0	0	Downtrend	29.08(-0.18%)	29.05-29.15	3.31	-1.7%-2.9%
24	Feb_2_2011	29.25 (-0.4%)	29.27 (-0.8%)	29.04 (-0.4%)		(0%)	28.98(-0.38%)	28.89-29.06	-1.1(-1.3)	0	-0.1%	-0.1%	0%	-0.1%	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0%)	0	42	1.3	0	0	Downtrend	28.93(-0.16%)	28.9-29.02	8.21	-2.2%-2.3%
25	Feb_1_2011	29.27 (-0.2%)	29.31 (-0.4%)	29.15 (-0.4%)		(0%)	29.09(0.73%)	28.99-29.17	-0.8(-0.9)	0	-0.1%	-0.1%	0%	-0.04%	N/A	Range(-0.2%)	0	55	1.3	0	0	Downtrend	29.06(-0.09%)	29.04-29.12	11.65	-1.9%-2.7%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

Click to see actual return for next trading day.