Trading Signals: XHB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XHB: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 29, 2019

Trading Signals: XHB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 10, 2014 - Tue. Jan. 26, 2021)

(Home builder sector ETF)
XHB latest price $35.7400 (1.1%) ($34.6000 - $35.8050) on Tue. Jan. 29, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative   N/A
Average Daily Price Swing   $0.86 (2.48% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.3% (StdDev 1.65%)
Daily Moving Force   0.1%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Trend   0.14%
Trend Strength   1.2%
Latest Price   $35.7400(1.1%)
Forecasted Low Price   35.6(-0.4%)
Forecasted High Price   36.03(0.8%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(0.8%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   -100% (0)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   2.7%
Hourly Trend 0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Complacency   0
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   XHB advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XHB advance at 0.1% a week (75% probability)
DIA(83%)    IPO(63%)    GDXJ(23%)    GBTC(21%)    VCIT(16%)
Factors Impacting XHB price   XHB will advance at least 0.3% in a week (17% probabilities).
INDA(-21%)    SHY(-17%)    EMHY(-17%)    XLP(-15%)    EDOC(-15%)
Explanation The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY -0.7

Relative Volatility -1.2 (options are cheap)

Market Trend Strength   0.7% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

Next Hour Price   $35.74(0%)
Support Level   $34.66
5 Day Moving Average   $35.17(1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.07(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.66(3.12%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   16.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. XHB price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 1.65% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. XHB price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190301

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Jan_29_2019	34.66 (0.4%)	35.07 (0%)	35.17 (0.6%)		(0%)	35.74(1.1%)	34.6-35.81	-40.9,1.1(1.3)	0	0.1%	0.3%	0%	0.14%	1.2%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.4%)	0	63	1.5	0	0.5	N/A	35.68(-0.16%)	35.21-36.07	3.1	-0.5%-16.3%
2	Jan_28_2019	34.5 (0.4%)	35.07 (-0%)	34.96 (0%)		(0%)	35.35(0.37%)	34.8-35.53	-36.8,0.9(0.9)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.12%	1.4%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.1%)	0	63	1.7	0	0.6	Correction	35.06(-0.81%)	34.67-35.54	2.38	-1.6%-15%
3	Jan_25_2019	34.36 (0.4%)	35.07 (0%)	34.95 (0.2%)		(0%)	35.22(0.54%)	35.02-35.8	-33.3,0.8(0.8)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.18%	1.9%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.1%)	0	69	1.8	0	1.1	Uptrend Consolidation	35.02(-0.56%)	34.9-35.4	5.09	-1.9%-14.6%
4	Jan_24_2019	34.21 (0.4%)	35 (0.2%)	34.89 (0.2%)		(0%)	35.03(1.45%)	34.5-35.05	-31.2,0.7(0.7)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0.26%	2.3%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.1%)	0	76	1.9	0	0.8	Uptrend	35.26(0.65%)	34.86-35.43	2.92	-2.5%-14%
5	Jan_23_2019	34.01 (0.4%)	35.04 (0.4%)	34.83 (-0.3%)		(0%)	34.53(-0.4%)	34.17-34.98	-29.3,0.4(0.4)	0	-0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.34%	3%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.2%)	0	68	2	0	0.6	Uptrend Consolidation	34.46(-0.19%)	34.35-34.81	2.79	-3.9%-12.3%

6	Jan_22_2019	33.87 (0.4%)	35.06 (0.4%)	34.94 (-0.3%)		(0%)	34.67(-1.73%)	34.48-35.1	-28.6,0.6(0.7)	0	-0.1%	0.1%	0%	0.44%	3.5%	Uptrend Consolidation	Higher(0.9%)	0	72	2	0	0.5	Uptrend Consolidation	34.53(-0.41%)	34.36-35.04	5.34	-3.5%-12.8%
7	Jan_18_2019	33.75 (0.4%)	35.05 (0.6%)	35.03 (-0.1%)		(0%)	35.28(0.92%)	34.98-35.58	-23.5,0.9(1)	0	%	0.4%	0%	0.54%	3.9%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.4%)	0	79	2.5	0	1.5	Uptrend	35.85(1.62%)	35.01-36.21	3.88	-1.8%-14.8%
8	Jan_17_2019	33.61 (0.4%)	34.9 (0.8%)	35.06 (-0.2%)		(0%)	34.96(0.69%)	34.33-35.14	-23.7,0.8(0.9)	0	%	0.6%	0%	0.6%	3.8%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.6%)	0	77	2.4	0	1.4	Uptrend	35.53(1.62%)	34.69-35.88	4.16	-2.7%-13.7%
9	Jan_16_2019	33.51 (0.4%)	34.67 (0.8%)	35.13 (-0.4%)		(0%)	34.72(-1%)	34.72-35.23	-24.1,0.7(0.8)	0	-0.1%	0.5%	0%	0.64%	3.4%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.9%)	0	78	2.4	0	1.3	Uptrend Consolidation	34.54(-0.51%)	34.27-35.38	3.59	-3.3%-12.9%
10	Jan_15_2019	33.4 (0.4%)	34.49 (1%)	35.27 (0.2%)		(0%)	35.07(-0.2%)	34.66-35.2	-24.7,1(1.2)	0	%	0.6%	0%	0.78%	3.3%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.7%)	0	87	2.3	0	1.7	Uptrend	35.82(2.14%)	34.77-36.27	2.83	-2.4%-14.1%

11	Jan_14_2019	33.29 (0.2%)	34.25 (1%)	35.2 (0.4%)		(0%)	35.14(-0.71%)	35.1-35.42	-25.5,1.2(1.3)	0	0.1%	0.6%	0%	0.82%	2.9%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.1%)	0	77	2.3	0	1.3	Uptrend	35.91(2.19%)	34.81-36.38	1.88	-2.2%-14.3%
12	Jan_11_2019	33.19 (0.2%)	33.98 (1%)	35.05 (1%)		(0%)	35.39(0.14%)	35.08-35.58	-26.8,1.5(1.7)	0	0.2%	0.7%	0%	0.8%	2.4%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.9%)	0	69	2.1	0	1.3	Growing Uptrend	36.26(2.47%)	35.01-36.58	2.82	-1.5%-15.1%
13	Jan_10_2019	33.09 (0.2%)	33.68 (1%)	34.71 (1.7%)		(0%)	35.34(-0.23%)	34.97-35.43	-28.9,1.7(1.9)	0	0.3%	0.8%	0%	0.7%	1.8%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.2%)	0	65	2	0	0.9	Growing Uptrend	36.08(2.09%)	34.92-36.37	7.02	-1.6%-15%
14	Jan_9_2019	32.97 (-0%)	33.36 (0.6%)	34.12 (1.6%)		(0%)	35.42(2.1%)	34.49-35.67	-31.6,1.9(2.3)	0	0.3%	1.1%	0%	0.48%	1.2%	Overbought	Higher(1.4%)	0	62	1.8	0	0.8	Breakout	35.75(0.92%)	35.01-36.06	6.34	-1.7%-15.2%
15	Jan_8_2019	32.86 (-0.2%)	32.89 (0.4%)	33.6 (1.3%)		(0%)	34.69(0.78%)	34.23-34.76	-36.9,1.7(2)	0	0.3%	0.8%	0%	0.26%	0.1%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.1%)	0	62	1.5	0	0.5	Breakout	34.8(0.31%)	34.38-34.98	4.25	-6.5%-12.8%

16	Jan_7_2019	32.81 (-0.2%)	32.55 (0.2%)	33.16 (1.3%)		(0%)	34.42(2.26%)	33.57-34.75	-40.4,1.8(2)	0	0.2%	0.5%	0%	0.06%	-0.8%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.7%)	0	57	1.3	0	0.3	Uptrend Reversal	34.7(0.8%)	34.46-34.85	4.74	-7.3%-12%
17	Jan_4_2019	32.8 (-0.4%)	32.32 (-0%)	32.75 (0.8%)		(0%)	33.66(3.86%)	32.76-33.83	-41.5,1(1.1)	0	0.2%	0.3%	0%	-0.12%	-1.5%	N/A	Range(0.5%)	0	50	1.3	0	-0.1	Rebound	33.18(-1.42%)	33.58-33.01	6	-9.8%-9.5%
18	Jan_3_2019	32.82 (-0.4%)	32.19 (-0.2%)	32.5 (0.1%)		(0%)	32.41(-1.22%)	32.21-32.94	-37.8,-0.4(-0.5)	0	%	-0.3%	0%	-0.24%	-1.9%	Downtrend Consolidation Downtrend Pop	Range(0.3%)	0	39	1.5	0	-1	Downtrend	32.25(-0.49%)	32.16-32.47	4.55	-14.2%-5.4%
19	Jan_2_2019	32.98 (-0.4%)	32.24 (-0.2%)	32.46 (1.3%)		(0%)	32.81(0.89%)	31.91-32.99	-36.9,-0.2(-0.2)	0	0.3%	-0%	0%	-0.24%	-2.2%	Uptrend Reversal	Range(0.3%)	0	46	1.5	0	-0.8	Rebound	32.88(0.21%)	32.63-32.99	3.26	-13.5%-6.7%
20	Dec_31_2018	33.1 (-0.4%)	32.21 (-0.4%)	32.05 (0.7%)		(0%)	32.52(0.46%)	31.92-32.81	-28.1,-0.5(-0.5)	0	0.1%	-0.2%	0%	-0.4%	-2.7%	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(-0.1%)	0	42	1.9	0	-1.1	Rebound	32.7(0.55%)	32.07-32.97	3.28	-14.7%-5.8%

21	Dec_28_2018	33.23 (-0.4%)	32.25 (-0.6%)	31.83 (0.1%)		(0%)	32.37(-0.12%)	32.16-32.93	-25.7,-0.6(-0.7)	0	%	-0.3%	0%	-0.5%	-2.9%	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(-0.2%)	0	37	2.1	0	-1.7	Downtrend	31.95(-1.3%)	31.71-32.52	3.73	-15.4%-5.3%
22	Dec_27_2018	33.38 (-0.4%)	32.34 (-0.6%)	31.81 (-0.1%)		(0%)	32.41(0.65%)	31.3-32.43	-24.3,-0.6(-0.7)	0	%	-0.4%	0%	-0.54%	-3.1%	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.4%)	0	34	2.2	0	-1.9	Downtrend	31.92(-1.5%)	31.65-32.57	5.11	-15.8%-5.4%
23	Dec_26_2018	33.49 (-0.4%)	32.45 (-0.6%)	31.85 (-0.5%)		(0%)	32.2(4.75%)	30.56-32.23	-23.2,-0.9(-0.9)	0	-0.1%	-0.3%	0%	-0.56%	-3.1%	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.4%)	0	36	2.3	0	-1.7	After Bottom	32(-0.61%)	30.92-32.89	6.02	-17%-4.7%
24	Dec_24_2018	33.62 (-0.4%)	32.56 (-0.8%)	32.02 (-1.1%)		(0%)	30.74(-2.23%)	30.69-31.39	-23.7,-1.9(-2.1)	0	-0.2%	-0.8%	0%	-0.6%	-3.2%	Growing Downtrend	Range(0.1%)	0	16	2.4	0	-2.5	Downtrend	30.23(-1.66%)	29.81-31.2	3.66	-21.6%-0%
25	Dec_21_2018	33.82 (-0.2%)	32.85 (-0.8%)	32.39 (-1%)		(0%)	31.44(-2.58%)	31.35-32.85	-27.7,-1.8(-2)	0	-0.2%	-0.7%	0%	-0.58%	-2.9%	Growing Downtrend	Range(0.4%)	0	24	2.1	0	-2.4	Downtrend	30.98(-1.45%)	30.62-31.82	5.98	-20.9%-0%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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