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     Thu. Jun. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Apr. 15, 2021)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $132.2300 (-1.14%) ($132.0800 - $133.3200) on Thu. Jun. 23, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  N/A
Trend Narrative  Uptrend Consolidation
Average Daily Price Swing  $2.01 (1.51% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.67% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.1% (StdDev 0.67%)
Daily Moving Force  -0.1%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Hourly Trend Strength  0%
Trend   0.06%
Trend Strength  1%
Trend Clarity  -0.07(-0.1/2.01/133.3)
RSI   48
Momentum  2.3
Latest Price  $132.2300(-1.14%)
Forecasted Low Price  131.9(-0.25%)
Forecasted High Price  133.02(0.6%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.2%)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  2.1%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT decline at-0.1% a week (72% probability)
  TIP(70%)    BND(65%)    BNDX(51%)    BWX(49%)    LQD(48%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will decline at least -0.1% in a week (63% probabilities).
  TBT(-96%)    XLF(-49%)    IVE(-44%)    IWD(-43%)    VYM(-42%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   2
 
Relative Volatility   0.9 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.3% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.3%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $132.23(0%)
5 Day Moving Average  $133.86(-1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average  $134.65(-1.8%)
20 Day Moving Average  $133.3(-0.8%)
To recent high  -3.1%
To recent low  3.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 0.67%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20160723

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
Hourly
Trend
Strength
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Jun_23_2016133.3 (0.2%)134.65 (0%)133.86 (-0.6%)  (0%)132.23(-1.14%)132.08-133.320.3(-0.5)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%0%0.06%1%482.3 N/A  Higher(0.4%)000Uptrend Consolidation 132.51(0.21%)132.53-132.439.03   -3.1%-3.9% 
2Jun_22_2016133.19 (0.2%)134.87 (0.2%)134.71 (-0.3%)  (0%)133.76(0.16%)133.25-133.990.7(0.3)0 -0.1%0.1%0%0%0.16%1.3%642.5 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0%)000Uptrend Consolidation 133.76(0%)133.54-134.415.77   -2%-5.1% 
3Jun_21_2016133 (0.2%)134.85 (0.2%)135.11 (-0.3%)  (0%)133.54(-0.46%)133.46-134.581(0.2)0 -0.1%0.1%0%0%0.22%1.4%672.6 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)000Uptrend 134.46(0.69%)133.43-134.916.01   -2.1%-4.9% 
4Jun_20_2016132.86 (0.2%)134.79 (0.2%)135.46 (-0.2%)  (0%)134.16(-1.07%)134.01-134.551.3(0.6)0 %0.1%0%0%0.26%1.5%712.6 Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(0.6%)000Uptrend 135.33(0.87%)133.92-135.927.37   -1.7%-5.4% 
5Jun_17_2016132.66 (0.2%)134.63 (0.4%)135.71 (0.1%)  (0%)135.61(-0.62%)135.26-136.271.7(1.2)0 %0.2%0%0%0.3%1.5%812.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.5%)000Uptrend 136.97(1%)135.06-137.798.49   -0.6%-6.6% 
 
6Jun_16_2016132.38 (0.2%)134.39 (0.4%)135.54 (0.4%)  (0%)136.46(0.49%)136.18-137.561.9(1.8)0 0.1%0.3%0%0%0.34%1.5%852.7 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.4%)000Uptrend 137.91(1.06%)135.75-138.8410.37   0%-7.2% 
7Jun_15_2016132.02 (0.2%)133.89 (0.4%)135.07 (0.4%)  (0%)135.8(0.38%)135.31-136.232(1.7)0 0.1%0.3%-0.3%0%0.32%1.4%862.5 Growing Uptrend  Lower(-0.4%)000Uptrend 137.16(1%)135.13-138.037.95   0%-6.7% 
8Jun_14_2016131.78 (0.2%)133.36 (0.4%)134.57 (0.4%)  (0%)135.28(-0.07%)135.22-136.222(1.8)0 0.1%0.3%-0.3%0%0.3%1.2%792.3 Growing Uptrend  Lower(-0.4%)000Growing Uptrend 136.62(0.99%)134.67-137.119.01   -0.1%-6.3% 
9Jun_13_2016131.55 (0.2%)132.85 (0.4%)134.02 (0.5%)  (0%)135.38(0.45%)134.77-135.392(2.1)0 0.1%0.3%-0.3%0%0.26%1%742.1 Growing Uptrend  Lower(-0.4%)000Breakout 136.22(0.62%)134.73-136.867.69   0%-6.4% 
10Jun_10_2016131.37 (0.2%)132.3 (0.2%)133.4 (0.2%)  (0%)134.78(0.48%)134.26-135.331.9(2.2)0 %0.3%0%0%0.22%0.7%741.8 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)000Breakout 135.33(0.41%)134.17-135.836.98   0%-5.9% 
 
11Jun_9_2016131.17 (0%)131.81 (0.2%)133.09 (0.4%)  (0%)134.13(0.65%)133.93-134.541.9(2.2)0 0.1%0.3%0%0%0.2%0.5%731.6 Breakout  Higher(0.4%)000Breakout 134.61(0.36%)133.61-135.036.82   0%-5.4% 
12Jun_8_2016131.02 (0%)131.33 (0.2%)132.53 (0.4%)  (0%)133.27(0.54%)132.71-133.431.8(1.9)0 0.1%0.2%0%0%0.16%0.2%721.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)000Growing Uptrend 133.72(0.34%)132.88-133.935.31   0%-4.7% 
13Jun_7_2016130.89 (0%)130.98 (0.2%)131.96 (0.4%)  (0%)132.56(0.24%)132.54-132.981.4(1.6)0 0.1%0.1%0%0%0.12%0.1%541.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)000Growing Uptrend 132.84(0.21%)132.26-132.994.68   -0.5%-4.2% 
14Jun_6_2016130.79 (0%)130.75 (0%)131.48 (0.4%)  (0%)132.24(-0.74%)132.1-132.891.1(1.5)0 0.1%0.1%0%0%0.08%-0%541.1 N/A  Higher(0.6%)000Uptrend 132.37(0.1%)131.99-132.547.57   -0.7%-3.9% 
15Jun_3_2016130.7 (0%)130.53 (0%)131 (0.5%)  (0%)133.23(1.42%)132.6-133.230.7(2.7)0 0.1%0.2%0%0%0.04%-0.1%511.1 Breakout  Range(0.3%)000Uptrend 133.23(0%)132.8-133.4211.08   0%-4.7% 
 
16Jun_2_2016130.57 (0%)130.18 (-0%)130.37 (0.3%)  (0%)131.36(0.72%)130.87-131.690(1.1)0 0.1%0.1%0%0%-0.02%-0.3%510.9 N/A  Range(0.2%)000N/A 131.19(-0.13%)130.97-131.365.84   -1.1%-3.2% 
17Jun_1_2016130.51 (0%)129.99 (-0.2%)129.97 (0.1%)  (0%)130.42(0.2%)130.11-131.27-0.4(-0.1)0 %-0%0%0%-0.06%-0.4%420.9 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0%)000Downtrend 130.35(-0.05%)130.31-130.449.87   -1.8%-2.5% 
18May_31_2016130.46 (0%)130.06 (-0.2%)129.86 (-0%)  (0%)130.16(0.24%)128.98-130.44-0.5(-0.4)0 %-0%0%0%-0.06%-0.3%460.9 Growing Downtrend  Range(0%)000Correction 129.65(-0.39%)129.56-130.058.34   -2%-2.3% 
19May_27_2016130.36 (0%)130.15 (-0.2%)129.91 (-0.1%)  (0%)129.85(-0.15%)129.7-130.26-0.4(-0.5)0 %-0.1%0%0%-0.06%-0.2%451.1 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0%)000Correction 129.21(-0.49%)129.09-129.715.27   -2.3%-2% 
20May_26_2016130.35 (0%)130.38 (-0%)129.91 (0%)  (0%)130.04(0.52%)129.8-130.45-0.3(-0.3)0 %-0%0%0%-0.04%0%491.1 N/A  Range(0%)000Downtrend 129.99(-0.04%)129.94-130.095.42   -2.1%-2.2% 
 
21May_25_2016130.31 (0%)130.47 (-0%)129.97 (-0%)  (0%)129.37(-0.38%)129.31-130.25-0.2(-0.9)0 %-0.1%0%0%-0.04%0.1%421.2 N/A  Range(0.1%)000Correction 128.76(-0.47%)128.64-129.276.37   -2.6%-1.7% 
22May_24_2016130.28 (0%)130.7 (-0%)130 (-0.2%)  (0%)129.86(-0.44%)129.24-130.19-0.1(-0.3)0 %-0%0%0%-0.02%0.3%501.3 N/A  Range(0.2%)000Correction 129.16(-0.54%)129.01-129.745.97   -2.3%-2.1% 
23May_23_2016130.16 (0%)130.81 (-0%)130.3 (-0.1%)  (0%)130.44(0.22%)129.92-130.730.2(0.2)0 %0%0%0%0%0.5%571.4 N/A  Range(0%)000Correction 130.3(-0.11%)130.18-130.446.98   -1.8%-2.5% 
24May_20_2016130.04 (0%)130.86 (0%)130.44 (-0.3%)  (0%)130.15(0.08%)129.55-130.40.3(0.1)0 -0.1%-0%0%0%0.04%0.6%641.5 N/A  Range(-0.1%)000Uptrend Consolidation 130.11(-0.03%)130.08-130.25.35   -2%-2.3% 
25May_19_2016129.96 (0%)130.9 (0%)130.86 (-0.2%)  (0%)130.05(0.43%)129.65-130.330.6(0.1)0 %-0%0%0%0.08%0.7%541.5 N/A  Range(0%)000Uptrend Consolidation 130.04(-0.01%)129.98-130.196.21   -2.1%-2.2% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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