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     Wed. Apr. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Mar. 27, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $208.0000 (1.01%) ($206.8400 - $208.1000) on Wed. Apr. 13, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.05% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $208.0000(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(91%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-18%)    IPO(-7%)    SHY(-4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.5%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $205.28(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average  $205.57(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average  $204.94(1.49%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  13.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  2.3
One Month Target Price  > $208
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $197.08
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  -104.2000 k (Fri. Apr. 8, 2016) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -3.2% away from the target price of 208.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.64% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

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