Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TLT: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Apr. 15, 2021)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $132.2300 (-1.14%) ($132.0800 - $133.3200) on Thu. Jun. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   N/A
Trend Narrative   Uptrend Consolidation
Average Daily Price Swing   $2.01 (1.51% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.67% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   -0.1% (StdDev 0.67%)
Daily Moving Force   -0.1%
Rebound Strength   None(0%)
Hourly Trend Strength   0%
Trend   0.06%
Trend Strength   1%
Trend Clarity   -0.07(-0.1/2.01/133.3)
RSI   48
Momentum   2.3
Latest Price   $132.2300(-1.14%)
Forecasted Low Price   131.9(-0.25%)
Forecasted High Price   133.02(0.6%)
Direction of Next Movement   Range(0.2%)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   2.1%
Hourly Trend 0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Complacency   0
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT decline at-0.1% a week (72% probability)
TIP(70%)    BND(65%)    BNDX(51%)    BWX(49%)    LQD(48%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.1% in a week (63% probabilities).
TBT(-96%)    XLF(-49%)    IVE(-44%)    IWD(-43%)    VYM(-42%)
Explanation The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 2

Relative Volatility 0.9 (options are expensive)

Market Trend Strength   -0.3% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Next Hour Price   $132.23(0%)
5 Day Moving Average   $133.86(-1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $134.65(-1.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $133.3(-0.8%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 0.67% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160723

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Hourly Trend Strength	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Jun_23_2016	133.3 (0.2%)	134.65 (0%)	133.86 (-0.6%)		(0%)	132.23(-1.14%)	132.08-133.32	0.3(-0.5)	0	-0.1%	-0.1%	0%	0%	0.06%	1%	48	2.3	N/A	Higher(0.4%)	0	0	0	Uptrend Consolidation	132.51(0.21%)	132.53-132.43	9.03	-3.1%-3.9%
2	Jun_22_2016	133.19 (0.2%)	134.87 (0.2%)	134.71 (-0.3%)		(0%)	133.76(0.16%)	133.25-133.99	0.7(0.3)	0	-0.1%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.16%	1.3%	64	2.5	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0%)	0	0	0	Uptrend Consolidation	133.76(0%)	133.54-134.41	5.77	-2%-5.1%
3	Jun_21_2016	133 (0.2%)	134.85 (0.2%)	135.11 (-0.3%)		(0%)	133.54(-0.46%)	133.46-134.58	1(0.2)	0	-0.1%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.22%	1.4%	67	2.6	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(0.2%)	0	0	0	Uptrend	134.46(0.69%)	133.43-134.91	6.01	-2.1%-4.9%
4	Jun_20_2016	132.86 (0.2%)	134.79 (0.2%)	135.46 (-0.2%)		(0%)	134.16(-1.07%)	134.01-134.55	1.3(0.6)	0	%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.26%	1.5%	71	2.6	Uptrend Consolidation	Higher(0.6%)	0	0	0	Uptrend	135.33(0.87%)	133.92-135.92	7.37	-1.7%-5.4%
5	Jun_17_2016	132.66 (0.2%)	134.63 (0.4%)	135.71 (0.1%)		(0%)	135.61(-0.62%)	135.26-136.27	1.7(1.2)	0	%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.3%	1.5%	81	2.7	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.5%)	0	0	0	Uptrend	136.97(1%)	135.06-137.79	8.49	-0.6%-6.6%

6	Jun_16_2016	132.38 (0.2%)	134.39 (0.4%)	135.54 (0.4%)		(0%)	136.46(0.49%)	136.18-137.56	1.9(1.8)	0	0.1%	0.3%	0%	0%	0.34%	1.5%	85	2.7	Growing Uptrend	Higher(0.4%)	0	0	0	Uptrend	137.91(1.06%)	135.75-138.84	10.37	0%-7.2%
7	Jun_15_2016	132.02 (0.2%)	133.89 (0.4%)	135.07 (0.4%)		(0%)	135.8(0.38%)	135.31-136.23	2(1.7)	0	0.1%	0.3%	-0.3%	0%	0.32%	1.4%	86	2.5	Growing Uptrend	Lower(-0.4%)	0	0	0	Uptrend	137.16(1%)	135.13-138.03	7.95	0%-6.7%
8	Jun_14_2016	131.78 (0.2%)	133.36 (0.4%)	134.57 (0.4%)		(0%)	135.28(-0.07%)	135.22-136.22	2(1.8)	0	0.1%	0.3%	-0.3%	0%	0.3%	1.2%	79	2.3	Growing Uptrend	Lower(-0.4%)	0	0	0	Growing Uptrend	136.62(0.99%)	134.67-137.11	9.01	-0.1%-6.3%
9	Jun_13_2016	131.55 (0.2%)	132.85 (0.4%)	134.02 (0.5%)		(0%)	135.38(0.45%)	134.77-135.39	2(2.1)	0	0.1%	0.3%	-0.3%	0%	0.26%	1%	74	2.1	Growing Uptrend	Lower(-0.4%)	0	0	0	Breakout	136.22(0.62%)	134.73-136.86	7.69	0%-6.4%
10	Jun_10_2016	131.37 (0.2%)	132.3 (0.2%)	133.4 (0.2%)		(0%)	134.78(0.48%)	134.26-135.33	1.9(2.2)	0	%	0.3%	0%	0%	0.22%	0.7%	74	1.8	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	0	0	0	Breakout	135.33(0.41%)	134.17-135.83	6.98	0%-5.9%

11	Jun_9_2016	131.17 (0%)	131.81 (0.2%)	133.09 (0.4%)		(0%)	134.13(0.65%)	133.93-134.54	1.9(2.2)	0	0.1%	0.3%	0%	0%	0.2%	0.5%	73	1.6	Breakout	Higher(0.4%)	0	0	0	Breakout	134.61(0.36%)	133.61-135.03	6.82	0%-5.4%
12	Jun_8_2016	131.02 (0%)	131.33 (0.2%)	132.53 (0.4%)		(0%)	133.27(0.54%)	132.71-133.43	1.8(1.9)	0	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.16%	0.2%	72	1.4	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.3%)	0	0	0	Growing Uptrend	133.72(0.34%)	132.88-133.93	5.31	0%-4.7%
13	Jun_7_2016	130.89 (0%)	130.98 (0.2%)	131.96 (0.4%)		(0%)	132.56(0.24%)	132.54-132.98	1.4(1.6)	0	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.12%	0.1%	54	1.2	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.2%)	0	0	0	Growing Uptrend	132.84(0.21%)	132.26-132.99	4.68	-0.5%-4.2%
14	Jun_6_2016	130.79 (0%)	130.75 (0%)	131.48 (0.4%)		(0%)	132.24(-0.74%)	132.1-132.89	1.1(1.5)	0	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0%	0.08%	-0%	54	1.1	N/A	Higher(0.6%)	0	0	0	Uptrend	132.37(0.1%)	131.99-132.54	7.57	-0.7%-3.9%
15	Jun_3_2016	130.7 (0%)	130.53 (0%)	131 (0.5%)		(0%)	133.23(1.42%)	132.6-133.23	0.7(2.7)	0	0.1%	0.2%	0%	0%	0.04%	-0.1%	51	1.1	Breakout	Range(0.3%)	0	0	0	Uptrend	133.23(0%)	132.8-133.42	11.08	0%-4.7%

16	Jun_2_2016	130.57 (0%)	130.18 (-0%)	130.37 (0.3%)		(0%)	131.36(0.72%)	130.87-131.69	0(1.1)	0	0.1%	0.1%	0%	0%	-0.02%	-0.3%	51	0.9	N/A	Range(0.2%)	0	0	0	N/A	131.19(-0.13%)	130.97-131.36	5.84	-1.1%-3.2%
17	Jun_1_2016	130.51 (0%)	129.99 (-0.2%)	129.97 (0.1%)		(0%)	130.42(0.2%)	130.11-131.27	-0.4(-0.1)	0	%	-0%	0%	0%	-0.06%	-0.4%	42	0.9	Downtrend Consolidation	Range(0%)	0	0	0	Downtrend	130.35(-0.05%)	130.31-130.44	9.87	-1.8%-2.5%
18	May_31_2016	130.46 (0%)	130.06 (-0.2%)	129.86 (-0%)		(0%)	130.16(0.24%)	128.98-130.44	-0.5(-0.4)	0	%	-0%	0%	0%	-0.06%	-0.3%	46	0.9	Growing Downtrend	Range(0%)	0	0	0	Correction	129.65(-0.39%)	129.56-130.05	8.34	-2%-2.3%
19	May_27_2016	130.36 (0%)	130.15 (-0.2%)	129.91 (-0.1%)		(0%)	129.85(-0.15%)	129.7-130.26	-0.4(-0.5)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.06%	-0.2%	45	1.1	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0%)	0	0	0	Correction	129.21(-0.49%)	129.09-129.71	5.27	-2.3%-2%
20	May_26_2016	130.35 (0%)	130.38 (-0%)	129.91 (0%)		(0%)	130.04(0.52%)	129.8-130.45	-0.3(-0.3)	0	%	-0%	0%	0%	-0.04%	0%	49	1.1	N/A	Range(0%)	0	0	0	Downtrend	129.99(-0.04%)	129.94-130.09	5.42	-2.1%-2.2%

21	May_25_2016	130.31 (0%)	130.47 (-0%)	129.97 (-0%)		(0%)	129.37(-0.38%)	129.31-130.25	-0.2(-0.9)	0	%	-0.1%	0%	0%	-0.04%	0.1%	42	1.2	N/A	Range(0.1%)	0	0	0	Correction	128.76(-0.47%)	128.64-129.27	6.37	-2.6%-1.7%
22	May_24_2016	130.28 (0%)	130.7 (-0%)	130 (-0.2%)		(0%)	129.86(-0.44%)	129.24-130.19	-0.1(-0.3)	0	%	-0%	0%	0%	-0.02%	0.3%	50	1.3	N/A	Range(0.2%)	0	0	0	Correction	129.16(-0.54%)	129.01-129.74	5.97	-2.3%-2.1%
23	May_23_2016	130.16 (0%)	130.81 (-0%)	130.3 (-0.1%)		(0%)	130.44(0.22%)	129.92-130.73	0.2(0.2)	0	%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.5%	57	1.4	N/A	Range(0%)	0	0	0	Correction	130.3(-0.11%)	130.18-130.44	6.98	-1.8%-2.5%
24	May_20_2016	130.04 (0%)	130.86 (0%)	130.44 (-0.3%)		(0%)	130.15(0.08%)	129.55-130.4	0.3(0.1)	0	-0.1%	-0%	0%	0%	0.04%	0.6%	64	1.5	N/A	Range(-0.1%)	0	0	0	Uptrend Consolidation	130.11(-0.03%)	130.08-130.2	5.35	-2%-2.3%
25	May_19_2016	129.96 (0%)	130.9 (0%)	130.86 (-0.2%)		(0%)	130.05(0.43%)	129.65-130.33	0.6(0.1)	0	%	-0%	0%	0%	0.08%	0.7%	54	1.5	N/A	Range(0%)	0	0	0	Uptrend Consolidation	130.04(-0.01%)	129.98-130.19	6.21	-2.1%-2.2%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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