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     Thu. Aug. 22, 2013

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $166.0600 (0.91%) ($164.8900 - $166.3000) on Thu. Aug. 22, 2013.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative  After Bottom
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.92 (1.14% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.76% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.2% (StdDev 0.76%)
Daily Moving Force  %
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Trend   -0.24%
Latest Price  $166.0600(0.91%)
Forecasted Low Price  165.4(-0.4%)
Forecasted High Price  166.39(0.2%)
Direction of Next Movement  Range(-0.2%)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  0.9%
Hourly Trend   0% [$0(0), $0(0)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  0
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Weekly Trend  SPY declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (93% probability)
  XLK(93%)    XLY(93%)    QQQ(92%)    IWM(88%)    VGK(84%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will advance at least -0% in a week (25% probabilities).
  TLT(-39%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(-11%)    IGOV(-11%)    DRIV(-5%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY 0
 
Relative Volatility   -0 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.2% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.7%
  
 

  


Next Hour Price  $166.06(0%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $162.89(-1.91%)
Resistance Level  $168.21
5 Day Moving Average  $165.36(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average  $166.89(-0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average  $168.21(-1.28%)
To recent high  -2.9%
To recent low  5.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
Advance Ratio  87%
Stage of the Market  Normal
 
 
Risk Appetite   (0)
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Balance Sheet  3.646 T (Wed. Aug. 21, 2013) No Change
Fed Fund Rate  0.09% (Thu. Aug. 22, 2013) Move Up
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.14% (three month std-dev: 0.76%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. SPY price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20130922

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Aug_22_2013168.21 (-0.5%)166.89 (-1.2%)165.36 (-0%)  (0%)166.06(0.91%)164.89-166.3-0.9(-1.1)0 %-0.2%0%-0.24% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)0281.500After Bottom 165.84(-0.13%)164.35-167.06101.47   -2.9%-5.7% 
2Aug_21_2013168.36 (-0.5%)167.25 (-1.3%)165.42 (-0.5%)  (0%)164.56(-0.62%)164.19-166.03-1.9(-2.1)0 -0.1%-0.2%0%-0.24% Growing Downtrend  Range(0%)0221.400Growing Downtrend 163.98(-0.35%)163.38-165.24159.53   -3.7%-4.8% 
3Aug_20_2013168.58 (-0.5%)167.73 (-1.2%)166.26 (-0.5%)  (0%)165.58(0.49%)164.86-166.2-1.6(-1.8)0 -0.1%-0.2%0%-0.2% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)0391.300Growing Downtrend 165.15(-0.26%)164.7-166.0689.29   -3.1%-5.4% 
4Aug_19_2013168.77 (-0.3%)168.15 (-1%)167.07 (-0.5%)  (0%)164.77(-0.64%)164.76-166.21-2.3(-2.7)0 -0.1%-0.3%0.5%-0.14% Growing Downtrend  Higher(0.4%)0361.200Growing Downtrend 164.56(-0.13%)164.19-165.4296.44   -3.6%-4.9% 
5Aug_16_2013169.03 (-0.1%)168.76 (-0.7%)167.93 (-0.4%)  (0%)165.83(-0.33%)165.5-166.63-2.3(-2.7)0 -0.1%-0.3%0.4%-0.08% Growing Downtrend  Range(0.2%)0390.900Growing Downtrend 165.76(-0.04%)165.54-166.35130.87   -3%-5.6% 
 
6Aug_15_2013169.21 (0.1%)169.29 (-0.4%)168.63 (-0.4%)  (0%)166.38(-1.4%)166.09-167.43-2.7(-3)0 -0.1%-0.2%0.8%-0.02% Oversold  Higher(1.2%)0390.700Correction 165.85(-0.32%)165.74-166.29152.93   -2.7%-5.9% 
7Aug_14_2013169.36 (0.5%)169.74 (0.3%)169.31 (-0.1%)  (0%)168.74(-0.51%)168.7-169.8-0.8(-0.8)0 %-0%0%0.02% N/A  Range(0.3%)0500.600Uptrend 168.82(0.05%)168.85-168.8179.83   -1.3%-7.4% 
8Aug_13_2013169.33 (0.6%)169.76 (0.3%)169.4 (-0%)  (0%)169.61(0.3%)168.41-169.90.1(0.3)0 %0.1%0%0.04% N/A  Range(0.1%)0590.700Uptrend 169.66(0.03%)169.59-169.6980.81   -0.8%-8% 
9Aug_12_2013169.23 (0.8%)169.67 (0.3%)169.43 (-0.2%)  (0%)169.11(-0.12%)168.38-169.31-0.1(-0.1)0 %0%0%0.04% N/A  Range(0.1%)0510.700Uptrend 169.18(0.04%)169.13-169.1968.59   -1.1%-7.7% 
10Aug_9_2013169.19 (1%)169.64 (0.4%)169.74 (-0.2%)  (0%)169.31(-0.29%)168.72-170.10.1(0.1)0 %0%0%0.06% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)0490.700Uptrend Consolidation 169.29(-0.01%)169.26-169.491.86   -1%-7.8% 
 
11Aug_8_2013169.11 (1.3%)169.63 (0.5%)170.07 (-0.1%)  (0%)169.8(0.37%)168.93-170.180.5(0.7)0 %0.1%0%0.08% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)0550.800Uptrend 169.94(0.08%)169.7-170.05102.18   -0.7%-8.1% 
12Aug_7_2013168.99 (1.3%)169.54 (0.5%)170.24 (0.1%)  (0%)169.18(-0.32%)168.55-169.430(0.2)0 %0.1%0%0.1% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)053100Uptrend 169.45(0.16%)169.18-169.5684.85   -1%-7.7% 
13Aug_6_2013168.81 (1.2%)169.49 (0.4%)170.15 (0.1%)  (0%)169.73(-0.57%)169.35-170.740.5(0.6)0 %0.1%0%0.12% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.4%)0641.200Uptrend 170.05(0.19%)169.58-170.2587.49   -0.7%-8.1% 
14Aug_5_2013168.6 (1.1%)169.43 (0.4%)169.92 (0.3%)  (0%)170.7(-0.15%)170.35-170.961.1(1.2)0 %0.1%0%0.12% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0741.400Uptrend 171.09(0.23%)170.35-171.454.07   -0.1%-8.7% 
15Aug_2_2013168.27 (1%)169.3 (0.3%)169.5 (0.2%)  (0%)170.95(0.17%)170.05-170.971.2(1.3)0 %0.2%0%0.12% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0691.600Uptrend 171.31(0.21%)170.5-171.6691.12   0%-8.8% 
 
16Aug_1_2013167.89 (1%)169.1 (0.3%)169.13 (0.2%)  (0%)170.66(1.16%)169.9-170.811.3(1.4)0 %0.2%0%0.12% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)0711.500Uptrend 170.98(0.19%)170.17-171.34110.44   0%-8.7% 
17Jul_31_2013167.43 (0.8%)168.9 (0.2%)168.79 (0%)  (0%)168.71(0.07%)168.49-169.850.5(0.6)0 %0.1%0%0.1% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)0631.800Uptrend 169.2(0.29%)168.48-169.51142.39   -0.5%-7.4% 
18Jul_30_2013167.08 (0.8%)168.84 (0.3%)168.75 (-0.1%)  (0%)168.59(0%)168.19-169.280.5(0.6)0 %0.1%0%0.14% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)075200Uptrend 169.15(0.33%)168.33-169.5185.22   -0.5%-7.3% 
19Jul_29_2013166.74 (0.8%)168.75 (0.4%)168.86 (-0.1%)  (0%)168.59(-0.31%)168.11-169.060.6(0.7)0 %0.1%0%0.16% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.3%)0752.200Uptrend 169.38(0.47%)168.23-169.8879.85   -0.5%-7.3% 
20Jul_26_2013166.35 (0.8%)168.71 (0.5%)169.04 (-0%)  (0%)169.11(0.11%)167.52-169.160.8(0.9)0 %0.1%0%0.22% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.1%)0832.400Uptrend 170.29(0.7%)168.64-171107.81   -0.2%-7.7% 
 
21Jul_25_2013165.96 (0.8%)168.56 (0.6%)169.05 (0%)  (0%)168.93(0.24%)167.94-169.080.9(0.9)0 %0.1%0%0.26% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.1%)0842.500Uptrend 170.37(0.85%)168.36-171.22111.16   -0.3%-7.6% 
22Jul_24_2013165.53 (0.7%)168.42 (0.8%)169.04 (0.1%)  (0%)168.52(-0.37%)168.18-169.860.8(0.9)0 %0.2%0%0.3% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.4%)0872.600Uptrend 170.27(1.04%)168.01-171.25112.91   -0.6%-7.3% 
23Jul_23_2013165.05 (0.6%)168.11 (0.8%)168.93 (0.2%)  (0%)169.14(-0.21%)169.05-169.831(1.1)0 %0.3%0%0.32% Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.4%)0912.800Uptrend 171.1(1.16%)168.41-172.2580.83   -0.2%-7.7% 
24Jul_22_2013164.46 (0.4%)167.73 (0.8%)168.6 (0.2%)  (0%)169.5(0.2%)169.01-169.741.2(1.3)0 %0.3%0%0.32% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)092300Uptrend 171.57(1.22%)168.62-172.8379.43   0%-8.5% 
25Jul_19_2013163.94 (0.4%)167.19 (0.9%)168.34 (0.2%)  (0%)169.17(0.18%)168.31-169.231.3(1.4)0 %0.3%0%0.34% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)0932.900Uptrend 171.18(1.19%)168.2-172.47103.83   0%-8.8% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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