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     Wed. Nov. 16, 2011

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $124.0800 (-1.59%) ($123.9000 - $126.3400) on Wed. Nov. 16, 2011.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.86% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $124.0800(-1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    XLK(88%)    IWM(87%)    XLY(86%)    EWG(79%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-28%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(5%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.93% (StdDev 1.86%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.6%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $125.17
5 Day Moving Average  $125.32(-0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average  $125.54(-1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average  $125.17(-0.87%)
To recent high  -3.5%
To recent low  12.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.86%) daily (68% of days).

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