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     Fri. Apr. 29, 2011

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $93.8900 (0.31%) ($93.3500 - $93.9200) on Fri. Apr. 29, 2011.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.22 (1.32% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.77% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.2% (StdDev 0.77%)
Daily Moving Force  0.1%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.22%
Latest Price  $93.8900(0.31%)
Forecasted Low Price  93.7(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price  94.36(0.5%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.2%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  -100% (0)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.2%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (70% probability)
  TIP(72%)    LQD(55%)    SHY(44%)    GLD(23%)    IGOV(19%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will decline at least -0.1% in a week (44% probabilities).
  SPY(-47%)    VGK(-44%)    IWM(-44%)    EWI(-43%)    EWG(-43%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   0.5
 
Relative Volatility   1.7 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.1% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.4%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $93.89(0%)
Support Level  $92.17
5 Day Moving Average  $93.44(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average  $93.15(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average  $92.17(1.87%)
To recent high  -0%
To recent low  6.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 0.77%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20110529

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Apr_29_201192.17 (0.3%)93.15 (1.1%)93.44 (0.3%)  (0%)93.89(0.31%)93.35-93.921.3(1.4)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.22% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0791.700Uptrend 94.32(0.46%)93.58-94.645.91   -0%-6.5% 
2Apr_28_201192.07 (0.3%)92.91 (1.1%)93.18 (0.2%)  (0%)93.6(0.76%)92.97-93.61.2(1.3)0 %0.2%0%0.22% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0721.600Uptrend 93.97(0.4%)93.33-94.258.11   -0.4%-6.1% 
3Apr_27_201192 (0.2%)92.71 (1.2%)92.99 (-0.1%)  (0%)92.89(-1.02%)92.75-93.570.6(0.8)0 %0.2%0%0.22% Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(0.7%)0681.600Uptrend 93.23(0.37%)92.75-93.458.87   -1.1%-5.3% 
4Apr_26_201191.93 (0.2%)92.52 (1.2%)93.07 (0.2%)  (0%)93.85(0.97%)93.18-93.871.5(1.8)0 %0.3%0%0.2% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0601.500Growing Uptrend 94.23(0.4%)93.52-94.47.51   -0.1%-6.4% 
5Apr_25_201191.84 (0.1%)92.14 (1%)92.88 (0.1%)  (0%)92.95(0.38%)92.5-92.980.9(1.1)0 %0.2%0%0.16% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0531.400N/A 93.04(0.1%)92.42-93.553.63   -1%-5.4% 
 
6Apr_21_201191.79 (0%)91.85 (0.8%)92.82 (0.3%)  (0%)92.6(-0.09%)92.56-93.230.7(0.9)0 %0.2%0%0.12% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0511.300N/A 92.67(0.08%)92.24-93.033.37   -1.4%-5% 
7Apr_20_201191.77 (-0.1%)91.63 (0.5%)92.59 (0.3%)  (0%)92.68(-0.64%)92.61-93.260.7(0.9)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.06% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)0521.400Uptrend Reversal 93(0.34%)92.73-93.176.76   -1.3%-5.1% 
8Apr_19_201191.78 (-0.2%)91.41 (0.2%)92.35 (0.5%)  (0%)93.28(0.43%)92.76-93.281.4(1.5)0 0.1%0.1%0%0.02% N/A  Range(0.2%)0551.400Uptrend Reversal 93.61(0.35%)93.33-93.795.3   -0.7%-5.8% 
9Apr_18_201191.76 (-0.3%)91.25 (-0%)91.88 (0.6%)  (0%)92.88(0.23%)91.45-93.11(1.1)0 0.1%0.1%0%-0.02% N/A  Range(0.2%)0581.300Rebound 92.4(-0.52%)92.88-92.1912.04   -1.1%-5.3% 
10Apr_15_201191.75 (-0.4%)91.16 (-0.4%)91.3 (0.6%)  (0%)92.67(1.36%)92.07-92.710.8(0.9)0 0.1%0.1%0%-0.08% N/A  Range(0.2%)0501.400Rebound 92.19(-0.52%)92.52-92.0510.22   -1.3%-5.1% 
 
11Apr_14_201191.78 (-0.5%)91.08 (-0.6%)90.74 (0.2%)  (0%)91.43(-0.08%)91.22-91.77-0.2(-0.3)0 %-0.1%0%-0.14% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)0431.400Downtrend 91.23(-0.22%)91.12-91.487.61   -2.7%-3.7% 
12Apr_13_201191.86 (-0.5%)91.13 (-0.7%)90.53 (0.2%)  (0%)91.5(0.63%)90.44-91.5-0.2(-0.3)0 %-0.1%0%-0.16% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)0421.500Downtrend 91.24(-0.28%)91.11-91.567.96   -2.6%-3.8% 
13Apr_12_201191.97 (-0.4%)91.2 (-0.9%)90.33 (-0.2%)  (0%)90.93(1.08%)90.56-91.24-0.8(-0.9)0 %-0.1%0%-0.18% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)0321.500After Bottom 90.87(-0.07%)90.18-91.437.69   -3.2%-3.1% 
14Apr_11_201192.07 (-0.2%)91.27 (-1%)90.53 (-0.5%)  (0%)89.96(0.09%)89.65-90.22-1.7(-1.9)0 -0.1%-0.2%0%-0.18% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)0211.500Growing Downtrend 89.71(-0.28%)89.42-90.315.74   -4.2%-2% 
15Apr_8_201192.17 (-0%)91.51 (-0.9%)91 (-0.5%)  (0%)89.88(-0.53%)89.85-90.32-2.1(-2.3)0 -0.1%-0.2%0.2%-0.14% Growing Downtrend  Range(0.2%)0251.400Downtrend 89.72(-0.18%)89.49-90.277.61   -4.3%-1.9% 
 
16Apr_7_201192.27 (0.1%)91.75 (-0.9%)91.46 (-0.4%)  (0%)90.36(-0.2%)90.13-90.76-2(-2.2)0 -0.1%-0.2%0%-0.1% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)0241.200Correction 89.56(-0.89%)89.42-90.19.27   -3.8%-2.5% 
17Apr_6_201192.37 (0.4%)91.97 (-0.8%)91.81 (-0.4%)  (0%)90.54(-1.5%)90.54-91.79-1.9(-2.2)0 -0.1%-0.2%0%-0.08% Growing Downtrend  Higher(0.5%)0281.200Correction 89.91(-0.7%)89.79-90.379.09   -3.6%-2.7% 
18Apr_5_201192.39 (0.4%)92.23 (-0.6%)92.17 (0.1%)  (0%)91.92(-0.4%)91.67-92.38-0.4(-0.5)0 %-0.1%0%-0.06% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)0301.300The Bottom 91.98(0.06%)91.78-92.139.95   -2.1%-4.2% 
19Apr_4_201192.29 (0.3%)92.35 (-0.5%)92.1 (-0%)  (0%)92.29(0.11%)92.13-92.580(0)0 %-0%0%-0.06% Growing Downtrend  Range(0%)0461.400Correction 91.59(-0.76%)91.46-92.134.47   -1.7%-4.6% 
20Apr_1_201192.2 (0.2%)92.41 (-0.4%)92.11 (0%)  (0%)92.19(0.07%)91.42-92.270.1(-0)0 %-0.1%0%-0.06% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)0571.400Correction 92.08(-0.12%)92.08-92.087.86   -1.9%-4.5% 
 
21Mar_31_201192.14 (0.1%)92.53 (-0.3%)92.1 (-0.1%)  (0%)92.13(-0.21%)91.61-92.720.1(-0)0 %-0.1%0%-0.04% N/A  Range(0%)0561.500Correction 92.01(-0.13%)92.01-92.019.66   -2.1%-4.5% 
22Mar_30_201192.04 (0%)92.64 (-0.1%)92.16 (-0.2%)  (0%)92.32(0.8%)91.56-92.320.3(0.2)0 %-0.1%0%-0.02% N/A  Range(-0.1%)0531.500Range Bound 92.21(-0.12%)92.14-92.265.05   -1.9%-4.7% 
23Mar_29_201191.98 (0.1%)92.79 (0.2%)92.31 (-0.4%)  (0%)91.59(-0.77%)91.57-92.5-0.3(-0.3)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%0.04% N/A  Range(0.2%)0591.600Range Bound 91.67(0.09%)91.71-91.656.49   -2.7%-3.9% 
24Mar_28_201191.98 (0.2%)92.93 (0.6%)92.64 (-0.1%)  (0%)92.3(0.14%)92-92.670.2(0.2)0 %0%0%0.12% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0%)0681.500Uptrend 92.49(0.21%)92.24-92.64   -1.9%-4.7% 
25Mar_25_201192.02 (0.4%)92.88 (0.8%)92.76 (-0.3%)  (0%)92.17(-0.25%)92.02-92.960.1(0.1)0 -0.1%0%0%0.16% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0%)0631.400Uptrend 92.41(0.26%)92.14-92.536.45   -2.1%-4.5% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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