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     Mon. Dec. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $226.2500 (-0.11%) ($225.7600 - $226.9600) on Mon. Dec. 12, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.61% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $226.2500(-0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.305% (StdDev 0.61%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $224.84(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average  $222.72(1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average  $221.12(2.32%)
To recent high  -0.1%
To recent low  8.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.9
One Month Target Price  > $226.25
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $219.35
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  -133.3000 k (Fri. Dec. 9, 2016) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.1% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -2.4% away from the target price of 226.25.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 0.61%) daily (68% of days).

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