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     Fri. Sep. 3, 2010

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $103.5800 (-1.24%) ($102.7000 - $103.9400) on Fri. Sep. 3, 2010.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  N/A
Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $2.77 (2.64% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.08% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.1% (StdDev 1.08%)
Daily Moving Force  -0.1%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   0.14%
Latest Price  $103.5800(-1.24%)
Forecasted Low Price  103.22(-0.35%)
Forecasted High Price  104.31(0.7%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0.3%)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  3.3%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (71% probability)
  TIP(72%)    LQD(57%)    SHY(46%)    GLD(22%)    IGOV(18%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will decline at least -0.1% in a week (44% probabilities).
  SPY(-47%)    VGK(-44%)    IWM(-44%)    XLY(-43%)    EWI(-43%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   2
 
Relative Volatility   0.7 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.2% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.8%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $103.58(0%)
5 Day Moving Average  $106.08(-2.36%)
10 Day Moving Average  $106.49(-2.73%)
20 Day Moving Average  $104.89(-1.25%)
To recent high  -4.6%
To recent low  8.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 2.64% (three month std-dev: 1.08%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20101003

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Sep_3_2010104.89 (0.6%)106.49 (0.1%)106.08 (-0.3%)  (0%)103.58(-1.24%)102.7-103.94-0.4(-0.5)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%0.14% N/A  Range(0.4%)0492.400Uptrend 104.12(0.52%)103.79-104.269.21   -4.6%-8.8% 
2Sep_2_2010104.75 (0.6%)106.77 (0.3%)106.43 (-0.7%)  (0%)104.88(-1.06%)104.4-105.30(0)0 -0.1%-0%0%0.22% N/A  Range(0.4%)0602.700Uptrend Consolidation 104.94(0.06%)104.73-105.588.17   -3.4%-10.1% 
3Sep_1_2010104.49 (0.6%)106.93 (0.5%)107.14 (-0.3%)  (0%)106(-2.36%)105.09-107.050.4(0.5)0 -0.1%0.2%0%0.36% Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(1.3%)0672.900Uptrend 107.42(1.34%)105.75-108.1412.48   -2.4%-11.3% 
4Aug_31_2010104.14 (0.6%)106.82 (0.7%)107.42 (0.2%)  (0%)108.56(1.11%)107.62-108.651.2(1.3)0 %0.4%0%0.42% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)0743.100Uptrend 110.41(1.7%)107.77-111.548.4   0%-14% 
5Aug_30_2010103.67 (0.6%)106.39 (0.8%)107.26 (0.2%)  (0%)107.37(1.92%)105.82-107.41(1.1)0 %0.3%0%0.48% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0753.100Uptrend 109.46(1.95%)106.68-110.665.54   -1%-12.7% 
 
6Aug_27_2010103.24 (0.6%)106.14 (0.9%)107 (-0.1%)  (0%)105.35(-2.83%)105.2-108.330.6(0.6)0 %0.2%0%0.52% Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(1.6%)0733.100After Top 107.53(2.07%)104.11-110.3213.51   -2.8%-10.6% 
7Aug_26_2010103 (0.6%)105.88 (1%)107.14 (0.4%)  (0%)108.42(0.94%)107.29-108.491.5(1.6)0 0.1%0.6%0%0.58% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)0853.300Uptrend 111.03(2.41%)107.37-112.67.04   0%-13.9% 
8Aug_25_2010102.51 (0.6%)105.16 (1.1%)106.69 (0.6%)  (0%)107.41(-0.32%)107.07-109.341.4(1.6)0 0.1%0.5%0%0.58% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)0863.100Uptrend 109.89(2.31%)106.51-111.3513.31   -0.3%-12.8% 
9Aug_24_2010102.08 (0.5%)104.55 (1.1%)106.11 (0.7%)  (0%)107.76(1.6%)106.67-108.131.7(1.9)0 0.1%0.7%0%0.56% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)089300Uptrend 109.99(2.07%)106.74-111.389.81   0%-13.2% 
10Aug_23_2010101.61 (0.5%)103.78 (1.1%)105.41 (0.2%)  (0%)106.06(0.02%)105.25-106.191.5(1.7)0 %0.5%0%0.5% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.5%)0802.800Uptrend 107.87(1.71%)105.22-109.016.36   -0.1%-11.4% 
 
11Aug_20_2010101.27 (0.5%)103.15 (1.3%)105.17 (0.7%)  (0%)106.04(-0.11%)105.84-106.831.7(1.9)0 0.1%0.5%0%0.5% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)0812.600Growing Uptrend 108.07(1.91%)105.19-108.787.04   -0.1%-11.4% 
12Aug_19_2010100.93 (0.5%)102.55 (1.2%)104.42 (1%)  (0%)106.16(1.56%)104.64-106.612.1(2.3)0 0.2%0.6%-0.4%0.44% Growing Uptrend  Lower(-0.5%)0692.200Breakout 107.43(1.2%)105.22-108.3913.13   0%-11.5% 
13Aug_18_2010100.63 (0.4%)101.82 (1.2%)103.39 (0.6%)  (0%)104.53(0.27%)104.49-105.651.8(2)0 0.1%0.5%0%0.36% Growing Uptrend Correction Higher(0.6%)0701.900Breakout 105.37(0.8%)103.84-106.027.72   -0.3%-9.8% 
14Aug_17_2010100.48 (0.4%)101.22 (1.1%)102.74 (0.8%)  (0%)104.25(-0.57%)104-104.862(2.2)0 0.2%0.4%0%0.3% Uptrend Dip  Higher(0.9%)0691.700Breakout 104.85(0.58%)103.59-105.46.76   -0.6%-10.3% 
15Aug_16_2010100.26 (0.4%)100.71 (1%)101.88 (1%)  (0%)104.85(2.5%)104.07-104.892.8(3.1)0 0.2%0.5%-1.5%0.24% Growing Uptrend  Lower(-2.7%)0731.500Breakout 105.2(0.33%)104.05-105.697.98   0%-10.9% 
 
16Aug_13_2010100 (0.3%)100.07 (0.8%)100.85 (0.4%)  (0%)102.29(1.25%)101.48-102.452(2.2)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.14% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0611.100Breakout 102.38(0.09%)101.86-102.617.84   0%-9.7% 
17Aug_12_201099.91 (0.3%)99.85 (0.7%)100.42 (0.4%)  (0%)101.03(-0.25%)100.87-101.941(1.2)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.1% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)055100Uptrend 101.14(0.11%)100.84-101.267.59   -1%-9% 
18Aug_11_201099.86 (0.2%)99.64 (0.3%)100.01 (0.5%)  (0%)101.28(1.34%)100.31-101.391.4(1.6)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.06% N/A  Range(0.3%)0500.900Uptrend 101.3(0.02%)101.03-101.426.78   -0.7%-9.3% 
19Aug_10_201099.76 (0%)99.39 (-0.3%)99.47 (0.1%)  (0%)99.94(0.21%)99.47-101.010.1(0.2)0 %0.1%0%-0.04% N/A  Range(0.1%)0380.900N/A 99.87(-0.07%)99.87-99.8711.25   -2%-7.9% 
20Aug_9_201099.69 (-0.2%)99.27 (-0.6%)99.35 (0.2%)  (0%)99.73(-0.37%)99.61-99.980(0)0 %0%0%-0.08% N/A  Range(0.2%)0470.900Downtrend 99.64(-0.09%)99.59-99.732.58   -2.3%-7.6% 
 
21Aug_6_201099.66 (-0.3%)99.24 (-0.8%)99.15 (-0.1%)  (0%)100.1(1.09%)99.49-100.210.5(0.5)0 %0%0%-0.12% N/A  Range(0%)0490.900Downtrend 99.91(-0.19%)99.87-100.016.04   -1.9%-8% 
22Aug_5_201099.62 (-0.4%)99.2 (-0.9%)99.23 (0%)  (0%)99.02(0.47%)98.84-99.49-0.6(-0.7)0 %-0.1%0%-0.14% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)0420.900Downtrend 98.9(-0.12%)98.8-99.133.7   -3%-6.9% 
23Aug_4_201099.66 (-0.5%)99.37 (-0.8%)99.21 (-0.1%)  (0%)98.56(-0.77%)98.56-99.51-0.9(-1.2)0 %-0.3%0%-0.14% Growing Downtrend  Range(0.1%)0430.900Growing Downtrend 98.45(-0.11%)98.34-98.723.82   -3.4%-6.4% 
24Aug_3_201099.76 (-0.5%)99.7 (-0.5%)99.29 (0.1%)  (0%)99.32(0.58%)98.93-99.66-0.4(-0.5)0 %-0.1%0%-0.1% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)0510.900Downtrend 99.24(-0.08%)99.18-99.394.36   -2.7%-8.3% 
25Aug_2_201099.86 (-0.5%)99.8 (-0.4%)99.16 (-0.2%)  (0%)98.75(-1.72%)98.75-99.33-1(-1.1)0 %-0.1%0%-0.08% N/A  Higher(0.8%)0540.900Growing Downtrend 98.7(-0.05%)98.61-98.945.77   -3.2%-7.7% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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