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     Thu. Apr. 6, 2006



Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Dec. 1, 2020)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $85.9400 (-0.76%) ($85.7600 - $86.2900) on Thu. Apr. 6, 2006.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT decline at-0.5% a week (69% probability)
  TIP(68%)    SHY(48%)    LQD(42%)    GLD(14%)    ROBT(5%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will decline at least -0.1% in a week (41% probabilities).
  SPY(-43%)    IWM(-41%)    XLY(-40%)    VGK(-40%)    EWI(-40%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -0.1
 
Relative Volatility   0.3 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


TLT Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  30%
Bullish Price Move  0.5%
Bearish Probability  70%
Bearish Price Move  -0.5%
Recommended Position Size  -80%
Latest Price  $85.9400
Next Hour Price  $85.94(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $85.45(-0.57%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $85.08 - $86.32
Resistance Level  $87.89
5 Day Moving Average  $86.49(-0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average  $87.21(-1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average  $87.89(-2.22%)
To recent high  -7%
To recent low  0%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 0.48%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20060506

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Apr_6_2006-7%-0-0.7%,-0.6(0)-1.3%,-1.1(-0)-0.2%,-0.200%-0.8%-2002.3NAN%02.02   85.94(-0.76%)85.76-86.29Downtrend 85.45(-0.57%)85.08-86.3223
2Apr_5_2006-6.3%-0.1-0.7%,-0.7(0.1)-1.3%,-1.3(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.200%-0.7%-1.6002.1NAN%00.64   86.6(0.14%)86.5-86.78Growing Downtrend 86.16(-0.51%)85.78-86.8624
3Apr_4_2006-6.4%-0-0.7%,-0.8(0.1)-1.1%,-1.2(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.400%-0.5%-2002NAN%00.75   86.48(-0.1%)86.36-86.9Growing Downtrend 86.11(-0.43%)85.76-86.7835
4Apr_3_2006-6.4%-0-0.8%,-1(-0)-1%,-1.2(-0.4)-0.5%,-0.600%-0.4%-2.3001.7NAN%01.55   86.57(-0.35%)86.08-86.69Bottom 86.8(0.27%)86.25-87.1732
5Mar_31_2006-6%-0-0.8%,-1.1(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.9(-0.5)-0.5%,-0.700%-0.3%-2.3001.5NAN%01.17   86.87(-0.03%)86.8-87.14Growing Downtrend 86.66(-0.24%)86.43-87.1441
 
6Mar_30_2006-6%-0-0.7%,-1(-0)-0.3%,-0.5(-0.3)-0.4%,-0.500%-0.2%-2.6001.5NAN%01.15   86.9(-0.7%)86.59-87.29Growing Downtrend 86.78(-0.14%)86.6-87.241
7Mar_29_2006-5.3%-0-0.7%,-1(-0)-0.1%,-0.1(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.400%-0.1%-1.8001.5NAN%01.07   87.51(-0.48%)87.37-88.02Growing Downtrend 87.42(-0.1%)87.3-87.7242
8Mar_28_2006-4.9%-0-0.7%,-0.8(-0.1)0%,0(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.200%-0.1%-1.1001.8NAN%01.09   87.93(-0.94%)87.84-88.43Growing Downtrend 87.85(-0.09%)87.74-88.145
9Mar_27_2006-4.1%-0.6% -0.6%,-0.6(0)0.1%,0.1(0)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.2%-0.2002.1NAN%00.47   88.76(-0.37%)88.6-89.05N/A 88.71(-0.06%)88.57-88.8252
10Mar_24_2006-3.7%-1% -0.6%,-0.6(-0)0.1%,0.1(0.1)0.1%,000%-0.4%0002.2NAN%00.95   89.09(0.73%)88.5-89.29Rebound 89.06(-0.03%)89-89.0956
 
11Mar_23_2006-4.4%-0.3-0.6%,-0.5(-0.1)-0%,-0(0)-0.2%,-0.100%-0.6%-0.7002.5NAN%00.61   88.44(-0.32%)88.34-88.87N/A 88.48(0.04%)88.05-88.8339
12Mar_22_2006-4.1%-0.6% -0.5%,-0.4(-0)-0.1%,-0(0.2)0.1%,0.100%-0.7%-0.5002.6NAN%00.21   88.72(0.21%)88.63-88.98Rebound 88.98(0.29%)88.55-89.1636
13Mar_21_2006-4.3%-0.4-0.5%,-0.4(-0)-0.3%,-0.2(0.2)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.8%-0.8002.7NAN%00.82   88.53(-0.52%)88.36-89.15Rebound 88.9(0.42%)88.19-89.2129
14Mar_20_2006-3.8%-0.9% -0.4%,-0.3(0)-0.5%,-0.4(0.3)0.2%,0.100%-0.9%-0.4002.7NAN%00.58   88.99(0.16%)88.98-89.24Downtrend Consolidation 88.82(-0.19%)89.22-88.6926
15Mar_17_2006-4%-0.7% -0.5%,-0.3(0.1)-0.9%,-0.7(0.2)0.1%,0.100%-1.1%-0.6002.8NAN%00.7   88.85(-0.3%)88.75-89Downtrend 88.41(-0.5%)88.15-8931
 
16Mar_16_2006-3.7%-1% -0.5%,-0.4(0)-1.2%,-0.9(0.2)0.1%,0.100%-1.1%-0.5002.7NAN%01.05   89.12(0.91%)88.43-89.33Downtrend 88.54(-0.65%)88.25-89.2431
17Mar_15_2006-4.6%-0.1-0.6%,-0.4(0)-1.4%,-1.1(0.1)-0.1%,-0.100%-1.1%-1.2002.8NAN%00.97   88.32(-0.54%)88.15-88.54Downtrend 87.64(-0.77%)87.24-88.5821
18Mar_14_2006-4.1%-0.7% -0.6%,-0.5(0)-1.5%,-1.2(0)0.1%,000%-1%-0.9002.7NAN%00.9   88.8(0.67%)88.45-88.99Downtrend 88.09(-0.8%)87.7-88.9922
19Mar_13_2006-4.7%-0-0.6%,-0.5(0)-1.5%,-1.2(-0)-0.1%,-0.100%-0.8%-1.5002.6NAN%01.74   88.21(-0.08%)88.01-88.27Downtrend 87.56(-0.74%)87.14-88.5325
20Mar_10_2006-4.6%-0-0.7%,-0.6(-0.1)-1.5%,-1.3(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.200%-0.7%-1.7002.4NAN%01.09   88.28(-0.37%)88.01-88.47Growing Downtrend 87.72(-0.63%)87.24-88.625
 
21Mar_9_2006-4.3%-0.1-0.6%,-0.5(-0.1)-1.3%,-1.2(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.300%-0.5%-1.6002.2NAN%00.28   88.61(0.03%)88.27-88.67Growing Downtrend 88.17(-0.5%)87.78-88.8938
22Mar_8_2006-4.3%-0-0.5%,-0.5(-0.1)-1%,-1.1(-0.4)-0.4%,-0.400%-0.4%-1.9002NAN%01.18   88.58(-0.03%)88.45-88.88Growing Downtrend 88.23(-0.4%)87.9-88.8838
23Mar_7_2006-4.3%-0.1-0.4%,-0.4(-0.2)-0.7%,-0.8(-0.4)-0.6%,-0.700%-0.2%-2.2001.8NAN%01.69   88.61(0.07%)88.31-88.75Growing Downtrend 88.4(-0.24%)88.15-88.9241
24Mar_6_2006-4.3%-0-0.2%,-0.2(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.4(-0.5)-0.5%,-0.700%-0%-2.8001.5NAN%00.87   88.55(-0.87%)88.5-88.99Growing Downtrend 88.5(-0.06%)88.35-88.938
25Mar_3_2006-3.5%-0.3-0%,-0(-0.2)0%,0.1(-0.3)-0.4%,-0.700%0.1%-2.4001.1NAN%01.25   89.33(-0.58%)89.23-89.55N/A 89.7(0.41%)89.29-90.0243
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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