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     Fri. Feb. 14, 2014

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Mar. 27, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $184.0200 (0.55%) ($182.6700 - $184.3600) on Fri. Feb. 14, 2014.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.73% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $184.0200(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)    EWG(79%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-25%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    SMH(-2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.6%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $182.22(0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average  $179.51(2.51%)
20 Day Moving Average  $179.91(2.28%)
To recent high  -0.4%
To recent low  5.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.3
One Month Target Price  > $186.96
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $180.14
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.4% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1.6% away from the target price of 186.96.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

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