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     Mon. Apr. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $209.2400 (0.7%) ($207.0000 - $209.2800) on Mon. Apr. 18, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.99% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $209.2400(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-17%)    IPO(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $207.79(0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average  $206.3(1.43%)
20 Day Moving Average  $205.61(1.77%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  14.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  2.1
One Month Target Price  > $209.24
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $198.88
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  -89.5000 k (Fri. Apr. 15, 2016) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -4.5% away from the target price of 209.24.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.85% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

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