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     Fri. Jan. 13, 2012

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $128.8400 (-0.52%) ($127.7200 - $129.0500) on Fri. Jan. 13, 2012.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.52% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $128.8400(-0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)    EWG(78%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-27%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.76% (StdDev 1.52%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $128.94(-0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average  $128.18(0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average  $126.27(2.04%)
To recent high  -0.5%
To recent low  10.7%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1
One Month Target Price  > $134.64
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $124.41
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 4.5% away from the target price of 134.64.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 1.52%) daily (68% of days).

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