Home      Tickers | SPY | NQ100 | DOW | Global | Sector ETFs | 3x ETFs | ETF Movers | Stock Movers | Trading Alerts
     ^  TLT:  Intraday  Forecast  Similar  Waves  Research  Timing  Gains  Losses  Strategies  Practice
     Tue. Jan. 31, 2012



Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 4, 2020)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $120.8500 (1.16%) ($119.1900 - $120.9100) on Tue. Jan. 31, 2012.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0.5% a week (70% probability)
  TIP(72%)    LQD(55%)    SHY(44%)    IGOV(26%)    GLD(23%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will decline at least -1% in a week (40% probabilities).
  SPY(-43%)    IWM(-40%)    VGK(-39%)    XLY(-38%)    EWI(-38%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   2.4
 
Relative Volatility   -0.1 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


TLT Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  40%
Bullish Price Move  1.2%
Bearish Probability  60%
Bearish Price Move  -1.2%
Recommended Position Size  -17%
Latest Price  $120.8500
Next Hour Price  $120.85(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $120.62(-0.19%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $120.7 - $120.43
5 Day Moving Average  $118.46(2.02%)
10 Day Moving Average  $118.05(2.37%)
20 Day Moving Average  $118.63(1.87%)
To recent high  -2.4%
To recent low  4.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 1.15%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20120302

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDCVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Jan_31_2012-2.4%-4.5% -0.3%,-0.2(0.1)-0.6%,-0.5(0.2)0.8%,0.600%-0.5%1.5001.1NAN%008   120.85(1.16%)119.19-120.91Downtrend 120.62(-0.19%)120.7-120.4358
2Jan_30_2012-3.6%-3.3% -0.4%,-0.4(0.1)-0.8%,-0.6(0.1)0.6%,0.500%-0.5%0.6001NAN%008.39   119.47(1.18%)119.34-120.39Downtrend 119.27(-0.17%)119.25-119.3253
3Jan_27_2012-4.7%-7.1% -0.5%,-0.4(0)-1%,-0.7(-0)0.2%,0.100%-0.5%-0.4001.1NAN%005.17   118.08(0.31%)117.01-118.33Downtrend 117.84(-0.2%)117.69-118.247
4Jan_26_2012-5%-6.7% -0.6%,-0.4(0.1)-0.9%,-0.7(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.4%-0.7001NAN%007.64   117.71(1.33%)116.59-117.71Growing Downtrend 117.51(-0.17%)117.3-117.9551
5Jan_25_2012-6.2%-5.3% -0.8%,-0.5(-0)-0.8%,-0.5(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.500%-0.3%-1.6001.1NAN%0012.87   116.17(-0.24%)115.89-118.53Growing Downtrend 115.97(-0.17%)115.68-116.6644
 
6Jan_24_2012-6%-5.6% -0.7%,-0.6(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.4(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.700%-0.2%-1.6001NAN%005.78   116.45(0.18%)115.78-116.71Growing Downtrend 116.31(-0.12%)116.07-116.939
7Jan_23_2012-6.2%-5.4% -0.6%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.2(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.600%-0.1%-2000.9NAN%007.27   116.24(-0.63%)115.55-116.64Growing Downtrend 116.22(-0.02%)116.03-116.7732
8Jan_20_2012-5.6%-6.1% -0.4%,-0.4(-0.2)0%,0(-0)-0.5%,-0.400%-0%-1.8000.8NAN%006.55   116.98(-1.13%)116.97-117.96Oversold 117.68(0.6%)116.95-117.8736
9Jan_19_2012-4.5%-7.3% -0.3%,-0.3(-0.3)0.1%,0.1(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.300%-0.1%-1000.7NAN%008.63   118.32(-1.38%)117.92-119.56Growing Downtrend 118.33(0.01%)118.26-118.5540
10Jan_18_2012-3.1%-8.8% 0%,0(-0.1)0.2%,0.2(0.1)0.3%,0.300%-0.3%0.2000.7NAN%005.8   119.97(-1.21%)119.91-121.61N/A 119.98(0.01%)119.89-120.0557
 
11Jan_17_2012-2%-10.1% 0.2%,0.2(0.1)0.1%,0.1(0.2)0.5%,0.500%-0.5%1.4000.7NAN%005.45   121.44(0.46%)120.83-121.63Uptrend 121.43(-0.01%)121.11-121.5664
12Jan_13_2012-2.4%-9.6% 0.1%,0.1(-0)-0%,-0(0.1)0.4%,0.300%-0.5%0.7001NAN%009.82   120.88(0.99%)120.81-121.64Range Bound 120.75(-0.11%)120.49-120.9654
13Jan_12_2012-3.4%-8.5% 0.1%,0.1(0)-0.1%,-0.1(0.1)0.3%,0.200%-0.5%-0.1001NAN%007.21   119.69(-0.14%)119.24-120.19Range Bound 119.73(0.03%)119.77-119.6953
14Jan_11_2012-3.2%-8.7% 0.1%,0.1(0.1)-0.3%,-0.2(0.4)0.3%,0.200%-0.4%0001NAN%008.63   119.86(1.3%)118.98-120.06N/A 119.86(0%)119.86-119.8645
15Jan_10_2012-4.5%-7.3% 0%,0(0)-0.9%,-0.6(0.2)-0.2%,-0.100%-0.5%-0.9001NAN%008.93   118.32(-0.17%)117.68-118.87Downtrend 118.24(-0.07%)118.08-118.630
 
16Jan_9_2012-4.3%-7.5% 0%,0(-0.1)-1.1%,-0.8(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.300%-0.4%-0.7001NAN%005.58   118.52(-0.18%)118.3-119.54Downtrend 118.29(-0.19%)118.12-118.7238
17Jan_6_2012-4.1%-7.6% 0.2%,0.1(-0.1)-1%,-0.7(-0)-0.4%,-0.200%-0.4%-0.6001.1NAN%007.35   118.73(0.79%)117.71-118.96Correction 117.42(-1.1%)117.18-118.3844
18Jan_5_2012-4.9%-6.8% 0.3%,0.2(-0)-0.9%,-0.6(-0.3)-0.5%,-0.300%-0.3%-1.1001NAN%006.47   117.8(-0.18%)117.57-119.1Correction 116.66(-0.97%)116.44-117.5440
19Jan_4_2012-4.7%-7% 0.3%,0.2(0)-0.6%,-0.4(-0.3)-0.1%,-000%-0%-1001NAN%008.42   118.01(-1.19%)117.68-119.28Correction 117.17(-0.71%)116.98-117.9249
20Jan_3_2012-3.6%-8.3% 0.3%,0.2(0.1)-0.1%,-0.1(-0.2)0.2%,0.100%0.4%-0.2001.1NAN%009.08   119.43(-1.5%)118.93-120.2Range Bound 119.51(0.07%)119.61-119.4356
 
21Dec_30_2011-2.1%-9.9% 0.2%,0.1(0.2)0.2%,0.1(0)0.3%,0.200%0.7%0.9001NAN%005.95   121.25(0.32%)120.89-121.76Range Bound 121.02(-0.19%)120.62-121.3464
22Dec_29_2011-2.4%-9.6% -0.1%,-0.1(0.1)0.2%,0.1(-0.1)0.3%,0.200%0.8%0.8001NAN%004.3   120.86(0.18%)120.06-121.09Range Bound 120.67(-0.16%)120.3-120.9555
23Dec_28_2011-2.6%-9.4% -0.4%,-0.2(0)0.3%,0.2(-0.1)-0%,-000%1%0.7001NAN%008.3   120.64(1.85%)118.45-121.05N/A 120.27(-0.31%)119.81-120.6458
24Dec_27_2011-4.4%-7.4% -0.4%,-0.2(-0.2)0.5%,0.3(-0.3)-0.9%,-0.600%0.9%-0.5001NAN%004.27   118.45(0.15%)117.62-118.45N/A 118.68(0.19%)118.45-118.8555
25Dec_23_2011-4.5%-7.2% -0.1%,-0(-0.2)1%,0.6(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.400%0.8%-0.6001NAN%005.41   118.27(-1.11%)117.74-118.71N/A 118.68(0.35%)118.54-118.8151
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDCVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
Earning Calendar   About   Contact Us  
Copyright ©2016 SmartTrading. All rights reserved. Denver, Colorado, USA