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     Wed. Oct. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $196.6400 (1.75%) ($192.3600 - $196.9200) on Wed. Oct. 8, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.67% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $196.6400(1.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-34%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.335% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.7%
  
 

  


1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $194.35(-1.16%)
Resistance Level  $197.84
5 Day Moving Average  $195.42(0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average  $195.98(0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average  $197.84(-0.61%)
To recent high  -2.6%
To recent low  2.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.67%) daily (68% of days).

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