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     Mon. Aug. 22, 2011

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Mar. 27, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $110.9200 (-0.25%) ($110.3900 - $111.2600) on Mon. Aug. 22, 2011.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.4% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $110.9200(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  TLT advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  TIP(70%)    LQD(53%)    SHY(33%)    GLD(22%)    PCY(16%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
  XOP(-32%)    SPY(-32%)    EWI(-32%)    EWP(-31%)    EWG(-31%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.4%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $109.35(1.44%)
10 Day Moving Average  $107.64(3.05%)
20 Day Moving Average  $104.07(6.58%)
To recent high  -0.3%
To recent low  18.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. TLT price fluctuates within 4.93% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

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