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     Tue. May. 13, 2014



Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Dec. 2, 2020)

(Technology sector ETF)

XLK latest price $36.8400 (0.05%) ($36.7400 - $36.9400) on Tue. May. 13, 2014.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLK advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLK advance at 0.3% a week (93% probability)
  QQQ(97%)    SPY(94%)    XLY(88%)    SMH(87%)    IWM(79%)  
Factors Impacting XLK price  XLK will decline at least -0.4% in a week (22% probabilities).
  TLT(-36%)    SHY(-12%)    XLV(-11%)    TIP(-11%)    IGOV(-11%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.2
 
Relative Volatility   -2.2 (options are extremely cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLK Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  83%
Bullish Price Move  0.8%
Bearish Probability  17%
Bearish Price Move  -0.8%
Recommended Position Size  83%
Latest Price  $36.8400
Next Hour Price  $36.84(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $36.89(0.13%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $36.72 - $36.93
Support Level  $36.27
5 Day Moving Average  $36.49(0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average  $36.46(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average  $36.27(1.57%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  4.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLK price fluctuates within 0.8% (three month std-dev: 0.81%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20140613

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1May_13_20140%-4.7% 0.5%,0.6(0.1)0.6%,0.7(0.2)0.4%,0.500%0.5%2001NAN%05.74   36.84(0.05%)36.74-36.94Growing Uptrend 36.89(0.13%)36.72-36.9365
2May_12_20140%-4.6% 0.4%,0.5(0.2)0.4%,0.5(0.1)0.1%,0.200%0.6%2001NAN%05.59   36.82(1.35%)36.48-36.84Breakout 36.83(0.02%)36.7-36.8856
3May_9_2014-1.3%-3.3% 0.3%,0.3(0.1)0.3%,0.3(0.1)-0%,-000%0.6%0.6001.1NAN%07.44   36.33(0.11%)36.07-36.35Uptrend 36.35(0.06%)36.29-36.3853
4May_8_2014-1.4%-3.2% 0.2%,0.2(0)0.3%,0.3(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%0.5%0.6001.2NAN%03.79   36.29(0.28%)36.05-36.61Uptrend 36.3(0.03%)36.25-36.3355
5May_7_2014-1.7%-3.1% 0.2%,0.2(0.1)0.4%,0.4(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.200%0.5%0.3001.2NAN%06.83   36.19(0.06%)35.78-36.28Uptrend 36.21(0.05%)36.16-36.2353
 
6May_6_2014-1.7%-4.4% 0.1%,0.1(0.1)0.5%,0.5(-0.3)-0.1%,-0.100%0.4%0.2001.2NAN%04.7   36.17(-1.12%)36.16-36.51Uptrend Consolidation 36.15(-0.05%)36.13-36.2158
7May_5_2014-0.6%-6.8% 0%,0(0.1)0.8%,0.8(-0.1)0.3%,0.300%0.6%1.4001.2NAN%04.08   36.58(0.52%)36.17-36.58N/A 36.52(-0.16%)36.28-36.7268
8May_2_2014-1.1%-6.7% -0.1%,-0.1(0)0.9%,0.9(0.1)0.4%,0.400%0.5%1.1001.1NAN%06.72   36.39(-0.27%)36.36-36.59N/A 36.38(-0.02%)36.18-36.5470
9May_1_2014-0.8%-7% -0.1%,-0.1(-0)0.8%,0.8(0.2)0.1%,0.100%0.4%1.3001.2NAN%04.98   36.49(0.11%)36.4-36.67Uptrend Reversal 36.61(0.32%)36.51-36.6763
10Apr_30_2014-1%-6.9% -0%,-0(0)0.6%,0.6(0.2)0.3%,0.300%0.3%1.1001.3NAN%09.17   36.45(0.3%)36.19-36.54Uptrend Reversal 36.58(0.35%)36.47-36.6549
 
11Apr_29_2014-1.2%-6.6% -0.1%,-0.1(0)0.4%,0.4(0)0%,000%0.1%0.7001.3NAN%05.48   36.34(0.69%)36.11-36.42N/A 36.29(-0.14%)36.15-36.454
12Apr_28_2014-1.9%-5.9% -0.1%,-0.1(0)0.4%,0.4(0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.2%0.1001.3NAN%012.07   36.09(0.95%)35.62-36.21Uptrend Reversal 36.22(0.36%)36.11-36.355
13Apr_25_2014-2.9%-4.9% -0.1%,-0.1(0)0.3%,0.2(0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.4%-0.7001.3NAN%06.4   35.75(-1.27%)35.67-36.08Uptrend Reversal 35.88(0.36%)35.77-35.9549
14Apr_24_2014-1.6%-6.2% -0.1%,-0.1(0.1)0.1%,0.1(0.1)0.1%,0.100%-0.4%0.4001.3NAN%05.01   36.21(0.78%)35.97-36.53Rebound 36.13(-0.23%)36.21-36.0945
15Apr_23_2014-2.4%-5.4% -0.2%,-0.2(0)-0%,-0(0.2)0.1%,0.100%-0.4%-0.3001.2NAN%011.43   35.93(-1.07%)35.92-36.26Rebound 36.01(0.22%)35.91-36.0540
 
16Apr_22_2014-1.3%-6.5% -0.2%,-0.2(0.1)-0.3%,-0.3(0.4)0.5%,0.400%-0.5%0.6001.3NAN%05.48   36.32(0.41%)36.12-36.4Downtrend Consolidation 36.29(-0.09%)36.24-36.3143
17Apr_21_2014-1.7%-6.1% -0.3%,-0.3(0.1)-0.7%,-0.6(0.3)0.5%,0.500%-0.6%0.2001.3NAN%03.53   36.17(0.39%)35.96-36.21Downtrend Consolidation 36.12(-0.13%)36.15-36.1248
18Apr_17_2014-2.1%-5.7% -0.4%,-0.3(-0)-1.1%,-0.9(-0)0.3%,0.200%-0.7%-0.1001.3NAN%07.88   36.03(-0.14%)35.72-36.17Downtrend 35.93(-0.28%)35.88-36.0450
19Apr_16_2014-2%-5.8% -0.4%,-0.3(-0)-1.1%,-0.9(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.200%-0.7%-0.1001.3NAN%014   36.08(0.98%)35.68-36.09Growing Downtrend 35.98(-0.27%)35.91-36.0952
20Apr_15_2014-2.9%-4.8% -0.3%,-0.3(-0.1)-0.8%,-0.7(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.6%-0.9001.4NAN%08.59   35.73(0.51%)35.13-35.82Growing Downtrend 35.67(-0.17%)35.6-35.847
 
21Apr_14_2014-3.4%-4.3% -0.2%,-0.2(0)-0.7%,-0.6(-0)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.4%-1.5001.3NAN%04.99   35.55(0.99%)35.3-35.68Downtrend 35.51(-0.1%)35.45-35.6741
22Apr_11_2014-4.3%-3.3% -0.3%,-0.2(-0)-0.6%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.300%-0.2%-2.4001.3NAN%014.25   35.2(-1.12%)35.17-35.64Growing Downtrend 35.18(-0.06%)35.1-35.3940
23Apr_10_2014-3.3%-4.4% -0.3%,-0.3(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.600%-0.1%-1.7001.1NAN%08.09   35.6(-2.31%)35.54-36.5Growing Downtrend 35.57(-0.08%)35.51-35.7143
24Apr_9_2014-1%-6.9% -0.2%,-0.2(-0)-0.4%,-0.4(-0)-0.2%,-0.200%0%0.6001.1NAN%06.66   36.44(1.33%)35.97-36.45Downtrend 36.39(-0.13%)36.39-36.446
25Apr_8_2014-2.3%-5.5% -0.2%,-0.2(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.4(-0.3)-0.4%,-0.500%-0.1%-0.8001.1NAN%07.33   35.96(0.9%)35.6-36.01Growing Downtrend 35.93(-0.08%)35.89-36.0145
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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