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     Tue. May. 13, 2014



Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 27, 2020)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $111.7500 (0.87%) ($111.3300 - $111.7500) on Tue. May. 13, 2014.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Implied Volatility  n/a (,,)
Call Money Flow  Bearish (,,)
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0.4% a week (71% probability)
  TIP(72%)    LQD(53%)    BNDX(52%)    SHY(45%)    IGOV(34%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will decline at least -0.1% in a week (45% probabilities).
  EDOC(-56%)    XLF(-48%)    SPY(-41%)    IWM(-38%)    XLY(-36%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   0.7
 
Relative Volatility   -1.9 (options are extremely cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


TLT Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  88%
Bullish Price Move  0.6%
Bearish Probability  13%
Bearish Price Move  -0.6%
Recommended Position Size  125%
Latest Price  $111.7500
Next Hour Price  $111.75(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $111.79(0.04%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $111.66 - $111.86
Support Level  $111.3
5 Day Moving Average  $111.49(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average  $111.77(-0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average  $111.3(0.4%)
To recent high  -0.9%
To recent low  5.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.66% (three month std-dev: 0.6%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20140613

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1May_13_2014-0.9%-5.5% 0.4%,0.5(-0.1)0.2%,0.3(-0.2)-0.1%,-0.200%0.4%0.6001.1NAN%05.5   111.75(0.87%)111.33-111.75Uptrend 111.79(0.04%)111.66-111.8656
2May_12_2014-1.7%-4.6% 0.4%,0.7(-0.2)0.3%,0.4(-0.3)-0.2%,-0.300%0.4%-0.6001.1NAN%04.56   110.79(-0.4%)110.54-111.13Uptrend Consolidation 110.92(0.12%)110.94-110.8956
3May_9_2014-1.3%-5.1% 0.6%,0.9(-0.3)0.5%,0.7(-0.4)-0.3%,-0.400%0.4%0001.1NAN%06   111.24(-0.32%)110.98-111.81Uptrend Consolidation 111.27(0.03%)111.24-111.3962
4May_8_2014-1%-5.4% 0.8%,1.1(-0.1)0.8%,1(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%0.5%0.5001.2NAN%010.88   111.6(-0.43%)111.46-112.76Uptrend 111.86(0.23%)111.52-112.0164
5May_7_2014-0.6%-5.8% 0.9%,1(-0)0.8%,1(0.1)0.2%,0.200%0.6%1.1001.4NAN%08.2   112.08(-0.36%)111.94-112.57Growing Uptrend 112.49(0.37%)111.87-112.6555
 
6May_6_2014-0.2%-6.2% 0.9%,1(0.1)0.7%,0.8(0.2)0.3%,0.400%0.6%1.6001.5NAN%06.52   112.48(0.4%)112.04-112.7Growing Uptrend 112.85(0.33%)112.18-113.0259
7May_5_2014-0.6%-5.8% 0.8%,0.9(0.1)0.5%,0.6(0.2)0.2%,0.300%0.5%1.3001.5NAN%08.04   112.03(-0.6%)111.89-112.81Growing Uptrend 112.33(0.27%)111.78-112.4761
8May_2_20140%-6.4% 0.7%,0.8(0.2)0.4%,0.4(0.1)0.2%,0.300%0.5%2.1001.5NAN%012.7   112.71(0.62%)111.3-113.1Breakout 112.85(0.12%)112.29-113.0863
9May_1_20140%-5.8% 0.6%,0.6(0.1)0.2%,0.2(-0.1)0.2%,0.200%0.5%1.6001.6NAN%011.56   112.02(0.83%)110.84-112.08Uptrend 112.11(0.08%)111.67-112.2966
10Apr_30_2014-0.2%-4.9% 0.4%,0.4(0)0.4%,0.3(-0.1)0%,000%0.6%0.9001.7NAN%07.72   111.1(0.42%)110.38-111.26Uptrend 111.24(0.13%)110.89-111.468
 
11Apr_29_2014-0.6%-4.5% 0.4%,0.4(0)0.5%,0.4(-0.1)0.1%,000%0.8%0.6001.8NAN%05.24   110.64(-0.14%)110.04-110.73Uptrend 110.85(0.19%)110.49-111.0160
12Apr_28_2014-0.5%-4.6% 0.4%,0.4(-0)0.6%,0.5(-0.1)0.2%,0.100%0.8%0.8001.8NAN%07.61   110.79(-0.49%)110.55-111.28Uptrend 111.03(0.22%)110.6-111.2263
13Apr_25_20140%-5.1% 0.4%,0.4(-0.1)0.7%,0.6(-0.1)0.2%,0.200%0.9%1.3001.7NAN%05.98   111.33(0.14%)111.32-111.99Uptrend 111.59(0.23%)111.02-111.8271
14Apr_24_2014-0.1%-5% 0.5%,0.4(-0.1)0.8%,0.7(-0.2)-0%,-000%0.8%1.3001.7NAN%06.34   111.17(0.19%)110.45-111.21Uptrend 111.41(0.22%)110.88-111.6473
15Apr_23_2014-0.3%-4.8% 0.6%,0.6(-0)0.9%,0.9(-0.2)-0%,-000%0.7%1.2001.6NAN%05.75   110.96(0.57%)110.53-111.05Uptrend 111.27(0.28%)110.68-111.5275
 
16Apr_22_2014-0.8%-4.8% 0.6%,0.6(-0.1)1.1%,1.1(-0)-0%,-000%0.7%0.8001.5NAN%05.75   110.33(0.34%)109.61-110.49Uptrend 110.69(0.33%)110.17-110.9266
17Apr_21_2014-1.2%-4.4% 0.7%,0.7(-0)1.1%,1.2(-0)-0.1%,-0.100%0.6%0.5001.5NAN%04.32   109.96(-0.08%)109.84-110.62Uptrend 110.33(0.34%)109.85-110.5555
18Apr_17_2014-1.1%-4.5% 0.7%,0.7(0.1)1.2%,1.1(0.2)0%,000%0.6%0.6001.6NAN%08.62   110.05(-1.1%)109.7-111.45Growing Uptrend 110.58(0.48%)109.91-110.7453
19Apr_16_20140%-5.9% 0.6%,0.6(0.1)1%,0.9(0.4)0.4%,0.400%0.5%1.7001.7NAN%05.52   111.27(0.13%)110.38-111.27Growing Uptrend 111.78(0.46%)110.87-112.0155
20Apr_15_20140%-6.5% 0.5%,0.5(0)0.6%,0.5(0.2)0.3%,0.300%0.3%1.9001.6NAN%07.75   111.13(0.62%)110.35-111.51Growing Uptrend 111.41(0.25%)110.71-111.5858
 
21Apr_14_2014-0.3%-5.8% 0.5%,0.6(-0)0.3%,0.4(0.1)0.2%,0.300%0.2%1.6001.5NAN%04.14   110.44(-0.26%)110.3-110.7Growing Uptrend 110.63(0.17%)110.13-110.7560
22Apr_11_20140%-6.1% 0.5%,0.6(0)0.2%,0.2(0.2)0.4%,0.500%0.2%2.1001.4NAN%010.27   110.73(0.81%)110.13-110.79Breakout 110.79(0.05%)110.34-110.9758
23Apr_10_2014-0.1%-5.3% 0.5%,0.7(0)0.1%,0.1(-0)0.4%,0.500%0.1%1.5001.2NAN%012.71   109.84(0.93%)108.9-110.22N/A 109.66(-0.16%)109.15-110.0959
24Apr_9_2014-1.1%-5.5% 0.5%,0.7(0.1)0.1%,0.1(-0)0.3%,0.400%0.2%0.4001.2NAN%05.77   108.83(-0.49%)108.64-109.35Uptrend 108.93(0.09%)108.77-10961
25Apr_8_2014-0.6%-6.6% 0.4%,0.5(0.1)0.1%,0.1(0.1)0.3%,0.300%0.3%1001.4NAN%04.21   109.37(0.24%)108.72-109.47Growing Uptrend 109.48(0.1%)109.18-109.5663
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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