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     Tue. Nov. 15, 2011



Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Dec. 1, 2020)

(Technology sector ETF)

XLK latest price $26.3100 (1.35%) ($25.9100 - $26.4000) on Tue. Nov. 15, 2011.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Range Bound
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLK declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLK declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLK decline at-0.3% a week (92% probability)
  QQQ(97%)    SPY(93%)    XLY(87%)    IWM(79%)    EEM(75%)  
Factors Impacting XLK price  XLK will decline at least -0.8% in a week (25% probabilities).
  TLT(-39%)    TIP(-13%)    SHY(-12%)    ACES(-8%)    TAN(-7%)  
Trading Plan  Range Trading
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.6
 
Relative Volatility   -1.3 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLK Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  88%
Bullish Price Move  1.8%
Bearish Probability  13%
Bearish Price Move  -1.8%
Recommended Position Size  42%
Latest Price  $26.3100
Next Hour Price  $26.31(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $26.23(-0.31%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $26.13 - $26.31
Support Level  $25.89
5 Day Moving Average  $25.94(1.43%)
10 Day Moving Average  $26.03(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average  $25.89(1.62%)
To recent high  -0.8%
To recent low  16.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 1.75%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20111215

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Nov_15_2011-0.8%-16.8% 0.3%,0.2(-0.1)-0.1%,-0(0)-0.2%,-0.100%0.5%1.1000.9NAN%07.74   26.31(1.35%)25.91-26.4Range Bound 26.23(-0.31%)26.13-26.3157
2Nov_14_2011-2.1%-15.3% 0.4%,0.3(-0.1)-0.1%,-0(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.100%0.3%0.3000.8NAN%03.26   25.96(-0.76%)25.89-26.22Correction 25.9(-0.24%)25.85-25.9655
3Nov_11_2011-1.3%-16.2% 0.6%,0.4(-0.2)0.1%,0.1(-0.2)0.1%,0.100%0.3%0.8000.8NAN%04.94   26.16(1.91%)25.9-26.24N/A 26.1(-0.24%)25.99-26.1952
4Nov_10_2011-3.2%-14% 0.9%,0.6(-0.2)0.4%,0.3(-0.4)-0.4%,-0.300%0.5%-0.4000.8NAN%05.73   25.67(0.31%)25.45-25.92Uptrend Consolidation 25.72(0.19%)25.73-25.753
5Nov_9_2011-3.5%-13.6% 1.2%,0.8(-0.1)1%,0.7(-0.1)-0%,-000%0.8%-0.6000.8NAN%010.39   25.59(-3.47%)25.52-26.05Uptrend 25.67(0.33%)25.64-25.6955
 
6Nov_8_20110%-17.7% 1.4%,0.9(-0)1.2%,0.7(0.4)1%,0.600%0.9%1.6000.9NAN%07.24   26.51(1.14%)26.14-26.54Growing Uptrend 26.59(0.29%)26.38-26.6462
7Nov_7_2011-1%-16.4% 1.5%,0.9(-0.2)0.6%,0.4(-0)0.2%,0.100%0.7%1.1000.8NAN%06.38   26.21(0.61%)25.77-26.24Uptrend 26.24(0.12%)26.12-26.2954
8Nov_4_2011-1.6%-15.7% 1.8%,0.9(-0.1)0.6%,0.3(-0)-0.4%,-0.200%0.8%0.7000.9NAN%05.7   26.05(-0.61%)25.8-26.13Uptrend 26.1(0.18%)25.98-26.1555
9Nov_3_2011-1%-16.4% 2.1%,1(-0)0.6%,0.3(0)-0.1%,-0.100%1%1.1001NAN%011.64   26.21(2.38%)25.58-26.24Uptrend 26.25(0.16%)26.08-26.3251
10Nov_2_2011-3.3%-13.7% 2.2%,0.9(0)0.6%,0.3(-0)-0%,-000%1%0.1001.2NAN%09   25.6(1.23%)25.41-25.72Uptrend 25.7(0.4%)25.58-25.7551
 
11Nov_1_2011-4.5%-12.3% 2.2%,0.8(0)0.7%,0.2(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.100%1.1%-0.2001.4NAN%016.6   25.29(-2.77%)25.24-25.57Uptrend 25.43(0.54%)25.33-25.4752
12Oct_31_2011-1.8%-15.5% 2.1%,0.6(0.1)1%,0.3(-0.1)0.1%,000%1.7%0.7001.7NAN%06.43   26.01(-1.77%)25.99-26.32Uptrend 26.16(0.57%)25.87-26.2860
13Oct_28_20110%-17.6% 1.9%,0.5(0.1)1.2%,0.3(-0.1)0.7%,0.200%2.1%1.3001.8NAN%09.01   26.48(0.34%)26.25-26.54Uptrend 26.61(0.49%)26.24-26.7767
14Oct_27_20110%-17.2% 1.6%,0.4(0)1.4%,0.4(0)0.9%,0.300%2.4%1.5001.7NAN%013.94   26.39(2.97%)26.05-26.56Uptrend 26.54(0.55%)26.11-26.7272
15Oct_26_2011-4.3%-13.8% 1.4%,0.4(0)1.3%,0.4(-0.1)0.2%,0.100%2.5%0.8001.7NAN%07.5   25.63(0.43%)25.16-25.77Uptrend 25.77(0.55%)25.5-25.8967
 
16Oct_25_2011-4.7%-13.3% 1.3%,0.4(-0)1.7%,0.5(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.100%2.7%0.7001.6NAN%012.03   25.52(-1.58%)25.45-25.87Uptrend Consolidation 25.37(-0.58%)25.26-25.6969
17Oct_24_2011-3.1%-15.1% 1.4%,0.4(0.1)2.5%,0.7(-0.2)0.3%,0.100%2.7%1.3001.6NAN%012.65   25.93(1.57%)25.57-26.01Uptrend 26.11(0.68%)25.72-26.2778
18Oct_21_2011-4.6%-13.4% 1.2%,0.4(0)3.1%,1(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.100%2.7%0.9001.6NAN%09.79   25.53(1.27%)25.34-25.66Uptrend 25.75(0.85%)25.39-25.979
19Oct_20_2011-5.8%-11.9% 1.1%,0.4(0)3.7%,1.1(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.100%2.6%0.6001.6NAN%08.94   25.21(-0.43%)24.9-25.34Uptrend 25.49(1.13%)25.11-25.6668
20Oct_19_2011-5.4%-12.4% 1%,0.3(-0)4%,1.2(0)0%,000%2.6%0.9001.6NAN%012.25   25.32(-1.94%)25.27-25.72Uptrend 25.62(1.18%)25.18-25.8160
 
21Oct_18_2011-3.5%-14.7% 1.1%,0.3(-0)4%,1.3(0.2)0.6%,0.200%2.3%1.6001.6NAN%08.71   25.82(0.9%)25.28-25.97Growing Uptrend 26.16(1.32%)25.55-26.3164
22Oct_17_2011-4.4%-13.6% 1.1%,0.4(-0)3.4%,1.1(0.2)0.4%,0.100%1.6%1.5001.5NAN%08.9   25.59(-1.58%)25.48-25.96Growing Uptrend 25.85(1.01%)25.36-25.9758
23Oct_14_2011-2.9%-15.5% 1.2%,0.4(0)2.8%,1(0.3)1.4%,0.500%0.8%2.2001.4NAN%011.5   26(1.76%)25.78-26.04Breakout 26.17(0.64%)25.68-26.3765
24Oct_13_2011-4.6%-13.5% 1.1%,0.4(0)1.9%,0.7(0.1)1%,0.400%0.1%1.8001.3NAN%09.98   25.55(1.11%)25.19-25.57Growing Uptrend 25.69(0.53%)25.32-25.7865
25Oct_12_2011-5.6%-12.2% 1%,0.4(0.1)1.6%,0.7(0.3)1%,0.400%-0.3%1.6001.2NAN%09.61   25.27(0.44%)25.27-25.54Uptrend 25.34(0.28%)25.09-25.4565
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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