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     Tue. Nov. 15, 2011



Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 27, 2020)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $117.3500 (-0.14%) ($116.7200 - $118.4600) on Tue. Nov. 15, 2011.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Implied Volatility  n/a (,,)
Call Money Flow  Bearish (,,)
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0.5% a week (70% probability)
  TIP(72%)    LQD(54%)    SHY(43%)    GLD(23%)    IGOV(21%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will advance at least 1% in a week (43% probabilities).
  SPY(-46%)    VGK(-43%)    IWM(-43%)    EWI(-42%)    EWG(-42%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   2.3
 
Relative Volatility   -1 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


TLT Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  50%
Bullish Price Move  1.7%
Bearish Probability  50%
Bearish Price Move  -1.7%
Recommended Position Size  0%
Latest Price  $117.3500
Next Hour Price  $117.35(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $117.56(0.18%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $117.02 - $117.79
5 Day Moving Average  $117(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average  $116.87(0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average  $115.68(1.44%)
To recent high  -5.2%
To recent low  12.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 1.68%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20111215

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Nov_15_2011-5.2%-12.3% 0.5%,0.2(0.1)1.1%,0.6(-0.1)0.3%,0.100%1%0.8001.1NAN%07.59   117.35(-0.14%)116.72-118.46Uptrend 117.56(0.18%)117.02-117.7957
2Nov_14_2011-5.1%-12.4% 0.3%,0.2(0)1.2%,0.7(-0.1)0.1%,000%1.3%0.9001.1NAN%09.25   117.51(1.61%)116.21-117.6Uptrend 117.7(0.16%)117.13-117.9552
3Nov_11_2011-6.6%-11.7% 0.3%,0.2(0.1)1.4%,0.8(0)-0.2%,-0.100%1.2%0.1001.1NAN%02.48   115.65(-0.61%)115.5-116.17Uptrend 116.01(0.31%)115.6-116.1855
4Nov_10_2011-6%-12.4% 0.2%,0.1(0.1)1.4%,0.8(0.2)0%,000%1%0.5001NAN%011.64   116.36(-1.49%)115.21-117.61N/A 116.42(0.05%)115.72-11757
5Nov_9_2011-4.6%-14.1% 0.1%,0(0.2)1.1%,0.6(0)0%,000%0.6%1.3001NAN%013   118.12(2.07%)117.07-119.13N/A 117.66(-0.39%)116.5-118.6157
 
6Nov_8_2011-6.5%-11.8% -0.2%,-0.1(0)1.1%,0.6(-0.3)-0.6%,-0.400%0.4%0.3001NAN%07.54   115.72(-1.28%)115.5-117.54N/A 115.69(-0.03%)115.26-116.0251
7Nov_7_2011-5.3%-13.2% -0.3%,-0.2(0.2)1.5%,0.9(0.2)0.2%,0.100%0.4%1001NAN%09.28   117.22(0.64%)116.32-118.35Uptrend Reversal 117.89(0.57%)117.32-118.2654
8Nov_4_2011-5.9%-13.8% -0.6%,-0.3(0.2)1.2%,0.7(0.3)0.9%,0.500%0.1%0.6001NAN%07.58   116.48(0.12%)115.53-117.05Uptrend Reversal 117.16(0.58%)116.59-117.5451
9Nov_3_2011-6%-14.4% -1%,-0.5(0.1)0.7%,0.4(0.4)1.1%,0.500%-0.2%0.5001NAN%08.39   116.34(-1.37%)115.99-117.35Uptrend Reversal 117.06(0.62%)116.45-117.4755
10Nov_2_2011-4.7%-16.2% -1.2%,-0.6(0)0%,0(0.1)0.7%,0.300%-0.5%1001.2NAN%013.18   117.96(-1.25%)116.42-118.36Rebound 116.45(-1.28%)117.83-115.8654
 
11Nov_1_2011-3.5%-21.2% -1.3%,-0.5(-0)-0.3%,-0.1(0.2)0.6%,0.200%-0.9%1.4001.3NAN%024.4   119.45(3.08%)117.17-119.49Rebound 117.05(-2.01%)119.15-116.1559
12Oct_31_2011-6.4%-17.5% -1.2%,-0.4(-0)-0.7%,-0.3(0.1)0.5%,0.200%-1.4%0.1001.5NAN%015.24   115.88(3.97%)113.46-115.88Rebound 115.5(-0.33%)115.39-115.5549
13Oct_28_2011-10%-16.1% -1.2%,-0.4(-0)-1%,-0.3(0.1)-0.3%,-0.100%-1.7%-1.3001.6NAN%010.13   111.46(1.05%)110.76-111.96Downtrend 111.13(-0.3%)110.63-112.2938
14Oct_27_2011-10.9%-15.3% -1.1%,-0.4(0)-1.2%,-0.4(-0)-0.7%,-0.300%-1.9%-1.8001.5NAN%019.47   110.3(-3.39%)109.82-112.85Downtrend 109.97(-0.3%)109.37-111.3931
15Oct_26_2011-7.8%-19.4% -1.1%,-0.4(0)-1.1%,-0.4(0.2)-0.2%,-0.100%-1.8%-0.9001.4NAN%012.75   114.17(-1.75%)114.07-116.21Rebound 115.37(1.05%)113.45-116.235
 
16Oct_25_2011-6.1%-22.3% -1.1%,-0.5(-0)-1.6%,-0.6(0.2)0.2%,0.100%-1.8%-0.2001.4NAN%011.79   116.2(2.54%)113.35-116.35Downtrend Consolidation 115.84(-0.31%)116.49-115.6233
17Oct_24_2011-8.5%-19.3% -1.1%,-0.4(-0.1)-2.2%,-0.9(0.1)-0.5%,-0.200%-1.9%-1.2001.4NAN%06.34   113.32(0.17%)113.05-114.08Downtrend 112.72(-0.53%)112.19-113.9621
18Oct_21_2011-8.6%-19.1% -0.8%,-0.3(-0.1)-2.5%,-1(0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-1.9%-1.4001.4NAN%09.91   113.13(-1.06%)113.13-114.2Downtrend 112.49(-0.57%)111.87-113.918
19Oct_20_2011-7.6%-20.4% -0.5%,-0.2(-0.2)-2.7%,-1.1(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.100%-1.8%-1.1001.4NAN%07.83   114.34(-0.71%)114.07-115.67Downtrend 113.63(-0.62%)113.05-114.9933
20Oct_19_2011-7%-21.2% 0%,0(-0.1)-2.5%,-1(-0.1)0.1%,000%-1.8%-1001.3NAN%06.63   115.16(-0.03%)114.16-115.74Correction 112.32(-2.47%)111.85-114.1945
 
21Oct_18_2011-7%-21.3% 0.2%,0.1(-0.1)-2.3%,-0.9(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.100%-1.4%-1.1001.3NAN%012.5   115.2(-0.62%)114.3-116.82Correction 112.58(-2.27%)112.15-114.3748
22Oct_17_2011-6.4%-22% 0.4%,0.1(-0)-1.8%,-0.8(-0.2)-0.1%,-000%-0.9%-0.8001.4NAN%09.67   115.92(1.73%)114.22-115.97Correction 113.51(-2.08%)113.08-115.2149
23Oct_14_2011-8%-19.9% 0.4%,0.2(-0.1)-1.4%,-0.5(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.300%-0.2%-1.4001.5NAN%08.41   113.95(-1.45%)113.61-114.61Correction 111.66(-2.01%)111.23-113.3540
24Oct_13_2011-6.6%-21.7% 0.6%,0.2(-0)-1.1%,-0.4(0)-0.6%,-0.200%0.4%-0.8001.6NAN%011.26   115.63(1%)114.96-116.55Downtrend 115.43(-0.17%)115.14-116.1238
25Oct_12_2011-7.5%-20.5% 0.7%,0.2(-0.1)-1.2%,-0.4(-0.2)-1.2%,-0.400%0.8%-1001.6NAN%014.03   114.49(-1.45%)113.48-115.12Correction 112.26(-1.95%)111.82-113.9931
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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