Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 21, 2020

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $94.3600 (-0.44%) ($94.1800 - $94.6470) on Tue. Jan. 21, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.41% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $94.3600(-0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VYM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VYM advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(94%)    XLF(93%)    IVE(91%)    IWD(91%)    VT(91%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-65%)    VXX(-32%)    TLT(-26%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.205% (StdDev 0.41%)
Hourly BBV 0.2 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $94.3(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.84(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $93.77(0.63%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 0.51% (three month std-dev: 0.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_21_2020	90.67	93.77	93.84	94.3	94.37	94.58	94.36(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	20	20	75	1.43	67%	0.09	41.2	0.41%	0.2	1.2	59	1.4
2	Jan_17_2020	90.59	93.74	93.74	94.18	94.2	94.57	94.78(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	87	30	88	83	1	71%	0.1	41.2	0.41%	0.2	2.2	57	1.9
3	Jan_16_2020	90.5	93.68	93.57	93.87	93.9	94.16	94.57(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	61	20	68	40	1.3	71%	0.11	43.2	0.41%	1.5	2.2	56	2.2
4	Jan_15_2020	90.4	93.63	93.5	93.67	93.66	93.83	93.92(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	10	39	17	1.3	68%	0.1	59.5	0.4%	0.2	0.8	53	2
5	Jan_14_2020	90.31	93.61	93.47	93.51	93.56	93.65	93.86(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	10	42	5	0.85	68%	0.11	64.9	0.41%	1	0.7	52	2.3

6	Jan_13_2020	90.21	93.57	93.47	93.32	93.39	93.49	93.75(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	6	10	19	-35	2.66	68%	0.11	61.1	0.41%	1.3	0.5	41	2.5
7	Jan_10_2020	90.11	93.54	93.42	93.32	93.25	93.46	93.23(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	11	20	27	-39	1.65	70%	0.08	70	0.43%	-0.9	-0.8	44	1.4
8	Jan_9_2020	90.04	93.5	93.48	93.23	93.15	93.29	93.59(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	14	10	30	-35	1.3	70%	0.09	82.5	0.43%	1.5	0.2	49	1.4
9	Jan_8_2020	89.96	93.42	93.49	93.3	93.09	93.04	93.14(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10	-17	-50	0.95	57%	0.09	80.8	0.43%	1.9	-0.6	44	0.7
10	Jan_7_2020	89.88	93.38	93.54	93.42	93.29	93.01	92.9(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-30	-26	-40	0.83	57%	0.07	79.4	0.48%	-0.7	-0.8	44	0.6

11	Jan_6_2020	89.82	93.36	93.7	93.52	93.43	93.13	93.28(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-30	-62	-30	2.49	57%	0.1	81.4	0.48%	-0.7	-0.1	56	0.6
12	Jan_3_2020	89.73	93.28	93.76	93.64	93.58	93.58	93.23(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-0	-30	-1	1.93	62%	0.1	78.4	0.5%	-0.7	-0.1	52	0.5
13	Jan_2_2020	89.64	93.19	93.81	93.77	93.76	93.72	93.97(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-0	19	46	1.99	57%	0.16	69	0.49%	1.5	1	70	1.3
14	Dec_31_2019	89.5	93.03	93.78	93.7	93.72	93.59	93.71(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-6	-10	-21	40	0.7	51%	0.1	48.6	0.55%	-0.3	0.7	70	0.9
15	Dec_30_2019	89.41	92.91	93.77	93.69	93.76	93.8	93.43(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	10	-13	56	1.59	51%	0.08	46.6	0.58%	-2	0.5	66	0.4

16	Dec_27_2019	89.34	92.83	93.74	93.9	93.78	93.85	93.87(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	25	0	5	86	1.38	51%	0.09	55.1	0.57%	0.4	0.9	69	0.9
17	Dec_26_2019	89.26	92.74	93.67	93.89	93.9	93.72	93.85(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10	3	105	1.07	51%	0.13	61	0.57%	0.4	1	75	1.2
18	Dec_24_2019	89.14	92.63	93.52	93.85	93.91	93.7	93.63(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10	-35	99	0.46	46%	0.1	64.9	0.57%	-2.4	0.9	75	1.3
19	Dec_23_2019	89.05	92.53	93.37	93.87	93.91	94.08	93.66(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	30	10	-2	124	2.72	46%	0.09	67.3	0.6%	-1	1.1	79	1.2
20	Dec_20_2019	88.97	92.41	93.22	93.85	93.93	94.11	94.47(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	78	20	51	158	1.35	49%	0.08	67.3	0.59%	1.4	2	77	1.5

21	Dec_19_2019	88.9	92.23	92.99	93.55	93.71	93.77	93.85(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	10	16	134	2.29	46%	0.07	64.4	0.59%	0.9	1.7	67	1.8
22	Dec_18_2019	88.84	92.08	92.76	93.43	93.53	93.74	93.66(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	20	31	128	0.85	46%	0.06	63	0.59%	-0.2	1.7	62	1.7
23	Dec_17_2019	88.79	91.95	92.52	93.12	93.27	93.66	93.71(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	78	30	63	121	1.56	46%	0.05	58.5	0.59%	0.7	2	65	2.1
24	Dec_16_2019	88.75	91.83	92.22	92.78	92.87	93.31	93.57(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	40	11	69	1.45	46%	0.06	55.4	0.59%	1	2.3	65	2.2