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     Fri. Sep. 3, 2010



Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Dec. 3, 2020)

(Technology sector ETF)

XLK latest price $21.7300 (1.49%) ($21.5100 - $21.7300) on Fri. Sep. 3, 2010.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Rebound
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLK declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLK decline at-0.1% a week (92% probability)
  QQQ(97%)    SPY(93%)    XLY(87%)    IWM(80%)    EEM(76%)  
Factors Impacting XLK price  XLK will decline at least -0.1% in a week (26% probabilities).
  TLT(-40%)    TIP(-16%)    SHY(-15%)    XLC(-6%)    MCHI(-5%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the rebound
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.8
 
Relative Volatility   0.4 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLK Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  50%
Bullish Price Move  1.4%
Bearish Probability  50%
Bearish Price Move  -1.4%
Recommended Position Size  0%
Latest Price  $21.7300
Next Hour Price  $21.73(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $21.47(-1.21%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $21.63 - $21.39
5 Day Moving Average  $21.16(2.69%)
10 Day Moving Average  $21.08(3.08%)
20 Day Moving Average  $21.33(1.88%)
To recent high  -3.2%
To recent low  7.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLK price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 1.35%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20101003

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_3_2010-3.2%-7.1% -1.3%,-0.6(0.1)-0.6%,-0.3(0.2)0.7%,0.300%-1.2%0.9001.6NAN%010.36   21.73(1.49%)21.51-21.73Rebound 21.47(-1.21%)21.63-21.3955
2Sep_2_2010-4.6%-5.5% -1.4%,-0.6(0)-0.9%,-0.4(0.1)0.6%,0.200%-1.5%0.1001.8NAN%09.31   21.41(0.9%)21.19-21.41Rebound 21.37(-0.21%)21.26-21.4152
3Sep_1_2010-5.4%-4.6% -1.5%,-0.6(0)-1.3%,-0.5(0.1)0.2%,0.100%-1.7%-0.3001.9NAN%014.8   21.22(2.56%)20.93-21.3Downtrend 21.08(-0.67%)21-21.2647
4Aug_31_2010-7.8%-2% -1.5%,-0.6(-0)-1.4%,-0.5(0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-1.9%-1.3002NAN%015.52   20.69(-0.34%)20.58-20.84Downtrend 20.56(-0.65%)20.44-20.8331
5Aug_30_2010-7.5%-2.3% -1.5%,-0.6(-0)-1.6%,-0.6(0.1)-0.4%,-0.100%-1.8%-1.3002NAN%07.59   20.76(-1.33%)20.76-21.09Downtrend 20.61(-0.73%)20.49-20.925
 
6Aug_27_2010-6.2%-3.7% -1.4%,-0.6(-0)-1.9%,-0.7(0.1)-0.3%,-0.100%-1.9%-1001.9NAN%014.99   21.04(1.2%)20.58-21.05Downtrend 20.87(-0.83%)20.75-21.1525
7Aug_26_2010-7.4%-2.5% -1.4%,-0.6(-0.1)-2.2%,-0.9(0.1)-0.6%,-0.200%-2%-1.6001.7NAN%010.15   20.79(-1%)20.76-21.13Downtrend 20.62(-0.81%)20.48-20.9424
8Aug_25_2010-6.4%-3.5% -1.3%,-0.6(-0.1)-2.3%,-1(0)-0.6%,-0.300%-2%-1.4001.6NAN%011.07   21(0.62%)20.69-21.09Downtrend 20.84(-0.78%)20.71-21.1325
9Aug_24_2010-7%-2.9% -1%,-0.4(-0.1)-2.3%,-1(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.300%-2%-1.9001.6NAN%010.59   20.87(-1.37%)20.77-21.08Growing Downtrend 20.75(-0.57%)20.61-21.0521
10Aug_23_2010-5.7%-4.3% -0.7%,-0.3(-0.1)-2.1%,-1(-0)-0.1%,-0.100%-1.7%-1.6001.5NAN%08.18   21.16(-0.89%)21.16-21.51Downtrend 21.06(-0.45%)20.96-21.329
 
11Aug_20_2010-4.9%-5.2% -0.5%,-0.3(-0.1)-2%,-1(-0)0.1%,000%-1.5%-1.4001.4NAN%09.32   21.35(-0.23%)21.23-21.42Downtrend 21.27(-0.38%)21.19-21.4629
12Aug_19_2010-4.6%-5.5% -0.3%,-0.2(0)-1.9%,-1.1(-0)0.1%,000%-1.2%-1.4001.3NAN%013.81   21.4(-1.2%)21.27-21.65Downtrend 21.34(-0.3%)21.26-21.5143
13Aug_18_2010-3.5%-6.8% -0.4%,-0.2(0)-1.8%,-1(-0)0%,000%-1%-0.9001.3NAN%012.62   21.66(0.56%)21.47-21.78Downtrend 21.58(-0.35%)21.52-21.7344
14Aug_17_2010-4.4%-6.2% -0.4%,-0.2(-0.1)-1.8%,-1(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.300%-0.6%-1.2001.2NAN%017.1   21.54(1.08%)21.43-21.73Growing Downtrend 21.46(-0.35%)21.39-21.6339
15Aug_16_2010-5.4%-5% -0.3%,-0.2(-0.2)-1.5%,-0.9(-0.3)-1.1%,-0.600%-0.3%-1.8001.2NAN%010.27   21.31(0.19%)21.08-21.42Growing Downtrend 21.26(-0.25%)21.18-21.4432
 
16Aug_13_2010-6.9%-4.8% 0%,0(-0.1)-1%,-0.5(-0.2)-0.9%,-0.500%0.1%-1.9001.2NAN%06.08   21.27(-0.47%)21.24-21.4Correction 20.95(-1.51%)20.89-21.1833
17Aug_12_2010-7.8%-5.3% 0.3%,0.2(-0.3)-0.6%,-0.4(-0.3)-0.9%,-0.500%0.4%-1.9001.1NAN%015.17   21.37(-1.38%)21.14-21.46Correction 21.14(-1.06%)21.1-21.3238
18Aug_11_2010-6.6%-6.8% 0.7%,0.5(-0.2)-0.1%,-0.1(-0.5)-0.7%,-0.500%0.5%-1.3001NAN%018.06   21.67(-2.39%)21.59-21.87Correction 21.54(-0.58%)21.51-21.6745
19Aug_10_2010-4.3%-9.4% 1%,0.7(-0.2)0.6%,0.4(-0.2)-0%,-000%0.7%0.4001NAN%011.29   22.2(-1.03%)22.04-22.32Uptrend Consolidation 22.18(-0.11%)22.15-22.2466
20Aug_9_2010-3.3%-10.5% 1.3%,0.9(-0.2)0.9%,0.6(-0.2)0%,000%0.9%1.1001NAN%013.55   22.43(0.67%)22.25-22.47Uptrend 22.47(0.17%)22.35-22.5263
 
21Aug_6_2010-3.9%-9.8% 1.6%,1(-0.1)1.2%,0.7(-0.1)0.3%,0.200%1.1%0.7001NAN%015.62   22.28(-0.27%)21.98-22.31Uptrend 22.35(0.33%)22.24-22.464
22Aug_5_2010-3.7%-10.1% 1.7%,1(-0.1)1.4%,0.8(0.1)0.3%,0.200%1.2%1001NAN%05.07   22.34(-0.45%)22.2-22.38Uptrend 22.42(0.37%)22.26-22.4968
23Aug_4_2010-3.2%-10.6% 1.9%,1(-0)1.3%,0.7(0.2)0.2%,0.100%1.3%1.3001.1NAN%014.68   22.44(0.81%)22.17-22.45Growing Uptrend 22.53(0.41%)22.34-22.5856
24Aug_3_2010-6.1%-9.7% 1.9%,0.9(0.1)1%,0.5(-0)-0.1%,-000%1.2%0.9001.3NAN%05.4   22.26(-0.54%)22.21-22.36Uptrend 22.34(0.34%)22.18-22.455
25Aug_2_2010-5.6%-10.3% 1.8%,0.8(0.1)1%,0.5(-0)0.1%,000%1.3%1.3001.3NAN%015.71   22.38(2.1%)22.11-22.44Uptrend 22.44(0.29%)22.26-22.5258
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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