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     Fri. Nov. 21, 2008

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jan. 26, 2021)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $102.9200 (-1.45%) ($101.4500 - $103.9800) on Fri. Nov. 21, 2008.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Overbought
Trend Narrative  Uptrend Dip
Average Daily Price Swing  $2.89 (3.01% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.36% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.8% (StdDev 1.36%)
Daily Moving Force  0.3%
Correction Force  Weak (-0.6%)
Trend   0.5%
Trend Strength  1.5%
Latest Price  $102.9200(-1.45%)
Forecasted Low Price  101.89(-1%)
Forecasted High Price  103.64(0.7%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(-0.5%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  -100% (0)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  6.3%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0.1% a week (69% probability)
  TIP(67%)    SHY(48%)    LQD(40%)    GLD(17%)    FIVG(5%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will advance at least 0.1% in a week (42% probabilities).
  SPY(-44%)    VGK(-42%)    IWM(-42%)    EWI(-42%)    XLY(-41%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the Dip
 
Valuation to SPY   2.9
 
Relative Volatility   3.5 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  1% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.3%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $102.92(0%)
Support Level  $96.05
5 Day Moving Average  $99.81(3.12%)
10 Day Moving Average  $97.47(5.59%)
20 Day Moving Average  $96.05(7.15%)
To recent high  -1.4%
To recent low  11%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 1.36%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20081221

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
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To High-Low
1Nov_21_200896.05 (0.2%)97.47 (0.6%)99.81 (1.6%)  (0%)102.92(-1.45%)101.45-103.98-34.5,2.1(2.4)0 0.3%0.8%-0.6%0.5%1.5% Overbought  Lower(-0.7%)0752.200Uptrend Dip 106.39(3.37%)100.44-107.873.25   -1.4%-11% 
2Nov_20_200895.7 (0.2%)96.57 (0.4%)98.26 (2.3%)  (0%)104.43(5.17%)101.1-104.44-39.6,3.2(3.5)0 0.5%0.9%-1.95%0.38%0.9% Overbought  Lower(-3.3%)0791.900Breakout 105.27(0.8%)102.81-106.325.46   0%-12.6% 
3Nov_19_200895.3 (0%)95.53 (0.2%)96.04 (0.8%)  (0%)99.3(2.56%)97.21-99.37-60.4,2.3(2.5)0 0.2%0.4%-1%0.18%0.2% Overbought  Lower(-1.8%)0661.400Breakout 99.48(0.18%)98.55-99.882.09   0%-7.1% 
4Nov_18_200895.16 (0%)95.11 (0.2%)95.3 (0.4%)  (0%)96.82(1.29%)95.96-97-72.2,1.1(1.3)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.12%-0% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0561.200Uptrend 96.97(0.16%)96.55-97.160.92   -2.4%-4.4% 
5Nov_17_200895.06 (0%)94.86 (0.2%)94.94 (0.2%)  (0%)95.59(0.44%)95.29-96.03-74.8,0.3(0.4)0 %0.2%0%0.08%-0.2% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0501.200N/A 95.67(0.08%)95.4-95.880.49   -3.6%-3.1% 
 
6Nov_14_200895.01 (0%)94.59 (0%)94.76 (0.2%)  (0%)95.17(1.98%)94.79-95.46-73.5,-0(0.1)0 %0.2%0%0%-0.5% N/A  Range(0.2%)0431.200After Bottom 95.23(0.06%)95.17-95.271.06   -4%-3.2% 
7Nov_13_200894.95 (-0%)94.36 (-0%)94.58 (-0.3%)  (0%)93.32(-2.4%)93.25-95.25-72.8,-1.2(-1.3)0 -0.1%-0.1%0%-0.06%-0.6% N/A  Higher(1%)0361.200Downtrend 93.27(-0.05%)93.13-93.611.63   -5.9%-1.8% 
8Nov_12_200895.03 (-0%)94.45 (-0.2%)94.58 (0%)  (0%)95.61(0.64%)95.16-96.07-76.5,0.4(0.5)0 %0.1%0%-0.1%-0.6% N/A  Range(0.1%)0381.200Downtrend 95.45(-0.17%)95.42-95.521.2   -3.6%-4.3% 
9Nov_11_200894.99 (-0%)94.36 (-0.2%)94.89 (0.1%)  (0%)95(0.3%)94.96-95.81-75.9,0(0)0 %-0%0%-0.14%-0.7% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0%)0401.200Downtrend 94.83(-0.18%)94.75-950.7   -4.2%-4.3% 
10Nov_10_200894.95 (-0%)94.38 (-0.2%)94.78 (0.4%)  (0%)94.72(0.49%)93.68-95.1-75.8,-0.1(-0.2)0 0.1%-0.1%0%-0.16%-0.6% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0%)0491.200Downtrend 94.51(-0.22%)94.41-94.751.35   -4.5%-4% 
 
11Nov_7_200894.96 (-0.2%)94.56 (-0.2%)94.37 (0.3%)  (0%)94.26(-0.65%)93.55-94.52-74.3,-0.4(-0.6)0 0.1%-0.2%0%-0.18%-0.4% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)0501.200Downtrend 94.02(-0.25%)93.88-94.351.28   -5%-3.4% 
12Nov_6_200895.04 (-0.2%)94.79 (-0.2%)94.09 (0.2%)  (0%)94.88(-0.72%)93.81-95.05-72.4,0(-0.1)0 %-0.2%0%-0.18%-0.3% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)0551.200Growing Downtrend 94.64(-0.25%)94.49-94.880.92   -4.3%-5.1% 
13Nov_5_200895.12 (-0.2%)95.05 (-0.2%)93.92 (0.1%)  (0%)95.57(1.19%)94.4-95.67-67.6,0.4(0.3)0 %-0.1%0%-0.16%-0.1% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)0551.300Downtrend 95.25(-0.34%)95.15-95.471.93   -3.6%-5.9% 
14Nov_4_200895.2 (-0.2%)95.17 (-0.2%)93.79 (-0.2%)  (0%)94.45(1.88%)92.59-94.71-59,-0.4(-0.5)0 %-0.1%0%-0.14%-0% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)0481.500Growing Downtrend 94.19(-0.28%)93.98-94.571.61   -4.8%-4.6% 
15Nov_3_200895.41 (-0.2%)95.25 (-0%)93.98 (-0.9%)  (0%)92.71(-0.13%)92.35-93.11-53.4,-1.4(-1.5)0 -0.2%-0.3%0%-0.1%-0.2% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.4%)0471.700Growing Downtrend 92.49(-0.24%)92.2-93.141.11   -6.5%-2.7% 
 
16Oct_31_200895.73 (-0%)95.48 (0%)94.8 (-0.8%)  (0%)92.83(-1.3%)92.65-94.92-56.8,-1.6(-1.7)0 -0.2%-0.2%0%-0.02%-0.3% N/A  Range(0.3%)0441.600Oversold 93.59(0.82%)92.75-93.82.28   -6.4%-2.8% 
17Oct_30_200895.96 (-0%)95.63 (0%)95.58 (-0.8%)  (0%)94.05(-0.91%)93.8-94.8-62.5,-1.2(-1.2)0 -0.2%-0.1%0%0.04%-0.3% N/A  Range(0.2%)0431.500N/A 94.6(0.59%)94.05-95.061.33   -5.2%-4.2% 
18Oct_29_200896.1 (0%)95.71 (0.2%)96.32 (-0.4%)  (0%)94.91(-0.5%)94.43-96.01-65.5,-0.8(-0.8)0 -0.1%-0%0%0.1%-0.4% N/A  Range(0.2%)0421.400Uptrend 95.13(0.23%)95.13-95.131.75   -4.3%-5.1% 
19Oct_28_200896.15 (0%)95.74 (0.2%)96.75 (0.1%)  (0%)95.39(-1.46%)95.15-96.9-65.8,-0.6(-0.5)0 %0.1%0%0.12%-0.4% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)0411.400Uptrend 95.65(0.27%)95.57-95.681.51   -3.8%-5.7% 
20Oct_27_200896.13 (0.2%)95.63 (0%)96.69 (0.5%)  (0%)96.8(0.07%)96.29-98.21-65.3,0.3(0.5)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.06%-0.5% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0391.500N/A 96.89(0.09%)96.58-97.141.53   -2.4%-7.2% 
 
21Oct_24_200896.15 (0.2%)95.41 (-0.2%)96.26 (0.6%)  (0%)96.73(-1.06%)96.45-99.05-63.3,0.3(0.4)0 0.1%0.1%0%-0.04%-0.8% N/A  Higher(0.7%)0381.500N/A 96.62(-0.11%)96.5-96.731.5   -2.5%-7.3% 
22Oct_23_200896.04 (0%)95.31 (-0.2%)95.69 (0.7%)  (0%)97.77(0.74%)96.82-98.89-60.6,1(1.1)0 0.1%0.2%0%-0.12%-0.8% N/A  Range(0.3%)0501.600N/A 97.26(-0.52%)96.93-97.531.8   -1.4%-8.5% 
23Oct_22_200895.85 (0%)95.16 (-0.2%)95.04 (0.4%)  (0%)97.05(2.03%)95.85-97.49-60.2,0.7(0.8)0 0.1%0.1%0%-0.2%-0.7% N/A  Range(0.2%)0511.600Downtrend 96.65(-0.41%)96.57-96.851.07   -2.1%-7.7% 
24Oct_21_200895.7 (-0%)95.15 (-0.4%)94.63 (0.2%)  (0%)95.12(0.53%)94.74-95.99-58.4,-0.2(-0.4)0 %-0.2%0%-0.22%-0.6% Downtrend Consolidation  Range(-0.2%)0481.600Growing Downtrend 94.75(-0.39%)94.48-95.21.24   -4.1%-5.5% 
25Oct_20_200895.64 (-0.2%)95.49 (-0.2%)94.43 (-0%)  (0%)94.62(0.8%)93.36-94.94-57.2,-0.4(-0.6)0 %-0.3%0%-0.22%-0.2% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)0511.700Downtrend 94.2(-0.44%)93.97-94.741.15   -4.6%-5% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
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CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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