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     Wed. Aug. 31, 2011

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $122.2200 (0.44%) ($121.3000 - $123.5100) on Wed. Aug. 31, 2011.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.86% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $122.2200(0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    IWM(88%)    XLK(88%)    XLY(86%)    EWG(79%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-31%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(0%)    GLD(5%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.93% (StdDev 1.86%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $119.9(1.93%)
10 Day Moving Average  $117.59(3.94%)
20 Day Moving Average  $117.63(3.9%)
To recent high  -9.7%
To recent low  8.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. SPY price fluctuates within 3.05% (three month std-dev: 1.86%) daily (68% of days).

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