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     Mon. Apr. 26, 2010



Trading Signals: XLK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 4, 2020)

(Technology sector ETF)

XLK latest price $24.0500 (-0.12%) ($24.0200 - $24.1600) on Mon. Apr. 26, 2010.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  XLK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XLK advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XLK advance at 0.7% a week (92% probability)
  QQQ(97%)    SPY(93%)    XLY(87%)    IWM(81%)    EEM(76%)  
Factors Impacting XLK price  XLK will decline at least -0.6% in a week (27% probabilities).
  TLT(-41%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-16%)    TBT(-7%)    GBTC(-6%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.7
 
Relative Volatility   0.8 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


XLK Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  67%
Bullish Price Move  0.8%
Bearish Probability  33%
Bearish Price Move  -0.8%
Recommended Position Size  43%
Latest Price  $24.0500
Next Hour Price  $24.05(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $24.18(0.54%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $24.52(1.95%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $23.97 - $24.27
Support Level  $23.61
5 Day Moving Average  $24(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average  $23.92(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average  $23.61(1.86%)
To recent high  -0.1%
To recent low  15.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XLK price fluctuates within 1.52% (three month std-dev: 0.84%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XLK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20100526

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDCVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Apr_26_2010-0.1%-15.3% 1%,0.7(0)1.3%,0.8(0)0.2%,0.100%1.3%1.2001.8NAN%009.81   24.05(-0.12%)24.02-24.16Uptrend 24.18(0.54%)23.97-24.2772
2Apr_23_20100%-15.4% 1%,0.7(0)1.3%,0.8(-0)0.3%,0.200%1.3%1.4001.8NAN%0012.87   24.08(0.25%)23.87-24.11Uptrend 24.21(0.52%)23.98-24.374
3Apr_22_2010-0.1%-15.1% 1%,0.6(-0)1.3%,0.9(-0.1)-0%,-000%1.3%1.5001.8NAN%0010.01   24.02(0.25%)23.56-24.04Uptrend 24.13(0.44%)23.91-24.2278
4Apr_21_2010-0.4%-14.9% 1%,0.7(-0)1.4%,1(-0)0%,000%1.2%1.5001.5NAN%009.4   23.96(0.21%)23.84-24.08Uptrend 24.05(0.38%)23.86-24.1375
5Apr_20_2010-0.6%-14.6% 1.1%,0.8(0)1.5%,1.1(0)0.3%,0.200%1.1%1.5001.4NAN%006.94   23.91(0.55%)23.72-23.96Uptrend 24.01(0.4%)23.81-24.0971
 
6Apr_19_2010-1.1%-14% 1%,0.8(0)1.5%,1.1(-0)0.2%,0.200%1.1%1.3001.4NAN%008.77   23.78(0.21%)23.52-23.82Uptrend 23.88(0.42%)23.7-23.9671
7Apr_16_2010-1.3%-13.8% 1%,0.7(0)1.5%,1.1(0.1)0.2%,0.200%1.1%1.3001.3NAN%0015.2   23.73(-1.33%)23.61-24.02Uptrend 23.83(0.43%)23.65-23.9172
8Apr_15_20100%-15.3% 1%,0.8(0.1)1.4%,1.1(0.2)0.6%,0.500%0.9%2.5001.3NAN%009.49   24.05(0.46%)23.89-24.06Breakout 24.13(0.32%)23.9-24.2378
9Apr_14_20100%-14.8% 0.9%,0.8(0.1)1.1%,1(0.3)0.6%,0.500%0.8%2.7001.1NAN%0014.98   23.94(1.44%)23.75-23.95Breakout 23.98(0.18%)23.8-24.0677
10Apr_13_20100%-13.1% 0.8%,0.9(0)0.8%,0.9(0.1)0.2%,0.200%0.7%2000.9NAN%005.94   23.6(0.3%)23.42-23.64Breakout 23.63(0.11%)23.51-23.6764
 
11Apr_12_20100%-12.8% 0.8%,0.9(-0.1)0.7%,0.8(0)0.2%,0.200%0.6%1.9000.9NAN%004.16   23.53(0.21%)23.48-23.61Uptrend 23.55(0.09%)23.45-23.5969
12Apr_9_20100%-12.6% 0.9%,1(-0.1)0.7%,0.8(0.2)0.3%,0.400%0.6%2000.8NAN%005.49   23.48(0.77%)23.27-23.49Growing Uptrend 23.52(0.17%)23.4-23.5573
13Apr_8_2010-0.2%-11.7% 0.9%,1.1(-0.1)0.6%,0.7(0)0.2%,0.200%0.6%1.3000.8NAN%008.46   23.3(0.17%)23.07-23.33Uptrend 23.33(0.11%)23.25-23.3659
14Apr_7_2010-0.4%-11.5% 1%,1.2(-0.1)0.5%,0.6(-0.1)0.1%,0.100%0.6%1.3000.8NAN%005.71   23.26(-0.39%)23.14-23.38Uptrend 23.29(0.11%)23.21-23.3259
15Apr_6_20100%-11.9% 1.1%,1.2(-0)0.6%,0.7(0)0.2%,0.200%0.7%1.7000.9NAN%005.07   23.35(0.09%)23.16-23.41Uptrend 23.38(0.13%)23.28-23.4264
 
16Apr_5_20100%-11.8% 1.2%,1.2(-0.1)0.6%,0.6(0.1)0.3%,0.300%0.7%1.8000.9NAN%004.85   23.33(1.17%)22.93-23.34Growing Uptrend 23.38(0.2%)23.25-23.4168
17Apr_1_2010-0.9%-10.5% 1.2%,0.9(-0.1)0.4%,0.3(-0.1)-0%,-000%0.7%0.6001.3NAN%009.11   23.06(-0.17%)22.9-23.29Uptrend 23.11(0.23%)23.02-23.1562
18Mar_31_2010-0.7%-10.7% 1.3%,0.9(-0)0.6%,0.4(-0.1)0%,000%0.9%0.7001.5NAN%004.68   23.1(-0.3%)23-23.18Uptrend 23.17(0.31%)23.05-23.2262
19Mar_30_2010-0.4%-11.1% 1.4%,0.8(-0.1)0.7%,0.4(-0.1)-0%,-000%1.1%1001.6NAN%005.31   23.17(0.43%)23.03-23.25Uptrend 23.24(0.31%)23.09-23.3168
20Mar_29_2010-0.9%-10.6% 1.5%,0.9(-0)0.9%,0.5(-0)0.1%,0.100%1.2%0.9001.7NAN%007.75   23.07(0.3%)23.04-23.2Uptrend 23.18(0.46%)23-23.2570
 
21Mar_26_2010-1.2%-10.3% 1.5%,0.8(0)0.9%,0.5(-0.1)0.2%,0.100%1.3%0.7001.9NAN%008.58   23(-0.48%)22.95-23.2Uptrend 23.12(0.54%)22.94-23.271
22Mar_25_2010-0.7%-10.8% 1.5%,0.7(0)1%,0.5(-0.1)0.1%,000%1.5%1002NAN%008.33   23.11(0.17%)23.06-23.38Uptrend 23.23(0.54%)23.01-23.3378
23Mar_24_2010-0.9%-10.6% 1.4%,0.7(0)1.3%,0.6(-0.1)0.1%,000%1.7%1.1002.1NAN%005.88   23.07(-0.47%)23-23.14Uptrend 23.21(0.61%)22.96-23.3282
24Mar_23_2010-0.4%-11.1% 1.4%,0.6(0)1.6%,0.7(-0.1)0.3%,0.100%1.8%1.4002.1NAN%005.98   23.18(0.96%)22.94-23.2Uptrend 23.36(0.77%)23.04-23.587
25Mar_22_2010-1.3%-10.1% 1.3%,0.6(-0)1.7%,0.8(-0)0.2%,0.100%1.9%1.1002.1NAN%008.43   22.96(0.75%)22.66-23.06Uptrend 23.14(0.79%)22.84-23.2786
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDCVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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