| TLT latest price $85.8000 (0.12%) ($85.5500 - $85.8100) on Mon. Jul. 31, 2006. |
|
|
| Trend Analysis and Forecast |
| |
Trend Pattern | Growing Uptrend |
Trend Narrative | Uptrend |
Average Daily Price Swing | $0.66 (0.78% one month average) |
Average Daily Percentage Swing | 0.49% (three month average) |
Weekly Trend Force | 0.1% (StdDev 0.49%) |
Daily Moving Force | % |
Correction Force | Weak (0%) |
Trend | 0.08% |
Trend Strength | 0.5% |
RSI | 65 |
Momentum | 1.6 |
Latest Price | $85.8000(0.12%) |
Forecasted Low Price | 85.71(-0.1%) |
Forecasted High Price | 85.97(0.2%) |
Direction of Next Movement | Range(0%) |
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction | -100% (0) |
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal | 0.8% |
Hourly Trend | 0% [$0(0), $0(0)] |
Stocks Behave Similarly | Similar Stock List |
Complacency | 0 |
Intraday Reversal Probability | N/A. |
Daily Trend | TLT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days. |
Weekly Trend | TLT advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks. |
Market Behavior | Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap. |
Correlated ETFs | Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (69% probability) TIP(68%) SHY(48%) LQD(43%) GLD(15%) REMX(-0%) |
Factors Impacting TLT price | TLT will decline at least -0.1% in a week (41% probabilities). SPY(-43%) IWM(-42%) VGK(-41%) EWI(-41%) EWG(-40%) |
Explanation | The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market. |
Trading Plan | Not Available |
| |
Valuation to SPY | 0 |
| |
Relative Volatility | -0.2 (options are faily valued) |
| |
Market Trend Strength | 0% (StdDev 0.49%) |
Hourly BBV | 0 () |
Intraday Trend | 0.2% |
| |
|
|