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     Tue. Dec. 16, 2008

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Mar. 27, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $116.4600 (2.47%) ($113.9700 - $116.9000) on Tue. Dec. 16, 2008.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.5% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $116.4600(2.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  TLT advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  TIP(69%)    LQD(54%)    SHY(39%)    GLD(19%)    PCY(10%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
  SPY(-34%)    EWI(-34%)    XOP(-33%)    EWP(-33%)    EWG(-33%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   2.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $113.4(2.7%)
10 Day Moving Average  $112.35(3.66%)
20 Day Moving Average  $108.36(7.48%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  25.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. TLT price fluctuates within 4.77% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

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