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     Thu. Jan. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $128.0400 (0.27%) ($126.4300 - $128.2300) on Thu. Jan. 5, 2012.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.59% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $128.0400(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)    EWG(78%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-27%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.795% (StdDev 1.59%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.8%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $126.97(0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average  $126.26(1.41%)
20 Day Moving Average  $124.86(2.55%)
To recent high  -0.5%
To recent low  11.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.5
One Month Target Price  > $133.16
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $122.57
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.5% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 4% away from the target price of 133.16.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.59%) daily (68% of days).

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