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     Tue. Jan. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $127.5000 (1.59%) ($127.4300 - $128.3800) on Tue. Jan. 3, 2012.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.62% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $127.5000(1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(85%)    EWG(78%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-27%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.81% (StdDev 1.62%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $126.09(1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average  $125.14(1.89%)
20 Day Moving Average  $124.64(2.29%)
To recent high  -0.9%
To recent low  16%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.5
One Month Target Price  > $127.76
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $117.41
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.9% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 0.2% away from the target price of 127.76.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 1.62%) daily (68% of days).

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