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     Wed. Oct. 30, 2013

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $176.2900 (-0.5%) ($175.6600 - $177.5100) on Wed. Oct. 30, 2013.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.68% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $176.2900(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)    EWG(79%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-25%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.6%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $176.16(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average  $175.34(0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average  $172.22(2.36%)
To recent high  -0.5%
To recent low  7.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.1
One Month Target Price  > $176.29
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $170.3
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -1.1% away from the target price of 176.29.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

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