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     Thu. Aug. 19, 2010

Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Technology sector ETF)

XLK latest price $21.4000 (-1.2%) ($21.2700 - $21.6500) on Thu. Aug. 19, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.44% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $21.4000(-1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XLK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLK declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(91%)    SPY(89%)    XLY(86%)    IWM(75%)    VWO(71%)  
Factors Impacting XLK price  XLK will decline at least -0.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-26%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.72% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.8%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $21.96
5 Day Moving Average  $21.44(-0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average  $21.69(-1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average  $21.96(-2.55%)
To recent high  -4.6%
To recent low  5.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 1.44%) daily (68% of days).

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