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     Wed. Sep. 9, 2009

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $103.7300 (0.77%) ($102.8000 - $104.0800) on Wed. Sep. 9, 2009.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.18% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $103.7300(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(81%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-35%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-8%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.6%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $101.84(1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average  $102.17(1.53%)
20 Day Moving Average  $101.66(2.04%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  17.9%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.3
One Month Target Price  > $103.73
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $97.61
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -6.1% away from the target price of 103.73.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

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