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     Tue. Oct. 22, 2013

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $175.4100 (0.58%) ($174.4300 - $175.9300) on Tue. Oct. 22, 2013.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.67% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $175.4100(0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)    EWG(79%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-25%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.335% (StdDev 0.67%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $173.9(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average  $171.69(2.17%)
20 Day Moving Average  $170.05(3.15%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  7.4%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  2
One Month Target Price  > $175.41
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $169.53
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -0.7% away from the target price of 175.41.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 0.67%) daily (68% of days).

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