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     Mon. Jun. 1, 2009



Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Dec. 1, 2020)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $91.0900 (-3.27%) ($90.5700 - $92.3800) on Mon. Jun. 1, 2009.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT decline at-0.6% a week (71% probability)
  TIP(71%)    LQD(56%)    SHY(49%)    GLD(20%)    IGOV(18%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will decline at least -1.1% in a week (43% probabilities).
  SPY(-46%)    VGK(-43%)    IWM(-43%)    XLY(-42%)    EWI(-42%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.8
 
Relative Volatility   0.1 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


TLT Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  10%
Bullish Price Move  1.3%
Bearish Probability  90%
Bearish Price Move  -1.3%
Recommended Position Size  -62%
Latest Price  $91.0900
Next Hour Price  $91.09(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $90.18(-1%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $88.34(-3.02%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $89.31 - $91.87
Resistance Level  $95.17
5 Day Moving Average  $91.93(-0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average  $93.62(-2.7%)
20 Day Moving Average  $95.17(-4.29%)
To recent high  -14.4%
To recent low  0.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 2.45% (three month std-dev: 1.28%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20090701

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Jun_1_2009-14.4%-0.7-1.8%,-0.7(0)-2.9%,-1.2(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.200%-1.6%-1.8001.9NAN%06.99   91.09(-3.27%)90.57-92.38Growing Downtrend 90.18(-1%)89.31-91.8737
2May_29_2009-11.5%-4.1% -1.8%,-0.8(0.1)-2.4%,-1(-0.1)-0.1%,-000%-1.2%-0.6001.8NAN%04.75   94.17(2.58%)91.64-94.23Growing Downtrend 93.33(-0.89%)92.68-94.4449
3May_28_2009-13.7%-1.4% -2%,-0.9(-0.1)-2%,-0.9(-0.3)-1.1%,-0.500%-1.1%-1.8001.9NAN%09.83   91.8(1.45%)90.23-91.98Growing Downtrend 90.98(-0.89%)90.22-92.4942
4May_27_2009-14.9%-0-1.9%,-0.9(-0.1)-1.4%,-0.7(-0.3)-1.2%,-0.500%-0.8%-2.7001.8NAN%07.49   90.49(-1.77%)90.38-92.58Growing Downtrend 89.94(-0.61%)89.22-91.5130
5May_26_2009-13.4%-0-1.7%,-0.9(-0.1)-0.9%,-0.5(-0.2)-0.9%,-0.500%-0.6%-2.5001.5NAN%03.64   92.12(-1.51%)92.12-94.1Growing Downtrend 91.78(-0.37%)91.29-92.9133
 
6May_22_2009-12.1%-0-1.6%,-0.8(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.3(-0.2)-0.9%,-0.500%-0.6%-1.9001.6NAN%04.48   93.53(-1.11%)93.35-94.49Growing Downtrend 93.23(-0.32%)92.83-94.1436
7May_21_2009-11.1%-0-1.4%,-0.7(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.1(-0)-0.7%,-0.400%-0.7%-1.5001.7NAN%04.77   94.58(-2.51%)94.35-97.64N/A 95.09(0.54%)93.9-96.0741
8May_20_2009-8.8%-2.4% -1.2%,-0.6(0)-0.1%,-0(0)-0.1%,-0.100%-1%-0.3001.8NAN%02.83   97.02(1.05%)95.83-97.16N/A 96.92(-0.1%)96.44-97.3144
9May_19_2009-9.7%-1.4% -1.3%,-0.6(0)-0.1%,-0.1(0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-1.2%-0.9001.9NAN%01.62   96.01(-0.53%)95.71-96.47N/A 96.33(0.33%)95.39-97.137
10May_18_2009-9.3%-1.9% -1.4%,-0.6(0)-0.3%,-0.1(0.2)0%,000%-1.4%-0.7002.1NAN%02.23   96.52(-1.55%)96.37-98.11Rebound 97.31(0.82%)95.95-97.935
 
11May_15_2009-7.8%-3.5% -1.4%,-0.6(0.1)-0.6%,-0.3(0.3)0.6%,0.300%-1.6%-0.2002NAN%02.31   98.04(-0.03%)97.46-98.05Rebound 98.2(0.16%)97.45-98.5133
12May_14_2009-7.8%-3.5% -1.6%,-0.6(0.1)-1.3%,-0.5(0.3)0.7%,0.300%-1.9%-0.2002.2NAN%01.7   98.07(0.39%)97.3-98.25Rebound 98.12(0.05%)97.06-98.5736
13May_13_2009-8.2%-3.1% -1.8%,-0.7(0)-2%,-0.7(0.1)0.1%,000%-2.2%-0.4002.3NAN%01.92   97.69(1.09%)97.24-97.93Downtrend 96.53(-1.19%)95.95-97.8931
14May_12_2009-9.1%-2% -1.8%,-0.6(-0)-2.4%,-0.8(0.1)-0.2%,-0.100%-2.4%-0.9002.3NAN%02.3   96.64(0.36%)95.8-97.02Downtrend 95.42(-1.26%)94.69-97.1325
15May_11_2009-9.5%-1.7% -1.8%,-0.6(-0)-2.6%,-0.9(0)-0.2%,-0.100%-2.5%-1.1002.3NAN%02.17   96.29(1.42%)95.79-96.45Downtrend 95.01(-1.33%)94.19-96.9221
 
16May_8_2009-10.7%-0.2-1.7%,-0.6(0)-2.8%,-1(-0)-0.5%,-0.200%-2.4%-1.7002.3NAN%02.19   94.94(0.24%)94.65-95.39Bottom 95.57(0.66%)93.86-96.79
17May_7_2009-11%-0-1.7%,-0.6(-0)-2.7%,-1(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.300%-2.2%-2.1002.1NAN%05.76   94.71(-2.44%)94.33-96.7Bottom 95.51(0.84%)93.71-96.7122
18May_6_2009-8.7%-0-1.6%,-0.7(0)-2.5%,-1(0)-0.3%,-0.100%-2%-1.5001.9NAN%02.05   97.08(-0.24%)97-98Bottom 97.58(0.52%)96.27-98.4623
19May_5_2009-8.5%-0.2-1.7%,-0.8(0)-2.5%,-1.1(-0)-0.4%,-0.200%-1.8%-1.6001.8NAN%01.37   97.31(-0.12%)96.76-97.83Bottom 97.77(0.47%)96.49-98.6222
20May_4_2009-8.4%-0.3-1.7%,-0.8(-0.1)-2.5%,-1.2(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.300%-1.6%-1.8001.7NAN%02.25   97.43(0.33%)96.79-97.82Bottom 97.98(0.56%)96.67-98.8421
 
21May_1_2009-8.7%-0-1.6%,-0.9(-0.1)-2.1%,-1.1(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.400%-1.3%-2.3001.5NAN%02.77   97.11(-0.99%)96.57-97.29Bottom 97.87(0.78%)96.51-98.7624
22Apr_30_2009-7.8%-0-1.4%,-0.8(-0.2)-1.9%,-1.1(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.400%-1.2%-2.2001.4NAN%02.78   98.08(-0.4%)97.39-98.36Bottom 98.74(0.67%)97.57-99.5233
23Apr_29_2009-7.4%-0-1%,-0.6(-0.1)-1.6%,-0.9(-0.2)-0.6%,-0.400%-1.1%-2.2001.4NAN%03.75   98.47(-0.89%)98.15-100.08Bottom 99.17(0.71%)98.05-99.9130
24Apr_28_2009-6.7%-0-0.8%,-0.5(-0.1)-1.2%,-0.7(-0.3)-0.6%,-0.400%-1%-2001.2NAN%02.33   99.35(-1.63%)99.09-101.58Growing Downtrend 99.14(-0.21%)98.79-99.9938
25Apr_27_2009-7.6%-0.4-0.6%,-0.4(-0.1)-0.8%,-0.5(-0.2)-0.4%,-0.300%-0.8%-1.3001.1NAN%02.29   101(0.43%)100.06-101.19Growing Downtrend 100.85(-0.15%)100.63-101.3745
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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