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     Fri. Jun. 5, 2009

Trading Signals: SPY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Mar. 28, 2024)

(SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)

SPY latest price $94.5500 (0.02%) ($93.8000 - $95.6700) on Fri. Jun. 5, 2009.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.08% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $94.5500(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  SPY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  SPY advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support SPY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  QQQ(92%)    IWM(89%)    XLK(89%)    XLY(87%)    EWG(81%)  
Factors Impacting SPY price  SPY will decline at least -1.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-35%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-8%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(6%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.04% (StdDev 2.08%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -1%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $94.47(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average  $92.7(2%)
20 Day Moving Average  $91.57(3.25%)
To recent high  -0.3%
To recent low  38.8%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1.4
One Month Target Price  > $94.55
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $84.72
 
CFTC S&P 500 speculative net positions  37.8000 k (Sat. Apr. 25, 2020) Increase
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.3% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -18% away from the target price of 94.55.
$. SPY price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 2.08%) daily (68% of days).

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