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     Fri. Jun. 5, 2020



Trading Signals: VLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)

(Valero Energy Corporation)

VLO latest price $74.6400 (6.55%) ($73.0600 - $75.7500) on Fri. Jun. 5, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Overbought
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  VLO advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  VLO advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support VLO advance at 7% a week (80% probability)
  XLE(83%)    IWN(80%)    IWM(79%)    XAR(78%)    XLF(78%)  
Factors Impacting VLO price  VLO will advance at least 6% in a week (44% probabilities).
  VXX(-57%)    VIXM(-46%)    TLT(-24%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-2%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  A pullback is expected soon.
 
Valuation to SPY   1.5
 
Relative Volatility   -0.7 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly Trend   2.3% [$72(2.15), $70.38(1.91)]
Last Hour Trend   -0.43% [$74.8, $75.12]


VLO Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  75%
Bullish Price Move  7.3%
Bearish Probability  25%
Bearish Price Move  -7.3%
Recommended Position Size  7%
Latest Price  $74.6400
Next Day Open Price  $74(-0.86%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $70.87(-5.05%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $67.63 - $75.74
Support Level  $66.28
5 Day Moving Average  $70(6.63%)
10 Day Moving Average  $68.94(8.27%)
20 Day Moving Average  $66.28(12.61%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  128.8%
Market Cap  $30.435b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
Earning Release Date  Thu. Oct. 22, 2020
Analyst One Year Target Price  $73.84 ($52.00 - $91.00)
  19 analysts (last updated on Fri. May. 29, 2020)
% to Average Target Price  -1.07%
% to Low Target Price  -30.33%
% to High Target Price  21.92%
 


  
 
 


Valero Energy Corp. engages in the manufacture and marketing of transportation fuels and other petrochemical products. It operates through the following business segments: Refining, Ethanol, and Renewable Diesel. The Refining segment comprises of refining operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its refining operations. The Ethanol segment includes its ethanol operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its ethanol operations. The Renewable Diesel covers the operations of Diamond Green Diesel Holdings LLC. The company was founded on January 1, 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, TX.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. VLO price fluctuates within 5.87% (three month std-dev: 7.32%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. VLO price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200705

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Jun_5_20200%-128.8% 3.4%,0.6(0.1)4.5%,0.8(0.1)2.3%,0.41.2-0.43%4%2.11.5-0.7(5.87%,NAN%)1.45.7   74.64(6.55%)73.06-75.75Overbought 70.87(-5.05%)67.63-75.7479
2Jun_4_2020-0.7%-114.7% 2.6%,0.5(0.1)4.1%,0.8(-0.2)0.9%,0.21.20.14%3.7%1.31.1-1(5.32%,NAN%)1.53.39   70.05(-0.69%)69.16-70.59Uptrend Consolidation 68.78(-1.82%)68.19-70.5574
3Jun_3_20200%-116.2% 2%,0.4(-0.1)4.9%,0.9(-0)0.1%,00.90.9%4%1.61.1-1.1(5.31%,NAN%)1.64.96   70.54(3.45%)68.65-70.93Uptrend 70.7(0.23%)69.32-71.2976
4Jun_2_2020-2.8%-109% 2.4%,0.5(-0.1)5.1%,1(-0)-0.2%,-0-0.3-0.28%3.6%1.10.9-1.3(4.99%,NAN%)1.54.37   68.19(2.42%)66.52-68.69Uptrend 68.44(0.36%)67.42-68.8760
5Jun_1_2020-5.1%-104.1% 3%,0.6(-0.1)5.2%,1.1(0.2)0.3%,0.1-1.20.05%3.4%0.70.7-1.5(4.85%,NAN%)1.23.89   66.58(-0.09%)65.3-67.34Growing Uptrend 67.13(0.83%)66.1-67.3952
 
6May_29_2020-5%-104.3% 3.5%,0.7(-0.2)4.1%,0.8(0.1)0.3%,0.1-0.90.61%2.9%0.80.7-1.6(5.16%,NAN%)1.54.97   66.64(-0.73%)65.75-67.93Uptrend 66.97(0.49%)66.12-67.3352
7May_28_2020-4.3%-105.8% 4.3%,0.8(-0.3)3.8%,0.8(0)-0.1%,-01.2-0.71%2.2%10.9-1.8(5.08%,NAN%)14.99   67.13(-4.35%)66.53-70.5Uptrend 67.41(0.41%)66.45-67.8161
8May_27_20200%-115.1% 5.6%,1.1(-0)3.7%,0.7(0.2)1.9%,0.41.8-0.21%1.1%21.4-2(5.04%,NAN%)1.44.35   70.18(2.15%)68.75-71.29Growing Uptrend 70.61(0.61%)68.76-71.0666
9May_26_2020-4.2%-110.6% 5.8%,1.2(-0)2.7%,0.6(0.1)1.3%,0.30.30.24%0.9%1.81.3-2.3(4.92%,NAN%)1.44.83   68.7(4.6%)68.19-70.15Uptrend 68.82(0.17%)67.52-69.3859
10May_22_2020-15.9%-101.3% 5.9%,1(0.1)2.3%,0.4(0)2.2%,0.40.30.34%1.3%0.81-1.5(6.1%,NAN%)1.43.51   65.68(-0.08%)63.95-65.98Uptrend 66.06(0.58%)65.08-66.4854
 
11May_21_2020-20.7%-101.5% 5.4%,0.8(-0)2.1%,0.3(0.2)2%,0.30.9-0.09%2.3%0.91-1.1(6.89%,NAN%)1.32.96   65.73(-2.39%)65.36-67.79Growing Uptrend 66.3(0.86%)64.94-66.6463
12May_20_2020-20%-106.4% 5.4%,0.7(0.1)0.7%,0.1(0.3)2.7%,0.41.5-0.22%2.6%1.31.2-0.7(7.71%,NAN%)1.65.34   67.34(5.14%)65.73-68.25Growing Uptrend 67.7(0.54%)66.04-68.1256
13May_19_2020-23.9%-96.4% 5.1%,0.6(0)-1.5%,-0.2(-0.1)0.2%,01.50.17%2.9%0.70.9-0.4(8.35%,NAN%)1.14.57   64.05(-0.47%)62.51-65.71Correction 62.4(-2.57%)60.84-64.3247
14May_18_2020-23.5%-97.3% 5%,0.6(-0)-1%,-0.1(-0.2)-0.4%,-00.60.12%3.9%0.90.8-0.1(8.93%,NAN%)1.54.42   64.35(9.48%)61.61-64.91Correction 62.27(-3.24%)60.33-64.6460
15May_15_2020-30.2%-80.2% 5.3%,0.6(-0.1)0.4%,0(-0.2)-2.3%,-0.2-1.2-0.25%4.9%-0.10.2-0(9.17%,NAN%)1.53.77   58.78(-1.06%)57.79-60.5Uptrend Consolidation 58.87(0.15%)58.78-59.1458
 
16May_14_2020-29.4%-82.1% 6.3%,0.6(0)2.7%,0.3(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.1-1.5-0.22%5.6%0.10.40.7(10.44%,NAN%)1.25.23   59.41(0.61%)55.81-60.65Uptrend Consolidation 59.39(-0.04%)59.1-60.2463
17May_13_2020-29.8%-81% 6.1%,0.5(-0)4.8%,0.4(-0.3)-0.6%,-0.1-0.6-0.79%7.5%0.10.51.2(11.3%,NAN%)0.65.72   59.05(-6.77%)58.73-62.04Uptrend Consolidation 59.13(0.14%)58.72-60.3863
18May_12_2020-25.5%-94.2% 6.3%,0.5(-0)7.8%,0.7(-0.1)0.1%,00.6-0.36%9.8%0.911.4(11.62%,NAN%)1.55.02   63.34(-3.4%)63.34-66.87Uptrend Consolidation 61.9(-2.28%)60.76-65.371
19May_11_2020-22.9%-101% 6.8%,0.6(-0.1)9.4%,0.8(-0.1)0.6%,0.10.60.17%10.1%1.31.21.5(11.76%,NAN%)2.24.97   65.57(-0.53%)65.01-66.71Uptrend 67.42(2.82%)63.64-69.0475
20May_8_2020-22.5%-102.1% 7.7%,0.7(-0)10.4%,0.9(0.1)2.3%,0.2-00.36%10%1.51.21.5(11.61%,NAN%)24.4   65.92(7.61%)61.56-66.22Uptrend 68.18(3.43%)63.62-70.1373
 
21May_7_2020-28%-87.8% 7.8%,0.7(-0.1)9.4%,0.8(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.1-0-0.23%9.3%10.71.1(11.21%,NAN%)1.64.31   61.26(0.57%)60.86-64.05Uptrend Consolidation 59.72(-2.52%)58.51-63.3266
22May_6_2020-28.4%-86.7% 9.3%,0.8(-0.1)11.6%,1(-0.2)-1.7%,-0.20.60.03%8.7%10.70.8(11.07%,NAN%)1.44.4   60.91(-3.35%)60.59-64.04Uptrend Consolidation 59.5(-2.31%)58.21-63.3874
23May_5_2020-25.9%-93.2% 10.4%,0.9(0)14.1%,1.3(0.1)1.7%,0.10-0.66%8.3%1.510.8(11.15%,NAN%)1.66.33   63.02(-1.01%)62.42-66.55Uptrend 65.83(4.46%)60.91-67.9472
24May_4_2020-25.1%-95.2% 10%,0.9(0.1)13.3%,1.2(0.1)2.7%,0.2-0.91.01%7.5%1.81.20.7(11.03%,NAN%)1.46.61   63.66(8.34%)57.78-63.73Growing Uptrend 67.1(5.4%)61.2-68.5765
25May_1_2020-30.9%-80.1% 8.8%,0.8(0.1)12%,1.1(0.1)2.1%,0.20.30.14%7.3%1.10.50.1(11.43%,NAN%)14.65   58.76(-7.25%)58.34-61.91Uptrend 61.36(4.43%)57.25-63.1263
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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