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     Mon. Dec. 23, 2013

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $182.5300 (0.53%) ($182.0700 - $182.6400) on Mon. Dec. 23, 2013.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.66% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $182.5300(0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)    EWG(79%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-25%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    XBI(-5%)    GDXJ(-2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $181.19(0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average  $180.16(1.32%)
20 Day Moving Average  $180.28(1.25%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  10.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.8
One Month Target Price  > $182.53
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $176.51
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -3.7% away from the target price of 182.53.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0.7% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

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