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     Thu. Oct. 27, 2011

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)

XAR latest price $28.1100 (3.65%) ($27.7800 - $28.1100) on Thu. Oct. 27, 2011.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.6% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $28.1100(3.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XAR advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XAR advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IWM(77%)    SPY(74%)    PEJ(71%)    XLY(70%)    XLK(66%)  
Factors Impacting XAR price  XAR will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-24%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $26.97(4.23%)
10 Day Moving Average  $26.52(6%)
20 Day Moving Average  $25.83(8.83%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  15.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XAR price fluctuates within 3.52% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

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