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     Thu. Oct. 23, 2008

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $97.7700 (0.74%) ($96.8200 - $98.8900) on Thu. Oct. 23, 2008.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.05% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $97.7700(0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  TLT advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  TIP(68%)    LQD(53%)    SHY(39%)    GLD(17%)    PCY(8%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
  SPY(-35%)    EWI(-35%)    XOP(-34%)    IWM(-33%)    EWP(-33%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $95.69(2.17%)
10 Day Moving Average  $95.31(2.58%)
20 Day Moving Average  $96.04(1.8%)
To recent high  -1.4%
To recent low  8.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.65% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

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