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     Fri. Aug. 24, 2007



Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 27, 2020)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $87.8500 (0.49%) ($87.5600 - $88.0800) on Fri. Aug. 24, 2007.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Implied Volatility  n/a (,,)
Call Money Flow  Bearish (,,)
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0.6% a week (69% probability)
  TIP(68%)    SHY(48%)    LQD(41%)    GLD(16%)    ACES(11%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will advance at least 0.1% in a week (42% probabilities).
  SPY(-44%)    IWM(-43%)    VGK(-42%)    XLY(-41%)    EWI(-41%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.4
 
Relative Volatility   -1.3 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


TLT Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  88%
Bullish Price Move  0.7%
Bearish Probability  13%
Bearish Price Move  -0.7%
Recommended Position Size  107%
Latest Price  $87.8500
Next Hour Price  $87.85(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $87.89(0.05%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $87.69 - $87.98
Support Level  $86.98
5 Day Moving Average  $87.3(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average  $86.98(1%)
20 Day Moving Average  $86.98(1%)
To recent high  -0.1%
To recent low  6.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.61% (three month std-dev: 0.65%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20070924

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Aug_24_2007-0.1%-6.7% 0.2%,0.4(0)0.4%,0.7(0.5)0.2%,0.400%0%1.6000.9NAN%01.61   87.85(0.49%)87.56-88.08Uptrend 87.89(0.05%)87.69-87.9853
2Aug_23_2007-0.6%-6.2% 0.2%,0.4(-0.1)0.1%,0.2(0.2)0.1%,0.100%-0.2%0.9000.9NAN%01.62   87.42(0.34%)87.03-87.68Uptrend 87.43(0.01%)87.33-87.4742
3Aug_22_2007-0.9%-5.8% 0.3%,0.5(0)-0%,-0.1(0.4)0.2%,0.300%-0.3%0.4000.9NAN%01.14   87.12(-0.16%)86.81-87.31N/A 87.11(-0.01%)87-87.247
4Aug_21_2007-0.8%-6% 0.3%,0.5(-0)-0.3%,-0.4(0.2)0.2%,0.300%-0.3%0.7000.9NAN%01.52   87.26(0.48%)87.05-87.41N/A 87.17(-0.1%)87.06-87.2650
5Aug_20_2007-1.2%-5.5% 0.3%,0.5(-0)-0.4%,-0.6(0.1)0.1%,0.200%-0.3%0001NAN%01.05   86.84(0.06%)86.83-87.27Downtrend 86.82(-0.02%)86.81-86.8442
 
6Aug_17_2007-1.3%-5.4% 0.4%,0.5(-0.1)-0.4%,-0.6(0)0.2%,0.200%-0.2%0001NAN%02.11   86.79(-0.4%)86.05-86.91Downtrend 86.77(-0.02%)86.76-86.7948
7Aug_16_2007-0.9%-5.8% 0.4%,0.5(-0)-0.5%,-0.6(0.1)0.2%,0.300%-0.1%0.6001.2NAN%02.41   87.14(1.03%)86.76-87.6Downtrend 87.1(-0.05%)87.11-87.0748
8Aug_15_2007-1.9%-4.7% 0.4%,0.5(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.7(-0.1)0%,000%0.1%-0.6001.3NAN%01.1   86.25(-0.36%)86.25-86.75Correction 85.82(-0.5%)85.73-86.1844
9Aug_14_2007-1.6%-5.1% 0.5%,0.5(-0)-0.5%,-0.5(-0.3)-0.2%,-0.200%0.2%-0.1001.5NAN%01.31   86.56(0.27%)86.01-86.78Correction 86.08(-0.55%)85.99-86.4854
10Aug_13_2007-1.9%-4.8% 0.5%,0.5(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.3(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.200%0.4%-0.2001.6NAN%01.31   86.33(0.29%)85.9-86.4Correction 85.91(-0.49%)85.81-86.2954
 
11Aug_10_2007-2.7%-4.5% 0.6%,0.5(-0.1)-0%,-0(-0.3)-0.4%,-0.400%0.6%-0.4001.8NAN%01.5   86.08(-0.23%)85.98-86.7Correction 85.78(-0.35%)85.69-86.1355
12Aug_9_2007-2.5%-4.8% 0.8%,0.6(-0.1)0.4%,0.3(-0.3)-0.2%,-0.200%0.8%-0.1002NAN%02.64   86.28(0.14%)85.72-86.86Uptrend Consolidation 86.33(0.06%)86.28-86.555
13Aug_8_2007-2.8%-4.6% 0.9%,0.6(-0)0.7%,0.5(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.200%1%-0.1002.1NAN%06.47   86.16(-1.22%)85.86-86.89Uptrend 86.53(0.43%)86.16-86.6961
14Aug_7_2007-1.8%-5.9% 0.9%,0.7(-0)1%,0.7(-0.2)-0.1%,-0.100%1.2%0.8002.2NAN%02.57   87.22(-0.08%)86.92-87.71Uptrend 87.66(0.51%)87.01-87.9571
15Aug_6_2007-1.7%-6% 1%,0.7(0.1)1.2%,0.8(-0)0.1%,000%1.2%0.9002.3NAN%01.3   87.29(-0.73%)87.17-87.72Uptrend 87.86(0.65%)87.06-88.1974
 
16Aug_3_2007-1%-6.8% 0.9%,0.6(0.1)1.2%,0.8(-0.1)0.2%,0.100%1.2%1.5002.5NAN%01.58   87.93(0.66%)87.28-87.93Uptrend 88.52(0.67%)87.52-88.9578
17Aug_2_2007-1.7%-6.1% 0.8%,0.5(0)1.4%,0.9(-0.1)0.1%,000%1.3%1.2002.4NAN%02.08   87.35(0.25%)86.99-87.45Uptrend 87.95(0.69%)87.05-88.3480
18Aug_1_2007-1.9%-5.8% 0.8%,0.5(0)1.5%,1(-0)0.2%,0.100%1.2%1.2002.4NAN%02.15   87.13(-0.6%)87.09-87.54Uptrend 87.81(0.78%)86.84-88.2381
19Jul_31_2007-1.3%-6.4% 0.8%,0.5(0)1.5%,1.1(0.1)0.4%,0.200%1.1%1.8002.3NAN%02.47   87.66(0.72%)86.95-87.75Growing Uptrend 88.42(0.87%)87.22-88.7282
20Jul_30_2007-2%-5.7% 0.7%,0.6(-0)1.3%,1(-0)0.3%,0.200%1%1.6002.1NAN%01.8   87.03(-0.29%)86.91-87.36Uptrend 87.52(0.56%)86.69-87.8765
 
21Jul_27_2007-1.8%-6% 0.7%,0.6(0)1.3%,1.1(0.1)0.3%,0.300%0.9%2001.9NAN%05.37   87.28(0.29%)86.85-87.56Breakout 87.7(0.48%)86.86-88.0676
22Jul_26_2007-2%-5.7% 0.7%,0.7(0.1)1.3%,1.2(0.2)0.4%,0.400%0.7%2.2001.7NAN%02.87   87.03(0.83%)86.65-87.46Breakout 87.4(0.43%)86.63-87.7376
23Jul_25_2007-2.8%-4.8% 0.6%,0.7(0.1)1.1%,1.1(0.2)0.3%,0.300%0.5%1.8001.5NAN%00.88   86.31(0.2%)86-86.39Growing Uptrend 86.65(0.39%)86.03-86.869
24Jul_24_2007-3%-4.6% 0.6%,0.7(0)0.9%,1(0.2)0.3%,0.300%0.4%1.8001.4NAN%01.35   86.14(0.37%)85.72-86.16Growing Uptrend 86.42(0.32%)85.88-86.5558
25Jul_23_2007-3.4%-4.2% 0.5%,0.7(0.1)0.7%,0.9(0.3)0.2%,0.200%0.4%1.7001.3NAN%00.78   85.82(-0.16%)85.69-85.97Growing Uptrend 86.02(0.23%)85.6-86.1352
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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