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     Thu. Aug. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $199.5000 (0.29%) ($198.9300 - $199.7600) on Thu. Aug. 21, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.52% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $199.5000(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-34%)    TLT(-25%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $197.98(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average  $196.24(1.66%)
20 Day Moving Average  $195.3(2.15%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  5.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.6
One Month Target Price  > $199.5
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $194.31
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -0.3% away from the target price of 199.5.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.31% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

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