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     Tue. Jul. 21, 2009

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $95.5700 (0.46%) ($94.4200 - $95.9000) on Tue. Jul. 21, 2009.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.42% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $95.5700(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(81%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -0.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-35%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-8%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(5%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.71% (StdDev 1.42%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $94.24(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average  $91.78(4.13%)
20 Day Moving Average  $91.26(4.72%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  13%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.9
One Month Target Price  > $96.72
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $89.85
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is 0% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's 1.2% away from the target price of 96.72.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 1.42%) daily (68% of days).

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