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     Tue. Nov. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $211.0000 (0.29%) ($209.7000 - $211.6600) on Tue. Nov. 3, 2015.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.35% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $211.0000(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVW(97%)    IWF(96%)    IVE(94%)    IWD(94%)    QQQ(92%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.5%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $209.42(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average  $207.67(1.6%)
20 Day Moving Average  $204.74(3.06%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  12.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.6
One Month Target Price  > $212.69
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $198.33
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  -166.0000 k (Fri. Oct. 30, 2015) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 0.8% away from the target price of 212.69.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.87% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

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