Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TLT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 17, 2020

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Apr. 18, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $153.2500 (-6.3%) ($153.2500 - $153.2500) on Tue. Mar. 17, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.79% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $153.2500(-6.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(67%)    VCIT(61%)    BND(53%)    LQD(42%)    BNDX(40%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
TBT(-97%)    XLF(-26%)    XOP(-25%)    VYM(-24%)    XLE(-23%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.895% (StdDev 1.79%)
Hourly BBV -1.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $155.68
5 Day Moving Average   $157.07(-2.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $159.74(-4.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $155.68(-1.56%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 4.22% (three month std-dev: 1.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.88%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.44%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 6.37%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.53%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 16.4%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.38%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2020	142.88	155.68	159.74	157.07	159.19	161.12	153.25(-6.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	54	130	55	49	14.19	59%	0.11	46.9	1.79%	-1.3	-0.4	55	-2.2
2	Mar_16_2020	142.72	155.35	160.14	158.96	159.75	158.35	163.55(6.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	7	-50	-12	64	29.66	65%	0.19	55	1.58%	1.6	1.2	63	-2.7
3	Mar_13_2020	142.45	154.41	159.2	160.44	161.34	157.4	154.01(-2.48%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-203	-150	-272	4	19.8	62%	0.11	61.6	1.39%	-1.4	-0.1	57	-1.9
4	Mar_12_2020	142.3	153.96	159.46	162.88	166.56	161.24	157.92(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-142	-160	-220	92	24.35	63%	0.13	70	1.35%	-1.5	0.6	64	-2.6
5	Mar_11_2020	142.11	153.26	158.94	162.99	168.56	165.94	156.64(-3.71%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-123	-10	-203	117	26.43	63%	0.13	69.8	1.37%	-1.7	0.5	64	-2.2

6	Mar_10_2020	141.93	152.66	158.44	162.59	167.28	172.37	162.67(-4.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	170	300	134	279	32.43	68%	0.18	67.6	1.28%	-1.5	1.3	74	-2
7	Mar_9_2020	141.68	151.74	157.3	161.28	164.1	171.17	170.98(2.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	570	350	593	501	37.02	77%	0.23	64.7	1.09%	0.9	2.6	89	-2.7
8	Mar_6_2020	141.35	150.34	155.13	157.87	159.06	162.12	166.18(4.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	354	160	349	370	70.09	75%	0.2	62.9	1.04%	1.5	2.7	88	-2.3
9	Mar_5_2020	141.07	149.11	153.24	155.76	156.36	157.03	158.5(2.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	147	40	100	286	14.59	71%	0.13	63.8	0.87%	1.3	1.9	85	-2.1
10	Mar_4_2020	140.88	148.27	152.06	154.42	155.68	156.04	154.62(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	123	40	73	274	23.09	66%	0.11	58.1	0.82%	-1	1.4	82	-1.6

11	Mar_3_2020	140.72	147.7	151.18	153.62	154.61	155.69	156.1(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	130	70	83	269	35.5	70%	0.11	56.2	0.82%	0.6	1.9	84	-2.3
12	Mar_2_2020	140.57	147.13	150.11	152.63	153.4	155.32	153.95(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	188	100	159	275	22.84	66%	0.1	57.6	0.84%	0.3	1.8	78	-1.9
13	Feb_28_2020	140.43	146.69	149.17	151.89	152.29	153.51	155.61(2.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	207	60	186	270	34	68%	0.1	63.2	0.85%	1.6	2.5	86	-2.8
14	Feb_27_2020	140.29	146.1	147.98	150.37	151.16	151.43	151.82(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	111	30	79	206	26.28	65%	0.06	69.6	0.8%	0.5	2	84	-3.1
15	Feb_26_2020	140.21	145.71	147.13	149.35	150.11	151.07	150.61(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	96	60	67	181	15.5	64%	0.04	76.2	0.8%	0	2	84	-2.4

16	Feb_25_2020	140.16	145.32	146.46	148.33	149.08	150.9	151.15(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	185	100	179	203	20.13	64%	0.05	79.5	0.8%	1	2.6	76	-3.2
17	Feb_24_2020	140.09	144.94	145.79	147.19	147.59	149.24	150.28(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	178	90	181	170	15.08	64%	0.03	97.6	0.8%	1.1	2.9	62	-3.1
18	Feb_21_2020	140.05	144.51	145.16	146.05	146.41	147.37	148.01(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	135	50	141	117	13.07	62%	0.03	111	0.78%	1.2	2.4	55	-0.8
19	Feb_20_2020	140.01	144.16	144.63	145.23	145.54	145.91	146.68(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	58	20	60	53	7.07	62%	0.02	103.1	0.77%	1.6	1.8	57	0.4
20	Feb_19_2020	139.98	143.83	144.16	144.58	144.93	145.53	145.51(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	40	46	16	5.71	60%	0.01	86.9	0.78%	0.5	1.1	53	1

21	Feb_18_2020	139.96	143.54	143.95	144.3	144.42	145.19	145.49(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	61	40	74	20	6.91	60%	0	76.2	0.78%	1	1.1	59	0.8
22	Feb_14_2020	139.96	143.18	143.92	144.17	144.05	144.3	144.55(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	10	48	12	7.14	62%	0.01	64.1	0.77%	0.9	0.7	51	0.9
23	Feb_13_2020	139.94	142.93	144.03	144.14	144.11	143.54	143.95(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-13	-30	-18	4	7.85	62%	0.02	64.1	0.78%	0.3	0.5	58	0.6
24	Feb_12_2020	139.91	142.72	144.09	143.91	144.25	143.8	143.42(-0.48%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-28	-10	-39	6	5.46	62%	-0.01	64.8	0.79%	-1.2	0.3	60	1
25	Feb_11_2020	139.92	142.51	144.21	143.63	144.08	144.6	144.11(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	30	17	43	7.78	62%		60.9	0.78%	-1	0.7	65	0.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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