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     Thu. May. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $213.5000 (0.29%) ($212.5100 - $213.7500) on Thu. May. 21, 2015.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.67% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $213.5000(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IVE(94%)    QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)    VYM(88%)    XLK(88%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.335% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.4%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $212.99(0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average  $212(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average  $211.06(1.16%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  4.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.6
One Month Target Price  > $218.41
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $211.09
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  -72.8000 k (Fri. May. 15, 2015) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 2.3% away from the target price of 218.41.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.73% (three month std-dev: 0.67%) daily (68% of days).

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