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     Mon. Jul. 31, 2006

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Feb. 26, 2021)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $85.8000 (0.12%) ($85.5500 - $85.8100) on Mon. Jul. 31, 2006.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $0.66 (0.78% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.49% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.1% (StdDev 0.49%)
Daily Moving Force  %
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.08%
Trend Strength  0.5%
RSI   65
Momentum  1.6
Latest Price  $85.8000(0.12%)
Forecasted Low Price  85.71(-0.1%)
Forecasted High Price  85.97(0.2%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(0%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  -100% (0)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  0.8%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (69% probability)
  TIP(68%)    SHY(48%)    LQD(43%)    GLD(15%)    REMX(-0%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will decline at least -0.1% in a week (41% probabilities).
  SPY(-43%)    IWM(-42%)    VGK(-41%)    EWI(-41%)    EWG(-40%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY 0
 
Relative Volatility   -0.2 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  0% (StdDev 0.49%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.2%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $85.8(0%)
Support Level  $84.88
5 Day Moving Average  $85.42(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average  $85.3(0.59%)
20 Day Moving Average  $84.88(1.08%)
To recent high  -0.1%
To recent low  3.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.78% (three month std-dev: 0.49%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20060831

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Jul_31_200684.88 (0.2%)85.3 (0%)85.42 (0.1%)  (0%)85.8(0.12%)85.55-85.811.1(1.4)0 %0.1%0%0.08%0.5%651.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)000Uptrend 85.91(0.13%)85.63-86.030.38   -0.1%-3.8% 
2Jul_28_200684.81 (0.2%)85.23 (0%)85.31 (0.1%)  (0%)85.7(0.58%)85.6-85.891(1.4)0 %0.1%0%0.08%0.5%671.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)000Uptrend 85.81(0.13%)85.54-85.920.77   -0.2%-3.7% 
3Jul_27_200684.7 (0.2%)85.16 (0%)85.24 (-0.1%)  (0%)85.21(-0.15%)85.12-85.481(0.8)0 %0.1%0%0.08%0.5%641.5 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)000Uptrend Consolidation 85.1(-0.13%)85.01-85.360.3   -0.7%-3.1% 
4Jul_26_200684.6 (0.2%)85.14 (0.2%)85.29 (0%)  (0%)85.34(0.36%)84.87-85.371.1(1)0 %0.1%0%0.1%0.6%721.7 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)000Uptrend 85.53(0.22%)85.21-85.660.72   -0.6%-3.3% 
5Jul_25_200684.52 (0%)85.08 (0.2%)85.27 (0.1%)  (0%)85.03(-0.29%)84.9-85.381.2(0.7)0 %0.1%0%0.12%0.7%741.7 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)000Uptrend 85.25(0.26%)84.94-85.390.95   -1%-2.9% 
 
6Jul_24_200684.43 (0%)85.04 (0.2%)85.16 (0%)  (0%)85.28(-0.06%)85.21-85.511.3(1.1)0 %0.1%0%0.12%0.7%651.7 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)000Uptrend 85.47(0.22%)85.13-85.620.39   -0.7%-3.2% 
7Jul_21_200684.34 (0%)84.95 (0.2%)85.13 (0.1%)  (0%)85.33(-0.19%)85.2-85.671.4(1.3)0 %0.1%0%0.12%0.7%591.7 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)000After Top 85.38(0.06%)84.82-85.840.65   -0.6%-3.2% 
8Jul_20_200684.25 (0%)84.85 (0.2%)85.08 (0.1%)  (0%)85.49(0.29%)84.97-85.631.5(1.7)0 %0.2%0%0.12%0.7%671.6 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)000The Top 85.46(-0.03%)84.83-85.981.32   -0.4%-3.4% 
9Jul_19_200684.17 (0%)84.68 (0.2%)84.98 (0.1%)  (0%)85.24(0.95%)84.24-85.31.5(1.6)0 %0.2%0%0.12%0.6%681.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)000Growing Uptrend 85.44(0.24%)85.06-85.541.27   -0.7%-3.1% 
10Jul_18_200684.11 (0%)84.49 (0.2%)84.86 (-0.1%)  (0%)84.44(-0.86%)84.4-84.751.4(0.5)0 %0%0%0.1%0.5%581.4 Uptrend Consolidation  Higher(0.4%)000After Top 84.53(0.11%)84.26-84.760.62   -1.6%-2.2% 
 
11Jul_17_200684.09 (0%)84.44 (0.2%)84.9 (0.2%)  (0%)85.17(0.15%)84.85-85.191.6(1.8)0 %0.1%0%0.12%0.4%681.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)000N/A 85.13(-0.05%)84.58-85.580.51   -0.8%-3% 
12Jul_14_200684.04 (-0%)84.35 (0.2%)84.74 (0.2%)  (0%)85.04(0.06%)84.82-85.161.4(1.8)0 %0.1%0%0.1%0.4%651.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)000Uptrend Reversal 85.22(0.21%)85.07-85.321.34   -0.9%-2.9% 
13Jul_13_200684.01 (-0%)84.19 (0.2%)84.59 (0.3%)  (0%)84.99(0.39%)84.68-85.051.1(1.9)0 0.1%0.2%0%0.08%0.2%621.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.3%)000Uptrend Reversal 85.15(0.19%)85.02-85.251.35   -1%-2.8% 
14Jul_12_200684 (-0%)84.02 (0%)84.34 (0.3%)  (0%)84.66(0.02%)84.27-84.820.6(1.3)0 0.1%0.1%0%0.04%0%541.2 N/A  Range(0.2%)000Uptrend Reversal 84.82(0.19%)84.69-84.920.64   -1.4%-2.4% 
15Jul_11_200684.04 (-0%)83.91 (0%)84.06 (0.2%)  (0%)84.64(0.32%)84.58-84.860.1(0.9)0 %0.1%0%0.02%-0.2%541.4 N/A  Range(0.1%)000Uptrend Reversal 84.84(0.24%)84.67-84.960.42   -1.4%-2.4% 
 
16Jul_10_200684.09 (-0%)83.77 (0%)83.91 (0%)  (0%)84.37(0.09%)84.05-84.4-0.3(0.4)0 %0.1%0%-0.02%-0.4%501.6 N/A  Range(0.1%)000Rebound 84.26(-0.13%)84.33-84.220.48   -1.7%-2.1% 
17Jul_7_200684.15 (-0%)83.67 (-0%)83.9 (0.2%)  (0%)84.29(0.64%)84.08-84.46-0.4(0.2)0 %0%0%-0.02%-0.6%481.8 N/A  Range(0%)000Rebound 84.22(-0.08%)84.25-84.211.36   -1.8%-2% 
18Jul_6_200684.19 (-0%)83.6 (-0%)83.75 (0.1%)  (0%)83.75(0.61%)83.33-83.79-0.7(-0.5)0 %-0%0%-0.06%-0.7%411.9 N/A  Range(0%)000After Bottom 83.78(0.03%)83.5-840.45   -2.5%-1.3% 
19Jul_5_200684.25 (-0%)83.62 (-0%)83.64 (-0.1%)  (0%)83.24(-0.8%)82.95-83.42-0.8(-1.2)0 %-0.1%0%-0.08%-0.8%301.9 N/A  Higher(0.3%)000Downtrend 83.12(-0.15%)82.99-83.431.29   -3.9%-0.7% 
20Jul_3_200684.35 (-0%)83.7 (-0.2%)83.73 (0.2%)  (0%)83.91(-0.49%)83.73-83.96-0.8(-0.5)0 %-0%0%-0.1%-0.8%281.9 Downtrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)000Downtrend Consolidation 83.83(-0.1%)84.07-83.750.72   -3.1%-1.5% 
 
21Jun_30_200684.39 (-0%)83.72 (-0.2%)83.6 (0.2%)  (0%)84.32(0.97%)83.5-84.4-1(-0.1)0 %0%0%-0.12%-0.8%311.8 N/A  Range(0%)000After Bottom 84.13(-0.22%)83.83-84.381.22   -3%-2% 
22Jun_29_200684.41 (-0%)83.71 (-0.2%)83.42 (-0%)  (0%)83.51(0.34%)83.36-83.82-1.3(-1.1)0 %-0.1%0%-0.18%-0.8%201.9 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)000After Bottom 83.45(-0.07%)82.77-841.61   -4.6%-1% 
23Jun_28_200684.43 (-0%)83.8 (-0.2%)83.43 (-0.2%)  (0%)83.23(-0.53%)83.19-83.63-1.4(-1.5)0 %-0.2%0%-0.18%-0.7%261.9 Growing Downtrend  Range(0.1%)000Downtrend 82.9(-0.4%)82.66-83.430.38   -5.3%-0.7% 
24Jun_27_200684.46 (-0%)83.98 (-0.2%)83.6 (-0.1%)  (0%)83.67(0.49%)83.38-83.74-1.3(-1)0 %-0.2%0%-0.18%-0.6%321.8 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)000Growing Downtrend 83.39(-0.33%)83.17-83.790.43   -5.7%-1.2% 
25Jun_26_200684.49 (-0%)84.18 (-0.2%)83.68 (-0.2%)  (0%)83.26(-0.19%)83.12-83.47-1.4(-1.6)0 %-0.2%0%-0.16%-0.4%251.8 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)000Growing Downtrend 83.03(-0.28%)82.8-83.470.53   -6.2%-0.7% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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