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     Wed. Apr. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $188.8800 (0.33%) ($188.1400 - $189.1300) on Wed. Apr. 2, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.73% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $188.8800(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    VT(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-25%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    GDXJ(-1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $186.84(1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average  $186.52(1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average  $186.71(1.16%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  8.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.7
One Month Target Price  > $188.88
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $181.99
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.1% away from the target price of 188.88.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.69% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

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